0xdc75…e4bc

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xdc753310a36d7509c68ece82ecc010464563e4bc
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+13.4pp

ROI

+43%

Win rate

42% @ 28.5¢

Brier

0.130

Resolved

294

Avg size

$65

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	48% (46/96)	+54%	96
Sports	50% (2/4)	-13%	4
Science	100% (1/1)	+21%	1
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other96 bets
Hit rate
48% (46/96)
ROI
+54%
Sports4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
-13%
Science1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+21%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

48% hit · 49/102

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	No	$3	87.0¢	Won
Meteora FDV above $750M one day after launch?	No	$1.3k	61.5¢	Won
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?	Yes	$1	3.3¢	Lost
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?	Yes	$320	21.3¢	Lost
No airdrop in 2025?	Yes	$29	28.9¢	Lost
Stars vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	$100	53.0¢	Lost
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?	Yes	$50	17.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$1.1k	80.4¢	Won
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 12 be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?	Yes	$11	59.6¢	Won
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	Yes	$100	69.0¢	Won
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?	Yes	$150	27.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 26?	Yes	$31	13.0¢	Lost
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?	Yes	$308	26.5¢	Won
Will Kenya vs. Equatorial Guinea end in a draw?	Yes	$20	0.1¢	Lost
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 13 be less than 1,900,000?	No	$10	51.0¢	Lost
Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale?	Yes	$25	10.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	Yes	$10	3.5¢	Lost
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$100	32.0¢	Lost
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 10 be between 1,900,000 and 2,000,000?	Yes	$10	27.5¢	Won
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	No	$83	84.0¢	Won
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	Yes	$7	7.0¢	Lost
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$21	2.1¢	Lost
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	No	$42	70.0¢	Won
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$10	0.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on January 26?	Yes	$10	32.0¢	Won
Will Greczula win Melodifestivalen 2026?	Yes	$30	13.7¢	Lost
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$1.1k	75.5¢	Won
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	$22	2.2¢	Lost
Will Jito be accused of insider trading?	Yes	$2	1.0¢	Lost
SHL: Skellefteaa vs. Malmoe	Skellefteaa	$4	70.0¢	Won
Over $180M committed to the Ranger public sale?	Yes	$28	7.0¢	Lost
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?	No	$8	44.0¢	Lost
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?	Yes	$29	29.0¢	Lost
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	Yes	$54	54.0¢	Won
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	$390	29.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be between 51-52°F on December 1?	Yes	$28	0.1¢	Lost
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$153	61.0¢	Won
Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$8	59.0¢	Lost
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-11-27?	Yes	$697	75.0¢	Won
Will Medina win Melodifestivalen 2026?	Yes	$14	8.2¢	Lost
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	$178	58.3¢	Won
FC Porto vs. Malmö FF: O/U 2.5	Over	$200	60.2¢	Won
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	$517	79.3¢	Won
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$104	25.0¢	Lost
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 12 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?	No	$20	73.7¢	Won
Will Felicia win Melodifestivalen 2026?	Yes	$166	74.9¢	Won
Over $200M committed to the Ranger public sale?	Yes	$22	4.9¢	Lost
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	$509	74.8¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	$250	71.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on November 8?	Yes	$150	30.0¢	Won

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?Won
No$3 @ 87.0¢
Meteora FDV above $750M one day after launch?Won
No$1.3k @ 61.5¢
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.3¢
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?Lost
Yes$320 @ 21.3¢
No airdrop in 2025?Lost
Yes$29 @ 28.9¢
Stars vs. CanadiensLost
Canadiens$100 @ 53.0¢
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?Lost
Yes$50 @ 17.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$1.1k @ 80.4¢
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 12 be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?Won
Yes$11 @ 59.6¢
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Won
Yes$100 @ 69.0¢
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?Won
Yes$150 @ 27.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 26?Lost
Yes$31 @ 13.0¢
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?Won
Yes$308 @ 26.5¢
Will Kenya vs. Equatorial Guinea end in a draw?Lost
Yes$20 @ 0.1¢
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 13 be less than 1,900,000?Lost
No$10 @ 51.0¢
Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale?Lost
Yes$25 @ 10.0¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Lost
Yes$10 @ 3.5¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$100 @ 32.0¢
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 10 be between 1,900,000 and 2,000,000?Won
Yes$10 @ 27.5¢
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?Won
No$83 @ 84.0¢
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?Lost
Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$21 @ 2.1¢
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?Won
No$42 @ 70.0¢
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.8¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on January 26?Won
Yes$10 @ 32.0¢
Will Greczula win Melodifestivalen 2026?Lost
Yes$30 @ 13.7¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$1.1k @ 75.5¢
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Lost
Yes$22 @ 2.2¢
Will Jito be accused of insider trading?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
SHL: Skellefteaa vs. MalmoeWon
Skellefteaa$4 @ 70.0¢
Over $180M committed to the Ranger public sale?Lost
Yes$28 @ 7.0¢
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?Lost
No$8 @ 44.0¢
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Lost
Yes$29 @ 29.0¢
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?Won
Yes$54 @ 54.0¢
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?Won
No$390 @ 29.6¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 51-52°F on December 1?Lost
Yes$28 @ 0.1¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Won
Yes$153 @ 61.0¢
Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
No$8 @ 59.0¢
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-11-27?Won
Yes$697 @ 75.0¢
Will Medina win Melodifestivalen 2026?Lost
Yes$14 @ 8.2¢
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?Won
No$178 @ 58.3¢
FC Porto vs. Malmö FF: O/U 2.5Won
Over$200 @ 60.2¢
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Won
No$517 @ 79.3¢
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$104 @ 25.0¢
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 12 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?Won
No$20 @ 73.7¢
Will Felicia win Melodifestivalen 2026?Won
Yes$166 @ 74.9¢
Over $200M committed to the Ranger public sale?Lost
Yes$22 @ 4.9¢
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?Won
Yes$509 @ 74.8¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Won
Yes$250 @ 71.9¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on November 8?Won
Yes$150 @ 30.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$2.1k	68.0¢
Will Henrik Fritzon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?	Politics	No	$932	83.3¢
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	Science	No	$926	83.7¢
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$674	21.5¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$638	85.0¢
Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?	Politics	Yes	$416	79.8¢
Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?	Politics	Yes	$162	59.0¢
Will Christoffer Öqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?	Politics	Yes	$153	55.1¢
Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?	Politics	Yes	$131	82.6¢
Will Kenneth Östberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västmanland?	—	No	$61	80.0¢
Will Mikael Andersson Elfgren be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västmanland?	—	Yes	$23	57.0¢
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$22	2.2¢
Will Meit Fohlin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gotland?	—	No	$15	12.8¢
Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$14	2.2¢
Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$14	2.2¢
Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$14	2.2¢
Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$14	2.2¢
Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$14	2.2¢
Will Urban Granström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?	Politics	Yes	$11	54.0¢
Will Sebastian Cehlin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?	Politics	Yes	$8	3.9¢
Will Urban Granström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?	Politics	No	$7	61.0¢
Will Robert Thunfors be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland?	Politics	Yes	$4	6.8¢
Will Kenneth Östberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västmanland?	—	Yes	$4	20.0¢

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$2.1k @ 68.0¢
Will Henrik Fritzon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?Politics
No$932 @ 83.3¢
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?Science
No$926 @ 83.7¢
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$674 @ 21.5¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics
No$638 @ 85.0¢
Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?Politics
Yes$416 @ 79.8¢
Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?Politics
Yes$162 @ 59.0¢
Will Christoffer Öqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?Politics
Yes$153 @ 55.1¢
Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Politics
Yes$131 @ 82.6¢
Will Kenneth Östberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västmanland?—
No$61 @ 80.0¢
Will Mikael Andersson Elfgren be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västmanland?—
Yes$23 @ 57.0¢
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$22 @ 2.2¢
Will Meit Fohlin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gotland?—
No$15 @ 12.8¢
Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$14 @ 2.2¢
Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$14 @ 2.2¢
Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$14 @ 2.2¢
Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$14 @ 2.2¢
Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$14 @ 2.2¢
Will Urban Granström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?Politics
Yes$11 @ 54.0¢
Will Sebastian Cehlin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?Politics
Yes$8 @ 3.9¢
Will Urban Granström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?Politics
No$7 @ 61.0¢
Will Robert Thunfors be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland?Politics
Yes$4 @ 6.8¢
Will Kenneth Östberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västmanland?—
Yes$4 @ 20.0¢