0xdc41…dd7e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xdc41c39b95453c943174f369926018f6963bdd7e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+23.5pp

ROI

+39%

Win rate

78% @ 54.5¢

Brier

0.200

Resolved

377

Avg size

$245

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	51% (22/43)	+32%	43

Other43 bets
Hit rate
51% (22/43)
ROI
+32%

Track record

51% hit · 22/43

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 166.5	Over	$1.3k	47.2¢	Lost
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 166.5	Under	$5.2k	53.3¢	Won
Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)	Phoenix Mercury	$468	50.7¢	Lost
Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)	Washington Mystics	$20.1k	55.0¢	Won
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury	Phoenix Mercury	$5.2k	32.7¢	Lost
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury	Washington Mystics	$15.8k	65.4¢	Won
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 165.5	Over	$7.3k	51.0¢	Lost
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 165.5	Under	$13.4k	50.4¢	Won
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)	Arizona Diamondbacks	$54	28.0¢	Lost
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5	Over	$1.3k	47.9¢	Lost
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5	Under	$761	55.0¢	Won
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5	Over	$1.9k	56.7¢	Lost
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 168.5	Under	$4.1k	58.3¢	Won
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)	Phoenix Mercury	$10	40.0¢	Lost
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)	Washington Mystics	$640	60.0¢	Won
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)	Arizona Diamondbacks	$640	69.0¢	Lost
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5	Over	$361	36.0¢	Lost
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5	Under	$1.3k	63.0¢	Won
Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)	Washington Mystics	$1.3k	58.7¢	Won
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 167.5	Over	$933	45.7¢	Lost
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 167.5	Under	$9.6k	54.3¢	Won
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 164.5	Over	$474	53.0¢	Lost
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 164.5	Under	$194	48.0¢	Won
FC Cincinnati vs. New York City FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	$259	79.0¢	Won
FC Cincinnati vs. New York City FC: O/U 3.5	Over	$3.1k	44.9¢	Lost
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5	Under	$620	58.6¢	Won
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-08-19?	Yes	$1.3k	38.0¢	Lost
Will New York City FC win on 2026-08-19?	Yes	$124	28.7¢	Lost
FC Cincinnati vs. New York City FC: O/U 5.5	Over	$2	13.0¢	Lost
Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo	Indiana Fever	$89	82.1¢	Won
Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo	Toronto Tempo	$46	17.0¢	Lost
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5)	Toronto Tempo	$2.4k	51.0¢	Won
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-08-18?	Yes	$29	40.0¢	Won
Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)	Indiana Fever	$33	54.0¢	Lost
Dana White's Contender Series: Kaik Brito vs. Namo Fazil (Welterweight, Main Card)	Kaik Brito	$211	39.0¢	Won
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5	Under	$51	64.0¢	Lost
San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5	Under	$4.9k	57.0¢	Won
San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5	Under	$7	67.0¢	Won
Exact Score: CF Pachuca 2 - 3 Club Puebla?	Yes	$15	1.7¢	Won
Kansas City Royals winning after 5 innings?	Yes	$43	55.3¢	Won
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-08-11?	No	$30	44.2¢	Won
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-08-11?	Yes	$4.1k	56.2¢	Lost
Will Lions FC vs. Melbourne City FC end in a draw?	Yes	$44	22.0¢	Lost

Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 166.5Lost
Over$1.3k @ 47.2¢
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 166.5Won
Under$5.2k @ 53.3¢
Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)Lost
Phoenix Mercury$468 @ 50.7¢
Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)Won
Washington Mystics$20.1k @ 55.0¢
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix MercuryLost
Phoenix Mercury$5.2k @ 32.7¢
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix MercuryWon
Washington Mystics$15.8k @ 65.4¢
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 165.5Lost
Over$7.3k @ 51.0¢
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 165.5Won
Under$13.4k @ 50.4¢
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Lost
Arizona Diamondbacks$54 @ 28.0¢
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Lost
Over$1.3k @ 47.9¢
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Won
Under$761 @ 55.0¢
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Lost
Over$1.9k @ 56.7¢
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 168.5Won
Under$4.1k @ 58.3¢
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)Lost
Phoenix Mercury$10 @ 40.0¢
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)Won
Washington Mystics$640 @ 60.0¢
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Lost
Arizona Diamondbacks$640 @ 69.0¢
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Lost
Over$361 @ 36.0¢
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Won
Under$1.3k @ 63.0¢
Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)Won
Washington Mystics$1.3k @ 58.7¢
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 167.5Lost
Over$933 @ 45.7¢
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 167.5Won
Under$9.6k @ 54.3¢
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 164.5Lost
Over$474 @ 53.0¢
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 164.5Won
Under$194 @ 48.0¢
FC Cincinnati vs. New York City FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Won
Over$259 @ 79.0¢
FC Cincinnati vs. New York City FC: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$3.1k @ 44.9¢
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Won
Under$620 @ 58.6¢
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-08-19?Lost
Yes$1.3k @ 38.0¢
Will New York City FC win on 2026-08-19?Lost
Yes$124 @ 28.7¢
FC Cincinnati vs. New York City FC: O/U 5.5Lost
Over$2 @ 13.0¢
Indiana Fever vs. Toronto TempoWon
Indiana Fever$89 @ 82.1¢
Indiana Fever vs. Toronto TempoLost
Toronto Tempo$46 @ 17.0¢
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5)Won
Toronto Tempo$2.4k @ 51.0¢
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-08-18?Won
Yes$29 @ 40.0¢
Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)Lost
Indiana Fever$33 @ 54.0¢
Dana White's Contender Series: Kaik Brito vs. Namo Fazil (Welterweight, Main Card)Won
Kaik Brito$211 @ 39.0¢
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Lost
Under$51 @ 64.0¢
San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Won
Under$4.9k @ 57.0¢
San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Won
Under$7 @ 67.0¢
Exact Score: CF Pachuca 2 - 3 Club Puebla?Won
Yes$15 @ 1.7¢
Kansas City Royals winning after 5 innings?Won
Yes$43 @ 55.3¢
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-08-11?Won
No$30 @ 44.2¢
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-08-11?Lost
Yes$4.1k @ 56.2¢
Will Lions FC vs. Melbourne City FC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$44 @ 22.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-08-28?	—	Yes	$70.2k	79.4¢
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5	—	Under	$30.5k	65.5¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-28?	—	Yes	$23.0k	56.0¢
Spread: LAC (-3.5)	—	LA	$12.5k	52.1¢
Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-28?	—	Yes	$12.0k	69.9¢
Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5	—	Under	$9.3k	93.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$8.3k	40.4¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	—	Yes	$7.7k	70.2¢
Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)	—	Phoenix Mercury	$7.7k	49.4¢
Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)	—	Paris Saint-Germain FC	$7.3k	94.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	—	Yes	$6.5k	63.0¢
Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-28?	—	No	$5.1k	31.7¢
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Sports	No	$5.0k	72.0¢
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	—	FC Bayern München	$4.9k	61.5¢
Washington Mystics vs. Los Angeles Sparks	—	Washington Mystics	$4.6k	66.2¢
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	—	GenOne	$3.7k	46.3¢
Connecticut Sun vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 179.5	—	Under	$3.1k	51.4¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$2.6k	32.5¢
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5	—	Over	$2.4k	64.2¢
Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5	—	Over	$2.3k	81.0¢
Will CD La Equidad Seguros win on 2026-08-26?	—	Yes	$2.2k	58.4¢
Will Club León FC win on 2026-08-28?	—	Yes	$2.1k	37.5¢
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5	—	Under	$1.9k	54.9¢
Falcons vs. Dolphins	—	Dolphins	$1.8k	36.1¢
Spread: LV (-3.5)	—	LV	$1.7k	48.0¢
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-08-28?	—	Yes	$1.5k	79.9¢
Will Carlisle United FC win on 2026-08-28?	—	Yes	$1.4k	50.9¢
KBO: LG Twins vs. Hanwha Eagles	—	LG Twins	$1.3k	58.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	—	No	$1.3k	77.0¢
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants	—	Arizona Diamondbacks	$1.3k	51.0¢

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-08-28?—
Yes$70.2k @ 79.4¢
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5—
Under$30.5k @ 65.5¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-28?—
Yes$23.0k @ 56.0¢
Spread: LAC (-3.5)—
LA$12.5k @ 52.1¢
Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-28?—
Yes$12.0k @ 69.9¢
Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5—
Under$9.3k @ 93.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$8.3k @ 40.4¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?—
Yes$7.7k @ 70.2¢
Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)—
Phoenix Mercury$7.7k @ 49.4¢
Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)—
Paris Saint-Germain FC$7.3k @ 94.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?—
Yes$6.5k @ 63.0¢
Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-28?—
No$5.1k @ 31.7¢
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Sports
No$5.0k @ 72.0¢
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)—
FC Bayern München$4.9k @ 61.5¢
Washington Mystics vs. Los Angeles Sparks—
Washington Mystics$4.6k @ 66.2¢
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage—
GenOne$3.7k @ 46.3¢
Connecticut Sun vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 179.5—
Under$3.1k @ 51.4¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$2.6k @ 32.5¢
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5—
Over$2.4k @ 64.2¢
Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5—
Over$2.3k @ 81.0¢
Will CD La Equidad Seguros win on 2026-08-26?—
Yes$2.2k @ 58.4¢
Will Club León FC win on 2026-08-28?—
Yes$2.1k @ 37.5¢
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5—
Under$1.9k @ 54.9¢
Falcons vs. Dolphins—
Dolphins$1.8k @ 36.1¢
Spread: LV (-3.5)—
LV$1.7k @ 48.0¢
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-08-28?—
Yes$1.5k @ 79.9¢
Will Carlisle United FC win on 2026-08-28?—
Yes$1.4k @ 50.9¢
KBO: LG Twins vs. Hanwha Eagles—
LG Twins$1.3k @ 58.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?—
No$1.3k @ 77.0¢
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants—
Arizona Diamondbacks$1.3k @ 51.0¢