← Smart money
0xdc26…7e7d
ProfitableEdge
+21.3pp
ROI
+46%
Win rate
65% @ 44.1¢
Brier
0.238
Resolved
283
Avg size
$806
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 46% (13/28) | +13% | 28 |
| Crypto | 75% (3/4) | +104% | 4 |
| Politics | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
- Other28 bets
- Hit rate
- 46% (13/28)
- ROI
- +13%
- Crypto4 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (3/4)
- ROI
- +104%
- Politics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
47% hit · 16/34- Yes$3.7k @ 30.5¢
- Yes$10.0k @ 83.0¢
- Yes$8.9k @ 20.5¢
- No$1.1k @ 82.0¢
- No$8.5k @ 38.1¢
- Yes$16.2k @ 23.2¢
- Yes$87 @ 8.7¢
- No$42 @ 21.0¢
- No$7.7k @ 60.9¢
- Yes$84 @ 39.2¢
- No$2 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$33.1k @ 79.1¢
- Yes$1.9k @ 4.6¢
- Yes$700 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 8.3¢
- Yes$24.4k @ 52.2¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 45.0¢
- Yes$35.4k @ 34.2¢
- No$89 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 7.3¢
- Yes$10.5k @ 25.6¢
- Yes$3.2k @ 34.2¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 26.0¢
- No$155 @ 4.6¢
- Yes$409 @ 82.3¢
- Yes$255 @ 17.0¢
- No$34.5k @ 47.0¢
- No$17.4k @ 67.2¢
- No$420 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$720 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$2.9k @ 21.8¢
- Yes$721 @ 24.7¢
- Yes$183 @ 1.9¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | No | $8.8k | 88.0¢ |
| Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $6.2k | 68.0¢ |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Economy | No | $6.1k | 60.7¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Geopolitics | Yes | $4.3k | 29.0¢ |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Economy | Yes | $300 | 18.0¢ |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Politics | Yes | $222 | 86.8¢ |
| Will Brian Armstrong appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? | Crypto | Yes | $0 | 30.0¢ |
- No$8.8k @ 88.0¢
- Yes$6.2k @ 68.0¢
- No$6.1k @ 60.7¢
- Yes$4.3k @ 29.0¢
- Yes$300 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$222 @ 86.8¢
- Yes$0 @ 30.0¢