← Smart money
0xdc26…7e7d
ProfitableEdge
+17.2pp
ROI
+46%
Win rate
60% @ 42.4¢
Brier
0.241
Resolved
245
Avg size
$877
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 46% (13/28) | +13% | 28 |
| Politics | 50% (2/4) | +123% | 4 |
| Crypto | 75% (3/4) | +104% | 4 |
| Sports | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other28 bets
- Hit rate
- 46% (13/28)
- ROI
- +13%
- Politics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- +123%
- Crypto4 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (3/4)
- ROI
- +104%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
49% hit · 18/37- Yes$3.7k @ 30.5¢
- Yes$10.0k @ 83.0¢
- Yes$8.9k @ 20.5¢
- No$1.1k @ 82.0¢
- No$8.5k @ 38.1¢
- Yes$16.2k @ 23.2¢
- Yes$87 @ 8.7¢
- No$42 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$7.4k @ 35.1¢
- No$7.7k @ 60.9¢
- Yes$84 @ 39.2¢
- No$2 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$33.1k @ 79.1¢
- Yes$1.9k @ 4.6¢
- Yes$700 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 8.3¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 45.0¢
- Yes$35.4k @ 34.2¢
- Yes$86 @ 7.0¢
- No$3.6k @ 72.0¢
- No$89 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 7.3¢
- Yes$10.5k @ 25.6¢
- Yes$3.2k @ 34.2¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 26.0¢
- No$155 @ 4.6¢
- Yes$409 @ 82.3¢
- Yes$255 @ 17.0¢
- No$34.5k @ 47.0¢
- No$17.4k @ 67.2¢
- No$420 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$720 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$2.9k @ 21.8¢
- Yes$721 @ 24.7¢
- Yes$183 @ 1.9¢
- Yes$24.4k @ 52.2¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Economy | No | $1.3k | 60.7¢ |
- No$1.3k @ 60.7¢