← Smart money
0xdbb4…afe9
SharpEdge
+10.3pp
ROI
+25%
Win rate
37% @ 26.4¢
Brier
0.096
Resolved
292
Avg size
$109
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 33% (15/46) | +38% | 46 |
| Politics | 42% (5/12) | +24% | 12 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
- Other46 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (15/46)
- ROI
- +38%
- Politics12 bets
- Hit rate
- 42% (5/12)
- ROI
- +24%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
32% hit · 20/62- Yes$20 @ 7.4¢
- Yes$16 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$33 @ 3.6¢
- Yes$103 @ 4.3¢
- Yes$30 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$2.7k @ 78.1¢
- Yes$499 @ 14.6¢
- No$25 @ 9.0¢
- Gold$1.5k @ 62.0¢
- Yes$249 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 16.5¢
- Yes$249 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$649 @ 81.2¢
- Yes$8 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$619 @ 60.3¢
- Yes$10 @ 2.5¢
- No$20 @ 4.3¢
- Yes$10 @ 1.6¢
- Yes$970 @ 69.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 3.2¢
- Yes$451 @ 12.5¢
- Yes$355 @ 29.6¢
- Yes$289 @ 20.9¢
- Yes$20 @ 3.9¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 73.9¢
- Yes$254 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$145 @ 5.8¢
- No$201 @ 27.5¢
- Yes$200 @ 49.1¢
- Yes$250 @ 10.7¢
- Yes$49 @ 15.8¢
- Yes$5.9k @ 86.5¢
- Yes$410 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 3.4¢
- Yes$4 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$219 @ 13.5¢
- Yes$251 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$24 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$21 @ 19.0¢
- No$101 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 36.2¢
- Yes$252 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 4.6¢
- Yes$2.2k @ 67.7¢
- Yes$50 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$4.1k @ 74.5¢
- Yes$100 @ 45.0¢
- No$2 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$52 @ 4.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $2.2k | 42.6¢ |
| Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.3¢ |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.4¢ |
- Yes$2.2k @ 42.6¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.4¢