0xdbb4…afe9

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xdbb4a207c02e3f05c4ce1b02e7c934b086cbafe9
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+33.4pp

ROI

+73%

Win rate

65% @ 31.1¢

Brier

0.214

Resolved

Avg size

$183

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	50% (5/10)	+71%	10
Politics	40% (2/5)	+95%	5

Other10 bets
Hit rate
50% (5/10)
ROI
+71%
Politics5 bets
Hit rate
40% (2/5)
ROI
+95%

Track record

47% hit · 7/15

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?	Yes	$20	7.4¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$103	4.3¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	$2.7k	78.1¢	Won
Will Trump announce new sanctions on China?	Yes	$10	2.5¢	Lost
Will Hyperliquid be accused of insider trading?	Yes	$10	1.6¢	Lost
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$970	69.3¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$355	29.6¢	Won
Will Binance be accused of insider trading?	Yes	$20	3.4¢	Lost
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Yes	$219	13.5¢	Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$251	38.0¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$24	0.4¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	$2.6k	36.2¢	Won
Will Anthropic have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May 17, 2026?	Yes	$12	4.6¢	Lost
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	$4.1k	74.5¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	Yes	$24	7.3¢	Won

Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?Lost
Yes$20 @ 7.4¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Lost
Yes$103 @ 4.3¢
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Won
Yes$2.7k @ 78.1¢
Will Trump announce new sanctions on China?Lost
Yes$10 @ 2.5¢
Will Hyperliquid be accused of insider trading?Lost
Yes$10 @ 1.6¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Won
Yes$970 @ 69.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$355 @ 29.6¢
Will Binance be accused of insider trading?Lost
Yes$20 @ 3.4¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Lost
Yes$219 @ 13.5¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Won
Yes$251 @ 38.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$24 @ 0.4¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Won
Yes$2.6k @ 36.2¢
Will Anthropic have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$12 @ 4.6¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Won
Yes$4.1k @ 74.5¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Won
Yes$24 @ 7.3¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2.2k	42.6¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$960	29.9¢
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	0.3¢
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2	0.4¢

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$2.2k @ 42.6¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$960 @ 29.9¢
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 0.3¢
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
Yes$2 @ 0.4¢