← Smart money
0xdb6f…64b6
SharpEdge
+14.2pp
ROI
+48%
Win rate
43% @ 29.0¢
Brier
0.196
Resolved
160
Avg size
$38
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 46% (18/39) | +7% | 39 |
| Sports | 36% (5/14) | +96% | 14 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other39 bets
- Hit rate
- 46% (18/39)
- ROI
- +7%
- Sports14 bets
- Hit rate
- 36% (5/14)
- ROI
- +96%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
43% hit · 23/54- Spirit$10 @ 25.0¢
- No$56 @ 56.0¢
- No$9 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$110 @ 55.0¢
- No$300 @ 42.0¢
- No$177 @ 76.9¢
- Yes$33 @ 65.0¢
- No$27 @ 29.6¢
- No$138 @ 42.8¢
- No$123 @ 21.5¢
- Yes$477 @ 11.1¢
- No$0 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 15.0¢
- No$4 @ 65.0¢
- No$43 @ 47.2¢
- Yes$433 @ 10.1¢
- No$30 @ 7.4¢
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC$36 @ 49.4¢
- Yes$73 @ 43.1¢
- Yes$60 @ 30.0¢
- No$81 @ 81.0¢
- No$100 @ 36.9¢
- Yes$851 @ 16.1¢
- No$116 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 24.0¢
- No$233 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 19.0¢
- No$726 @ 26.1¢
- Yes$225 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$689 @ 16.0¢
- No$100 @ 22.8¢
- Yes$25 @ 12.2¢
- Yes$100 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 5.0¢
- No$79 @ 79.0¢
- No$81 @ 47.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 29.0¢
- No$44 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$66 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 13.0¢
- No$46 @ 42.2¢
- No$11 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
- No$69 @ 69.0¢
- No$50 @ 12.0¢
- No$1 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 12.0¢
- No$72 @ 23.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $200 | 50.0¢ |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $42 | 14.0¢ |
| Tabi FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $38 | 72.0¢ |
| Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $9 | 45.0¢ |
- No$200 @ 50.0¢
- No$42 @ 14.0¢
- No$38 @ 72.0¢
- No$9 @ 45.0¢