← Smart money
0xdb6c…43ef
ProfitableEdge
+5.8pp
ROI
+25%
Win rate
50% @ 44.3¢
Brier
0.223
Resolved
415
Avg size
$5
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 47% (49/105) | +30% | 105 |
| Other | 61% (22/36) | +44% | 36 |
| Politics | 50% (6/12) | +1% | 12 |
| Geopolitics | 40% (4/10) | -58% | 10 |
| Economy | 70% (7/10) | +15% | 10 |
| Crypto | 50% (1/2) | +15% | 2 |
| Tech | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Sports105 bets
- Hit rate
- 47% (49/105)
- ROI
- +30%
- Other36 bets
- Hit rate
- 61% (22/36)
- ROI
- +44%
- Politics12 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (6/12)
- ROI
- +1%
- Geopolitics10 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (4/10)
- ROI
- -58%
- Economy10 bets
- Hit rate
- 70% (7/10)
- ROI
- +15%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +15%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
51% hit · 89/176- Steelers$11 @ 78.5¢
- No$5 @ 71.0¢
- No$5 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 36.0¢
- Hamad Medjedovic$5 @ 42.0¢
- No$5 @ 29.0¢
- No$5 @ 67.0¢
- No$5 @ 16.0¢
- Cabo Verde$16 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 61.9¢
- Yes$6 @ 89.0¢
- Boston Red Sox$5 @ 23.0¢
- Under$28 @ 63.3¢
- No$5 @ 88.8¢
- No$5 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$152 @ 18.9¢
- Over$6 @ 62.0¢
- Under$14 @ 86.0¢
- Tampa Bay Rays$5 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 17.0¢
- No$135 @ 38.4¢
- Yes$5 @ 20.8¢
- No$5 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 53.0¢
- Athletics$21 @ 60.7¢
- Yes$5 @ 22.7¢
- Yes$5 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 28.0¢
- No$16 @ 52.3¢
- No$5 @ 34.4¢
- Yes$6 @ 69.7¢
- Yes$5 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 60.0¢
- FUT Esports$10 @ 26.0¢
- No$6 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 40.7¢
- No$5 @ 78.0¢
- No$21 @ 20.6¢
- Yes$5 @ 81.0¢
- No$16 @ 75.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 14.8¢
- Pittsburgh Pirates$5 @ 53.0¢
- Boston Red Sox$5 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 8.4¢
- Yes$5 @ 22.0¢
- Paraguay$6 @ 78.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$38 @ 86.7¢
- No$27 @ 74.8¢
- No$26 @ 92.0¢
- Steelers$11 @ 78.5¢
- No$10 @ 83.0¢
- No$10 @ 79.5¢
- Spread: Bills (-7.5)SportsBills$10 @ 46.0¢
- No$6 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 80.0¢
- No$5 @ 41.0¢
- Will the Patriots win the season series against the Jets during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SportsYes$5 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 53.0¢
- No$5 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 32.0¢
- No$5 @ 66.0¢
- No$5 @ 87.0¢
- No$5 @ 58.0¢
- Will the Cowboys win the season series against the Commanders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SportsNo$5 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 28.0¢
- No$5 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 18.0¢
- No$5 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 57.0¢
- No$5 @ 51.9¢
- No$5 @ 27.0¢