← Smart money
0xdae8…7c9c
ProfitableEdge
-28.6pp
ROI
+4%
Win rate
14% @ 42.6¢
Brier
0.209
Resolved
122
Avg size
$325
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 77% (10/13) | +84% | 13 |
| Sports | 38% (3/8) | -57% | 8 |
- Other13 bets
- Hit rate
- 77% (10/13)
- ROI
- +84%
- Sports8 bets
- Hit rate
- 38% (3/8)
- ROI
- -57%
Track record
62% hit · 13/21- Yes$10 @ 66.7¢
- Yes$489 @ 3.3¢
- Argentina$1.0k @ 75.2¢
- Yes$9.2k @ 12.3¢
- Argentina$1.5k @ 38.0¢
- Argentina$3.0k @ 61.0¢
- Yes$2.1k @ 8.4¢
- Cabo Verde$101 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$3.0k @ 63.0¢
- Yes$533 @ 7.4¢
- Yes$2 @ 34.0¢
- Argentina$6.2k @ 39.3¢
- Yes$513 @ 10.4¢
- Yes$6.7k @ 41.9¢
- Spain$3.0k @ 74.7¢
- England$507 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 32.7¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 24.1¢
- Yes$100 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 69.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $527 | 3.1¢ |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $20 | 65.9¢ |
- Yes$527 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$20 @ 65.9¢