← Smart money
0xdabd…6ada
SharpEdge
-3.7pp
ROI
+7%
Win rate
35% @ 39.1¢
Brier
0.175
Resolved
3003
Avg size
$85
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 42% (134/316) | -10% | 316 |
| Sports | 41% (126/308) | +12% | 308 |
| Politics | 25% (1/4) | -36% | 4 |
| Tech | 100% (1/1) | +25% | 1 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +69% | 1 |
| Economy | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other316 bets
- Hit rate
- 42% (134/316)
- ROI
- -10%
- Sports308 bets
- Hit rate
- 41% (126/308)
- ROI
- +12%
- Politics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- -36%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +25%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +69%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
42% hit · 263/632- Yes$153 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 11.9¢
- No$64 @ 3.4¢
- Under$10 @ 87.0¢
- No$16 @ 23.0¢
- No$288 @ 52.0¢
- Alliance Guardians$244 @ 53.1¢
- No$2 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$368 @ 34.8¢
- Australia$26 @ 5.0¢
- Over$40 @ 77.0¢
- Under$104 @ 20.2¢
- No$697 @ 27.1¢
- Yes$142 @ 47.6¢
- Yes$31 @ 29.0¢
- Under$6 @ 35.0¢
- No$334 @ 28.3¢
- Yes$246 @ 32.1¢
- Over$16 @ 44.0¢
- Under$64 @ 62.9¢
- No$2 @ 41.0¢
- No$293 @ 24.0¢
- No$57 @ 57.0¢
- No$120 @ 20.4¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 64.6¢
- Switzerland$281 @ 26.2¢
- Over$7 @ 22.0¢
- Under$14 @ 28.0¢
- No$28 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$209 @ 68.9¢
- G2 Esports$78 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 69.0¢
- Valorant: Global Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2WonGlobal Esports$37 @ 33.4¢
- Valorant: Global Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2LostNongshim RedForce$95 @ 53.2¢
- No$914 @ 87.5¢
- Yes$354 @ 13.7¢
- Under$5 @ 18.6¢
- Over$109 @ 34.9¢
- Under$121 @ 27.2¢
- Team Yandex$212 @ 50.0¢
- No$700 @ 86.7¢
- Yes$683 @ 12.5¢
- No$213 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$97 @ 16.2¢
- No$916 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$731 @ 38.2¢
- Over$29 @ 19.0¢
- Under$22 @ 45.0¢
- Over$28 @ 12.9¢
- Under$68 @ 43.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $196 | 95.9¢ |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Tech | Yes | $41 | 36.9¢ |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $4 | 76.1¢ |
- No$196 @ 95.9¢
- Yes$41 @ 36.9¢
- No$4 @ 76.1¢