0xdaa6…3e62

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xdaa6a2cd4ba545befb3dbdc25d2b444c46873e62
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+4.8pp

ROI

+4%

Win rate

39% @ 34.2¢

Brier

0.175

Resolved

4210

Avg size

$32

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	40% (210/525)	+10%	525
Sports	29% (30/105)	+62%	105
Politics	35% (25/72)	-9%	72
Geopolitics	23% (9/40)	-64%	40
Tech	50% (1/2)	+55%	2
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other525 bets
Hit rate
40% (210/525)
ROI
+10%
Sports105 bets
Hit rate
29% (30/105)
ROI
+62%
Politics72 bets
Hit rate
35% (25/72)
ROI
-9%
Geopolitics40 bets
Hit rate
23% (9/40)
ROI
-64%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+55%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

37% hit · 275/745

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	$4	82.0¢	Won
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	$9	1.5¢	Lost
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$94	37.4¢	Lost
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?	Yes	$185	12.0¢	Won
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals	Yes	$61	30.0¢	Lost
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$544	23.8¢	Won
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 15, 2026?	Yes	$93	36.7¢	Won
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5	Over	$11	53.0¢	Lost
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?	No	$12	23.3¢	Lost
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?	Yes	$459	62.0¢	Won
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?	No	$72	48.8¢	Won
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	$64	3.2¢	Lost
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana?	Yes	$37	12.0¢	Lost
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline	Spurs	$24	46.0¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$111	53.4¢	Won
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$8	5.3¢	Lost
Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 2 Spain?	Yes	$111	9.2¢	Lost
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?	Yes	$38	6.3¢	Lost
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?	Yes	$57	37.3¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	No	$276	69.0¢	Won
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?	Yes	$274	11.0¢	Lost
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$54	24.3¢	Lost
Spurs vs. Knicks	Spurs	$57	47.0¢	Won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	No	$37	52.9¢	Won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	Yes	$101	10.4¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	Yes	$10	5.1¢	Lost
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 7, 2026?	Yes	$13	76.6¢	Won
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?	No	$497	67.5¢	Won
France leading at halftime?	Yes	$153	33.8¢	Lost
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?	Yes	$61	54.9¢	Lost
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	$200	5.6¢	Lost
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	$384	75.4¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2.6k	16.2¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	$235	11.3¢	Lost
Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	23.0¢	Lost
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?	No	$145	63.7¢	Won
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?	Yes	$74	33.6¢	Lost
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	$577	33.4¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?	Yes	$31	44.7¢	Won
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 16?	Yes	$62	47.0¢	Won
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$15	15.3¢	Lost
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	$20	25.0¢	Lost
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	$24	18.4¢	Won
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?	Yes	$10	9.6¢	Lost
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$163	1.0¢	Lost
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	$16	11.4¢	Lost
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 3 Netherlands?	Yes	$25	24.0¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?	Yes	$9	11.0¢	Lost
Nets vs. Trail Blazers	Nets	$40	4.7¢	Lost
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	No	$23	41.0¢	Won

World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Won
Yes$4 @ 82.0¢
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?Lost
Yes$9 @ 1.5¢
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$94 @ 37.4¢
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?Won
Yes$185 @ 12.0¢
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsLost
Yes$61 @ 30.0¢
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Won
Yes$544 @ 23.8¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 15, 2026?Won
Yes$93 @ 36.7¢
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Lost
Over$11 @ 53.0¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Lost
No$12 @ 23.3¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Won
Yes$459 @ 62.0¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?Won
No$72 @ 48.8¢
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Lost
Yes$64 @ 3.2¢
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana?Lost
Yes$37 @ 12.0¢
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineWon
Spurs$24 @ 46.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$111 @ 53.4¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$8 @ 5.3¢
Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 2 Spain?Lost
Yes$111 @ 9.2¢
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?Lost
Yes$38 @ 6.3¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?Lost
Yes$57 @ 37.3¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
No$276 @ 69.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?Lost
Yes$274 @ 11.0¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Lost
Yes$54 @ 24.3¢
Spurs vs. KnicksWon
Spurs$57 @ 47.0¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?Won
No$37 @ 52.9¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?Lost
Yes$101 @ 10.4¢
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 5.1¢
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 7, 2026?Won
Yes$13 @ 76.6¢
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?Won
No$497 @ 67.5¢
France leading at halftime?Lost
Yes$153 @ 33.8¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?Lost
Yes$61 @ 54.9¢
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?Lost
Yes$200 @ 5.6¢
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Won
No$384 @ 75.4¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$2.6k @ 16.2¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Lost
Yes$235 @ 11.3¢
Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 23.0¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?Won
No$145 @ 63.7¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?Lost
Yes$74 @ 33.6¢
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?Lost
Yes$577 @ 33.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?Won
Yes$31 @ 44.7¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 16?Won
Yes$62 @ 47.0¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$15 @ 15.3¢
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?Lost
Yes$20 @ 25.0¢
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?Won
Yes$24 @ 18.4¢
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?Lost
Yes$10 @ 9.6¢
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$163 @ 1.0¢
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?Lost
Yes$16 @ 11.4¢
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 3 Netherlands?Lost
Yes$25 @ 24.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$9 @ 11.0¢
Nets vs. Trail BlazersLost
Nets$40 @ 4.7¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Won
No$23 @ 41.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$256	12.8¢
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	Politics	Yes	$173	19.7¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	Yes	$103	7.8¢
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Geopolitics	Yes	$69	16.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Politics	Yes	$63	19.0¢
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Politics	Yes	$6	12.0¢
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 7?	Geopolitics	Yes	$5	82.0¢

Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics
Yes$256 @ 12.8¢
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Politics
Yes$173 @ 19.7¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
Yes$103 @ 7.8¢
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Geopolitics
Yes$69 @ 16.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics
Yes$63 @ 19.0¢
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Politics
Yes$6 @ 12.0¢
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 7?Geopolitics
Yes$5 @ 82.0¢