0xda3a…381f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xda3a9b7afff7b44ad4fd75308723194e0a11381f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.1pp

ROI

+9%

Win rate

40% @ 32.2¢

Brier

0.175

Resolved

989

Avg size

$109

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	49% (35/72)	+9%	72
Other	33% (1/3)	-22%	3

Sports72 bets
Hit rate
49% (35/72)
ROI
+9%
Other3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-22%

Track record

48% hit · 36/75

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.3k	10.0¢	Lost
Will Haiti finish second in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$680	52.6¢	Lost
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	Galions	$3.2k	75.1¢	Won
Will Brazil finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	Yes	$5	0.8¢	Lost
Will Switzerland finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	Yes	$372	4.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner	Legacy	$122	59.0¢	Won
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Carolina Royal Ravens - Game 2 Winner	Carolina Royal Ravens	$952	31.0¢	Won
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Cloud9 New York - Game 3 Winner	Cloud9 New York	$211	29.0¢	Won
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Eintracht Spandau (+1.5)	Eintracht Spandau	$976	64.0¢	Won
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$49	41.0¢	Won
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$1.8k	36.9¢	Lost
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	Eintracht Spandau	$2.6k	44.0¢	Won
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner	Gen.G	$2.9k	61.0¢	Lost
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner	Eintracht Spandau	$19	46.0¢	Won
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner	Solary	$362	79.0¢	Won
Will Portugal finish last in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	Yes	$2	2.0¢	Lost
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$173	2.5¢	Lost
Games Total: O/U 4.5	Under	$347	74.0¢	Won
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner	Dplus KIA Challengers	$580	51.6¢	Won
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$100	0.1¢	Lost
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$1.1k	38.0¢	Lost
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner	Dplus KIA Challengers	$2.1k	49.0¢	Won
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs	Team Heretics	$9.6k	48.0¢	Lost
Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	2.9¢	Lost
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota - Game 2 Winner	G2 Minnesota	$241	36.0¢	Won
Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$289	1.4¢	Lost
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner	Galions	$1.3k	68.0¢	Won
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	$259	47.0¢	Lost
Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	3.5¢	Lost
Will Morocco finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Team Heretics Academy (+1.5)	Eintracht Spandau	$639	30.0¢	Lost
Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+2.5)	Solary	$2.1k	51.6¢	Won
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)	Team Liquid	$318	64.0¢	Lost
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$4	9.6¢	Lost
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$78	32.0¢	Won
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	Team Liquid	$8.1k	46.4¢	Lost
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier	Boston Breach	$2.3k	37.0¢	Won
Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$393	2.5¢	Lost
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 1 Winner	Galions	$1.3k	43.0¢	Won
Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$1.0k	5.0¢	Lost
Spread: Uzbekistan (-3.5)	Uzbekistan	$2	0.3¢	Lost
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$2.0k	27.0¢	Lost
Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5)	Solary	$59	78.0¢	Won
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner	Galions	$1.2k	67.6¢	Won
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 Winner	Solary	$1.9k	78.7¢	Won
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 Winner	KT Rolster Challengers	$158	5.0¢	Lost
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner	Solary	$1.1k	79.0¢	Won
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner	Galions	$4.0k	68.7¢	Won
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	$567	48.0¢	Lost

Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1.3k @ 10.0¢
Will Haiti finish second in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$680 @ 52.6¢
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsWon
Galions$3.2k @ 75.1¢
Will Brazil finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.8¢
Will Switzerland finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Lost
Yes$372 @ 4.0¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 WinnerWon
Legacy$122 @ 59.0¢
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Carolina Royal Ravens - Game 2 WinnerWon
Carolina Royal Ravens$952 @ 31.0¢
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Cloud9 New York - Game 3 WinnerWon
Cloud9 New York$211 @ 29.0¢
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Eintracht Spandau (+1.5)Won
Eintracht Spandau$976 @ 64.0¢
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$49 @ 41.0¢
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$1.8k @ 36.9¢
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsWon
Eintracht Spandau$2.6k @ 44.0¢
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 WinnerLost
Gen.G$2.9k @ 61.0¢
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 WinnerWon
Eintracht Spandau$19 @ 46.0¢
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 WinnerWon
Solary$362 @ 79.0¢
Will Portugal finish last in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.0¢
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$173 @ 2.5¢
Games Total: O/U 4.5Won
Under$347 @ 74.0¢
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 WinnerWon
Dplus KIA Challengers$580 @ 51.6¢
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$100 @ 0.1¢
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$1.1k @ 38.0¢
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 WinnerWon
Dplus KIA Challengers$2.1k @ 49.0¢
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London PlayoffsLost
Team Heretics$9.6k @ 48.0¢
Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$5 @ 2.9¢
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota - Game 2 WinnerWon
G2 Minnesota$241 @ 36.0¢
Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$289 @ 1.4¢
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 WinnerWon
Galions$1.3k @ 68.0¢
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerLost
Team Liquid$259 @ 47.0¢
Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$5 @ 3.5¢
Will Morocco finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Team Heretics Academy (+1.5)Lost
Eintracht Spandau$639 @ 30.0¢
Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+2.5)Won
Solary$2.1k @ 51.6¢
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Lost
Team Liquid$318 @ 64.0¢
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$4 @ 9.6¢
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$78 @ 32.0¢
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsLost
Team Liquid$8.1k @ 46.4¢
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers QualifierWon
Boston Breach$2.3k @ 37.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$393 @ 2.5¢
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 1 WinnerWon
Galions$1.3k @ 43.0¢
Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$1.0k @ 5.0¢
Spread: Uzbekistan (-3.5)Lost
Uzbekistan$2 @ 0.3¢
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$2.0k @ 27.0¢
Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5)Won
Solary$59 @ 78.0¢
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 WinnerWon
Galions$1.2k @ 67.6¢
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 WinnerWon
Solary$1.9k @ 78.7¢
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 WinnerLost
KT Rolster Challengers$158 @ 5.0¢
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 WinnerWon
Solary$1.1k @ 79.0¢
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 WinnerWon
Galions$4.0k @ 68.7¢
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerLost
Team Liquid$567 @ 48.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$4.9k	28.8¢
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$4.5k	45.0¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$4.4k	14.4¢
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$3.1k	47.8¢
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$2.3k	43.1¢
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$2.2k	39.8¢
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	—	Under	$1.6k	40.0¢
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$1.6k	23.0¢
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$1.3k	19.8¢
Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$1.1k	19.5¢
Will Egypt reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$893	29.0¢
Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?	Sports	No	$582	61.0¢
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$520	11.2¢
Will Canada be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$497	18.5¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$382	17.1¢
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo	Sports	Messi	$343	59.0¢
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Sports	Yes	$311	2.6¢
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$225	28.3¢
Wimbledon ATP: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tomas Etcheverry	—	Lorenzo Sonego	$225	53.0¢
Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$189	41.0¢
Will Algeria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$185	29.0¢
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$125	0.5¢
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$92	80.0¢
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$50	51.0¢
Will Egypt be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$42	10.6¢
Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$35	48.0¢
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$35	0.6¢
Will Australia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$24	33.0¢
Will Australia be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$20	11.0¢
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 7.5 Total Corners	—	Under	$18	27.0¢

Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$4.9k @ 28.8¢
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$4.5k @ 45.0¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$4.4k @ 14.4¢
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$3.1k @ 47.8¢
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$2.3k @ 43.1¢
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$2.2k @ 39.8¢
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 8.5 Total Corners—
Under$1.6k @ 40.0¢
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$1.6k @ 23.0¢
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$1.3k @ 19.8¢
Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Sports
Yes$1.1k @ 19.5¢
Will Egypt reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$893 @ 29.0¢
Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?Sports
No$582 @ 61.0¢
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$520 @ 11.2¢
Will Canada be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?Sports
Yes$497 @ 18.5¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$382 @ 17.1¢
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. RonaldoSports
Messi$343 @ 59.0¢
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?Sports
Yes$311 @ 2.6¢
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$225 @ 28.3¢
Wimbledon ATP: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tomas Etcheverry—
Lorenzo Sonego$225 @ 53.0¢
Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$189 @ 41.0¢
Will Algeria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$185 @ 29.0¢
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$125 @ 0.5¢
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$92 @ 80.0¢
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$50 @ 51.0¢
Will Egypt be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?Sports
Yes$42 @ 10.6¢
Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$35 @ 48.0¢
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$35 @ 0.6¢
Will Australia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$24 @ 33.0¢
Will Australia be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?Sports
Yes$20 @ 11.0¢
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 7.5 Total Corners—
Under$18 @ 27.0¢