0xda33…cd9a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xda33d63c4e5b2f839ecc950764bcb8dae386cd9a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.8pp

ROI

+15%

Win rate

53% @ 49.2¢

Brier

0.196

Resolved

1052

Avg size

$13

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	55% (193/351)	+18%	351
Sports	52% (58/111)	+9%	111
Politics	73% (8/11)	+12%	11
Geopolitics	50% (3/6)	-38%	6
Tech	33% (1/3)	+0%	3
Science	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Economy	100% (1/1)	+32%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+18%	1

Other351 bets
Hit rate
55% (193/351)
ROI
+18%
Sports111 bets
Hit rate
52% (58/111)
ROI
+9%
Politics11 bets
Hit rate
73% (8/11)
ROI
+12%
Geopolitics6 bets
Hit rate
50% (3/6)
ROI
-38%
Tech3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+0%
Science2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+32%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+18%

Track record

55% hit · 265/486

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 9?	No	$137	54.3¢	Lost
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	$98	79.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 9?	Yes	$347	50.5¢	Lost
Valorant: TYLOO vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winner	Team Liquid	$4	72.0¢	Won
Sporting Cp to win the second half?	Yes	$4	89.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner	Level UP	$33	41.6¢	Won
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner	Yellow Submarine	$5	57.0¢	Lost
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz	Zizou Bergs	$49	20.0¢	Lost
Will Aston Villa win on 2026-07-28?	Yes	$2	21.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 20?	No	$5	80.6¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$50	82.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner	INOX Division	$44	53.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	9z	$105	40.8¢	Won
Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	$16	70.0¢	Lost
Quevedo vs. Vandromme: Match O/U 22.5	Under	$5	51.0¢	Lost
Will Toronto FC vs. Austin FC end in a draw?	Yes	$4	85.0¢	Won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Argentina	$102	75.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 79°F or below on July 25?	No	$20	67.0¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	No	$46	28.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$49	65.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	$51	56.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on July 19?	No	$23	89.0¢	Won
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	LGD Gaming	$36	49.0¢	Won
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Under	$5	53.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 19?	Yes	$17	60.1¢	Lost
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)	Vitality	$51	54.0¢	Lost
Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)	Panathinaikós AO	$5	26.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs	eternal premium	$100	49.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	41.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 3?	Yes	$4	4.0¢	Lost
FDA approves Sanofi's Subcutaneous Sarclisa?	No	$25	3.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	$16	35.0¢	Won
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5	Over	$39	18.9¢	Lost
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)	PARIVISION	$50	54.4¢	Lost
ITF Merzig: Luna Maria Cinalli vs Krystyna Pochtovyk	Luna Maria Cinalli	$3	65.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 16?	No	$4	79.0¢	Won
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kiwoom Heroes	Kiwoom Heroes	$55	30.8¢	Lost
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kiwoom Heroes	NC Dinos	$20	56.0¢	Won
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$12	43.0¢	Won
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 2 Winner	LOS	$41	36.0¢	Won
ITF Maanshan: Jia Hu vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	Jia Hu	$60	75.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 19?	No	$16	82.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 19?	Yes	$10	51.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 25?	No	$3	66.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	Team Falcons	$51	48.9¢	Won
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	$51	26.0¢	Lost
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: Lillestrøm SK O/U 0.5	Over	$10	63.0¢	Lost
Set 1 Winner: Maksimovic vs Gagliardo	Maksimovic	$50	50.9¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	$51	65.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 19?	No	$8	89.0¢	Won

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 9?Lost
No$137 @ 54.3¢
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Won
No$98 @ 79.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 9?Lost
Yes$347 @ 50.5¢
Valorant: TYLOO vs Team Liquid - Map 1 WinnerWon
Team Liquid$4 @ 72.0¢
Sporting Cp to win the second half?Lost
Yes$4 @ 89.0¢
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 WinnerWon
Level UP$33 @ 41.6¢
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 WinnerLost
Yellow Submarine$5 @ 57.0¢
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor FritzLost
Zizou Bergs$49 @ 20.0¢
Will Aston Villa win on 2026-07-28?Lost
Yes$2 @ 21.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 20?Won
No$5 @ 80.6¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$50 @ 82.0¢
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division - Map 2 WinnerWon
INOX Division$44 @ 53.0¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Won
9z$105 @ 40.8¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$16 @ 70.0¢
Quevedo vs. Vandromme: Match O/U 22.5Lost
Under$5 @ 51.0¢
Will Toronto FC vs. Austin FC end in a draw?Won
Yes$4 @ 85.0¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceWon
Argentina$102 @ 75.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 79°F or below on July 25?Won
No$20 @ 67.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-26?Lost
No$46 @ 28.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-26?Won
Yes$49 @ 65.0¢
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerWon
FURIA$51 @ 56.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on July 19?Won
No$23 @ 89.0¢
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerWon
LGD Gaming$36 @ 49.0¢
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Won
Under$5 @ 53.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 19?Lost
Yes$17 @ 60.1¢
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)Lost
Vitality$51 @ 54.0¢
Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)Lost
Panathinaikós AO$5 @ 26.0¢
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe PlayoffsWon
eternal premium$100 @ 49.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$5 @ 41.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 3?Lost
Yes$4 @ 4.0¢
FDA approves Sanofi's Subcutaneous Sarclisa?Lost
No$25 @ 3.0¢
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 WinnerWon
BetBoom Team$16 @ 35.0¢
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$39 @ 18.9¢
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)Lost
PARIVISION$50 @ 54.4¢
ITF Merzig: Luna Maria Cinalli vs Krystyna PochtovykWon
Luna Maria Cinalli$3 @ 65.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 16?Won
No$4 @ 79.0¢
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kiwoom HeroesLost
Kiwoom Heroes$55 @ 30.8¢
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kiwoom HeroesWon
NC Dinos$20 @ 56.0¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$12 @ 43.0¢
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 2 WinnerWon
LOS$41 @ 36.0¢
ITF Maanshan: Jia Hu vs Mitsuki Wei Kang LeongLost
Jia Hu$60 @ 75.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 19?Lost
No$16 @ 82.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 19?Won
Yes$10 @ 51.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 25?Lost
No$3 @ 66.0¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerWon
Team Falcons$51 @ 48.9¢
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Lost
Yes$51 @ 26.0¢
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: Lillestrøm SK O/U 0.5Lost
Over$10 @ 63.0¢
Set 1 Winner: Maksimovic vs GagliardoWon
Maksimovic$50 @ 50.9¢
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerWon
Spirit$51 @ 65.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 19?Won
No$8 @ 89.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 9?	Science	Yes	$347	50.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 9?	Science	No	$137	54.3¢
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Politics	No	$98	79.9¢

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 9?Science
Yes$347 @ 50.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 9?Science
No$137 @ 54.3¢
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics
No$98 @ 79.9¢