0xda16…ac2b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xda164a1aa5a166021fd2bb6dc1e54881f58aac2b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

-3.2pp

ROI

+4%

Win rate

37% @ 40.6¢

Brier

0.175

Resolved

2255

Avg size

$111

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	47% (109/233)	+6%	233
Sports	50% (78/156)	+6%	156
Politics	50% (1/2)	-53%	2

Other233 bets
Hit rate
47% (109/233)
ROI
+6%
Sports156 bets
Hit rate
50% (78/156)
ROI
+6%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-53%

Track record

48% hit · 188/391

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)	Hanwha Life Esports	$373	55.0¢	Won
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)	Top Esports	$26	51.0¢	Won
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5	Under	$680	34.0¢	Lost
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner	Karmine Corp	$430	43.0¢	Won
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$360	3.6¢	Lost
Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	$330	11.0¢	Lost
Celtics vs. Pistons	Pistons	$630	31.5¢	Won
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	$697	27.0¢	Lost
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)	BNK FEARX	$804	49.0¢	Lost
LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs	T1 Academy	$788	61.9¢	Won
LoL: PART TIMERS vs essences - Game 4 Winner	essences	$392	49.0¢	Won
Suns vs. Lakers	Suns	$240	24.0¢	Won
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner	Karmine Corp	$246	41.0¢	Won
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner	LYON	$510	51.0¢	Lost
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Group Stage	FlyQuest	$520	40.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$590	59.0¢	Won
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	GIANTX	$147	21.0¢	Won
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner	Natus Vincere	$401	15.8¢	Lost
Celtics vs. Knicks	Knicks	$265	53.0¢	Won
Raptors vs. Knicks	Raptors	$300	27.0¢	Lost
Spurs vs. Knicks	Spurs	$2.9k	47.0¢	Won
Trail Blazers vs. Celtics	Celtics	$740	74.0¢	Won
LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	$510	34.0¢	Won
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winner	GIANTX	$540	36.0¢	Won
LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyones Legend	$795	53.0¢	Lost
76ers vs. Wizards	76ers	$560	56.0¢	Won
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner	Shopify Rebellion	$632	39.5¢	Won
Rockets vs. Bucks	Bucks	$390	39.0¢	Lost
Rockets vs. Bucks	Rockets	$108	27.0¢	Won
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)	CTBC Flying Oyster	$775	62.0¢	Won
Will Cloud9 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	$18	0.2¢	Lost
Clippers vs. Raptors	Raptors	$98	59.0¢	Won
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	$3.0k	75.7¢	Won
Magic vs. 76ers	Magic	$246	41.0¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$1.3k	85.2¢	Won
Raptors vs. 76ers	Raptors	$15	15.0¢	Lost
LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports - Game 1 Winner	Maryville University	$404	40.0¢	Won
LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stage	Disguised	$690	34.5¢	Lost
Knicks vs. Spurs	Knicks	$1.1k	27.7¢	Won
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$2.3k	45.0¢	Won
Kings vs. 76ers	Kings	$480	24.0¢	Lost
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	$357	35.0¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	$302	87.6¢	Won
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)	Spurs	$113	22.0¢	Lost
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Cavaliers	$1.4k	41.1¢	Lost
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)	Team WE	$363	66.0¢	Lost
LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 4 Winner	Cloud9	$250	50.0¢	Won
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner	MVK Esports	$830	41.5¢	Won
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winner	BNK FEARX	$310	15.5¢	Lost
Grizzlies vs. Spurs	Spurs	$1.1k	57.0¢	Won

Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)Won
Hanwha Life Esports$373 @ 55.0¢
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)Won
Top Esports$26 @ 51.0¢
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5Lost
Under$680 @ 34.0¢
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 WinnerWon
Karmine Corp$430 @ 43.0¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Lost
Yes$360 @ 3.6¢
Nuggets vs. PelicansLost
Pelicans$330 @ 11.0¢
Celtics vs. PistonsWon
Pistons$630 @ 31.5¢
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$697 @ 27.0¢
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)Lost
BNK FEARX$804 @ 49.0¢
LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational PlayoffsWon
T1 Academy$788 @ 61.9¢
LoL: PART TIMERS vs essences - Game 4 WinnerWon
essences$392 @ 49.0¢
Suns vs. LakersWon
Suns$240 @ 24.0¢
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerWon
Karmine Corp$246 @ 41.0¢
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerLost
LYON$510 @ 51.0¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Group StageLost
FlyQuest$520 @ 40.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$590 @ 59.0¢
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonWon
GIANTX$147 @ 21.0¢
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerLost
Natus Vincere$401 @ 15.8¢
Celtics vs. KnicksWon
Knicks$265 @ 53.0¢
Raptors vs. KnicksLost
Raptors$300 @ 27.0¢
Spurs vs. KnicksWon
Spurs$2.9k @ 47.0¢
Trail Blazers vs. CelticsWon
Celtics$740 @ 74.0¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 WinnerWon
Team Liquid$510 @ 34.0¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 WinnerWon
GIANTX$540 @ 36.0¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group StageLost
Anyones Legend$795 @ 53.0¢
76ers vs. WizardsWon
76ers$560 @ 56.0¢
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 WinnerWon
Shopify Rebellion$632 @ 39.5¢
Rockets vs. BucksLost
Bucks$390 @ 39.0¢
Rockets vs. BucksWon
Rockets$108 @ 27.0¢
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)Won
CTBC Flying Oyster$775 @ 62.0¢
Will Cloud9 win Worlds 2026?Lost
Yes$18 @ 0.2¢
Clippers vs. RaptorsWon
Raptors$98 @ 59.0¢
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Won
Yes$3.0k @ 75.7¢
Magic vs. 76ersLost
Magic$246 @ 41.0¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 85.2¢
Raptors vs. 76ersLost
Raptors$15 @ 15.0¢
LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports - Game 1 WinnerWon
Maryville University$404 @ 40.0¢
LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group StageLost
Disguised$690 @ 34.5¢
Knicks vs. SpursWon
Knicks$1.1k @ 27.7¢
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$2.3k @ 45.0¢
Kings vs. 76ersLost
Kings$480 @ 24.0¢
Cavaliers vs. PistonsLost
Cavaliers$357 @ 35.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Won
No$302 @ 87.6¢
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Lost
Spurs$113 @ 22.0¢
Cavaliers vs. RaptorsLost
Cavaliers$1.4k @ 41.1¢
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)Lost
Team WE$363 @ 66.0¢
LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 4 WinnerWon
Cloud9$250 @ 50.0¢
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 WinnerWon
MVK Esports$830 @ 41.5¢
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 WinnerLost
BNK FEARX$310 @ 15.5¢
Grizzlies vs. SpursWon
Spurs$1.1k @ 57.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Politics	Yes	$3.5k	71.0¢
Nets vs. Pacers	Sports	Nets	$235	39.0¢
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	Sports	Yes	$167	9.8¢
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026?	Sports	Yes	$54	0.6¢
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Sports	Yes	$9	0.8¢
Spread: Bills (-9.5)	Sports	Bills	$5	28.0¢

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
Yes$3.5k @ 71.0¢
Nets vs. PacersSports
Nets$235 @ 39.0¢
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?Sports
Yes$167 @ 9.8¢
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026?Sports
Yes$54 @ 0.6¢
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
Yes$9 @ 0.8¢
Spread: Bills (-9.5)Sports
Bills$5 @ 28.0¢