0xd9db…d937

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xd9dbc1a64eecd9bf775893c90a5056d078bfd937
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.4pp

ROI

+8%

Win rate

41% @ 34.4¢

Brier

0.129

Resolved

908

Avg size

$24

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	39% (107/272)	+5%	272
Sports	31% (5/16)	+45%	16
Politics	63% (5/8)	-68%	8
Crypto	50% (2/4)	+9%	4
Tech	100% (2/2)	+60%	2
Geopolitics	50% (1/2)	-38%	2
Culture	100% (1/1)	+22%	1

Other272 bets
Hit rate
39% (107/272)
ROI
+5%
Sports16 bets
Hit rate
31% (5/16)
ROI
+45%
Politics8 bets
Hit rate
63% (5/8)
ROI
-68%
Crypto4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
+9%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+60%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-38%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+22%

Track record

40% hit · 123/305

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Trump say "Iran" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	No	$19	13.9¢	Lost
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?	No	$18	88.0¢	Won
Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	No	$161	83.0¢	Won
Team World vs. Team USA Stars	Team World	$9	55.0¢	Lost
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?	No	$7	3.5¢	Lost
Bitcoin above $82,000 on April 18?	No	$5	27.0¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times April 4 - 11?	Yes	$10	10.0¢	Lost
Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?	No	$17	87.0¢	Won
Will Xqc & PlaqueBoyMax Bart win Jynxzi's Rocket League tournament?	No	$34	84.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by March 31?	No	$364	74.8¢	Won
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?	No	$10	45.0¢	Lost
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?	No	$80	33.0¢	Won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	No	$115	46.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	No	$131	82.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Anniversary" or "Independence" during Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2?	No	$0	75.0¢	Won
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5	Under 5.5	$131	71.3¢	Won
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)	No	$90	56.2¢	Won
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$12	1.1¢	Lost
Over $1M committed to the Foresee public sale?	No	$45	75.1¢	Won
Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?	Yes	$3	3.3¢	Lost
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	$1.1k	54.9¢	Won
Will Vance say "Made in America" during his Rocky Mount visit?	No	$6	74.0¢	Won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	No	$22	36.0¢	Won
Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$55	75.4¢	Won
Will Trump say "Biden" during Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2?	Yes	$15	30.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	No	$48	68.3¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on March 17, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$1	0.7¢	Lost
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$55	3.1¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?	No	$4	11.0¢	Lost
Will "Dude" be said 10+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 8)	Yes	$29	5.9¢	Lost
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	Yes	$23	38.0¢	Lost
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$6	6.1¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	$110	73.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Tariff" 6+ times during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	Yes	$22	37.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?	Yes	$16	1.1¢	Lost
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	$5	45.0¢	Lost
Will "Pearl" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?	No	$1	3.8¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	Yes	$10	0.1¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Fake News" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	No	$12	20.0¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	$58	48.0¢	Lost
Will Drake release a new album by September 30?	No	$2.2k	81.7¢	Won
Pacers vs. Magic	Magic	$10	69.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Most Favored Nation" during Ohio visit?	No	$4	19.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Drobysheve by March 31?	No	$11	7.0¢	Lost
Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	$1	0.5¢	Lost
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?	No	$5	52.0¢	Won
Will Hillary say "Victim" during her Epstein testimony?	No	$36	89.0¢	Won
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?	Yes	$20	6.9¢	Lost
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?	No	$50	50.0¢	Won
Grizzlies vs. Pacers	Grizzlies	$9	87.0¢	Won

Will Trump say "Iran" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?Lost
No$19 @ 13.9¢
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?Won
No$18 @ 88.0¢
Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?Won
No$161 @ 83.0¢
Team World vs. Team USA StarsLost
Team World$9 @ 55.0¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Lost
No$7 @ 3.5¢
Bitcoin above $82,000 on April 18?Lost
No$5 @ 27.0¢
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times April 4 - 11?Lost
Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?Won
No$17 @ 87.0¢
Will Xqc & PlaqueBoyMax Bart win Jynxzi's Rocket League tournament?Won
No$34 @ 84.0¢
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by March 31?Won
No$364 @ 74.8¢
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?Lost
No$10 @ 45.0¢
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?Won
No$80 @ 33.0¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?Won
No$115 @ 46.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Won
No$131 @ 82.0¢
Will Trump say "Anniversary" or "Independence" during Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2?Won
No$0 @ 75.0¢
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5Won
Under 5.5$131 @ 71.3¢
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)Won
No$90 @ 56.2¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$12 @ 1.1¢
Over $1M committed to the Foresee public sale?Won
No$45 @ 75.1¢
Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?Lost
Yes$3 @ 3.3¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Won
No$1.1k @ 54.9¢
Will Vance say "Made in America" during his Rocky Mount visit?Won
No$6 @ 74.0¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Won
No$22 @ 36.0¢
Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$55 @ 75.4¢
Will Trump say "Biden" during Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2?Lost
Yes$15 @ 30.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?Lost
No$48 @ 68.3¢
Will the US next strike Iran on March 17, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$55 @ 3.1¢
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Lost
No$4 @ 11.0¢
Will "Dude" be said 10+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 8)Lost
Yes$29 @ 5.9¢
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$23 @ 38.0¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$6 @ 6.1¢
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Lost
No$110 @ 73.0¢
Will Trump say "Tariff" 6+ times during meetings with Chancellor Merz?Won
Yes$22 @ 37.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Lost
Yes$16 @ 1.1¢
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?Lost
Yes$5 @ 45.0¢
Will "Pearl" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?Lost
No$1 @ 3.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
Will Trump say "Fake News" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?Won
No$12 @ 20.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Lost
No$58 @ 48.0¢
Will Drake release a new album by September 30?Won
No$2.2k @ 81.7¢
Pacers vs. MagicWon
Magic$10 @ 69.0¢
Will Trump say "Most Favored Nation" during Ohio visit?Won
No$4 @ 19.0¢
Will Russia capture Drobysheve by March 31?Lost
No$11 @ 7.0¢
Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?Won
No$5 @ 52.0¢
Will Hillary say "Victim" during her Epstein testimony?Won
No$36 @ 89.0¢
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$20 @ 6.9¢
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?Won
No$50 @ 50.0¢
Grizzlies vs. PacersWon
Grizzlies$9 @ 87.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 7?	Culture	No	$1.2k	88.0¢
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9?	Culture	No	$630	50.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$548	60.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$262	63.9¢
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 11?	Culture	No	$104	18.9¢
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$15	17.6¢
Will XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$14	6.1¢

Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 7?Culture
No$1.2k @ 88.0¢
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9?Culture
No$630 @ 50.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$548 @ 60.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$262 @ 63.9¢
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 11?Culture
No$104 @ 18.9¢
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$15 @ 17.6¢
Will XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$14 @ 6.1¢