0xd979…4a18

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xd979109fb93f3b1305b36ca6b3c9304706684a18
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+1.9pp

ROI

+6%

Win rate

27% @ 24.6¢

Brier

0.174

Resolved

4898

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	28% (877/3107)	+8%	3107
Sports	20% (11/55)	-29%	55
Politics	8% (1/12)	-60%	12
Tech	0% (0/5)	-100%	5
Geopolitics	20% (1/5)	-26%	5
Economy	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Culture	50% (1/2)	+31%	2
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other3107 bets
Hit rate
28% (877/3107)
ROI
+8%
Sports55 bets
Hit rate
20% (11/55)
ROI
-29%
Politics12 bets
Hit rate
8% (1/12)
ROI
-60%
Tech5 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/5)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics5 bets
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
ROI
-26%
Economy2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Culture2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+31%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

28% hit · 891/3189

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 23?	Yes	$3	28.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 2?	Yes	$1	6.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 1?	Yes	$2	43.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 1?	Yes	$4	36.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on April 20?	Yes	$2	15.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on April 12?	Yes	$4	26.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on March 28?	Yes	$4	29.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 1?	Yes	$3	29.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on April 24?	Yes	$5	48.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 3?	Yes	$4	28.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 4?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 6?	Yes	$4	36.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 23?	Yes	$6	38.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 6?	Yes	$2	9.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 23?	Yes	$3	22.0¢	Lost
Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?	No	$7	72.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 27?	Yes	$3	33.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 4?	Yes	$2	15.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 26?	Yes	$2	21.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 5?	Yes	$3	30.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 20?	Yes	$3	35.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on March 26?	Yes	$4	28.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on February 20?	Yes	$2	20.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 3?	Yes	$0	3.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on May 7?	Yes	$2	24.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 12?	Yes	$5	26.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on April 4?	Yes	$4	40.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on January 28?	Yes	$2	35.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 14?	Yes	$2	19.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on March 26?	Yes	$4	27.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on April 9?	Yes	$3	13.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 8?	Yes	$2	23.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on March 4?	Yes	$1	10.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 25?	Yes	$4	37.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 72°F or higher on March 15?	Yes	$8	82.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on April 15?	Yes	$4	27.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 2?	Yes	$4	10.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 2?	Yes	$4	39.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on April 10?	Yes	$2	14.0¢	Lost
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?	Yes	$2	32.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on April 16?	Yes	$3	27.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 2?	Yes	$4	35.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on March 17?	Yes	$2	15.0¢	Lost
Anthropic CEO arrested?	Yes	$1	4.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 10?	Yes	$6	36.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on February 17?	Yes	$2	30.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on May 2?	Yes	$4	19.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 36-37°F on January 31?	Yes	$1	25.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 50-51°F on January 30?	Yes	$1	15.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 5?	Yes	$2	23.2¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 23?Lost
Yes$3 @ 28.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 2?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 1?Lost
Yes$2 @ 43.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 1?Lost
Yes$4 @ 36.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on April 20?Lost
Yes$2 @ 15.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on April 12?Lost
Yes$4 @ 26.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on March 28?Lost
Yes$4 @ 29.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 1?Won
Yes$3 @ 29.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on April 24?Won
Yes$5 @ 48.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 3?Won
Yes$4 @ 28.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 4?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 6?Won
Yes$4 @ 36.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 23?Lost
Yes$6 @ 38.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 6?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.4¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 23?Lost
Yes$3 @ 22.0¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?Won
No$7 @ 72.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 27?Lost
Yes$3 @ 33.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 4?Lost
Yes$2 @ 15.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 26?Lost
Yes$2 @ 21.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 5?Lost
Yes$3 @ 30.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 20?Lost
Yes$3 @ 35.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on March 26?Lost
Yes$4 @ 28.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on February 20?Lost
Yes$2 @ 20.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 3?Lost
Yes$0 @ 3.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on May 7?Lost
Yes$2 @ 24.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 12?Lost
Yes$5 @ 26.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on April 4?Lost
Yes$4 @ 40.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on January 28?Lost
Yes$2 @ 35.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 14?Won
Yes$2 @ 19.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on March 26?Lost
Yes$4 @ 27.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on April 9?Lost
Yes$3 @ 13.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 8?Lost
Yes$2 @ 23.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on March 4?Lost
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 25?Lost
Yes$4 @ 37.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 72°F or higher on March 15?Won
Yes$8 @ 82.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on April 15?Won
Yes$4 @ 27.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 2?Lost
Yes$4 @ 10.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 2?Lost
Yes$4 @ 39.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on April 10?Lost
Yes$2 @ 14.0¢
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?Won
Yes$2 @ 32.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on April 16?Lost
Yes$3 @ 27.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 2?Lost
Yes$4 @ 35.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on March 17?Lost
Yes$2 @ 15.0¢
Anthropic CEO arrested?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 10?Lost
Yes$6 @ 36.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on February 17?Lost
Yes$2 @ 30.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on May 2?Lost
Yes$4 @ 19.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 36-37°F on January 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 50-51°F on January 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 15.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 5?Lost
Yes$2 @ 23.2¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$76	3.8¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$29	57.3¢
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$16	7.8¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	No	$14	71.5¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Other	Yes	$10	15.4¢
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$10	71.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$7	22.0¢
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$6	6.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	No	$5	17.0¢
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$5	5.0¢
Will Sabrina Carpenter have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Culture	Yes	$4	43.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$4	8.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	No	$4	39.0¢
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$3	14.0¢
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?	Culture	Yes	$3	25.9¢
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$3	25.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2	11.2¢
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2	22.0¢
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$2	7.0¢
New pandemic in 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$2	13.0¢
Will Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Culture	Yes	$2	40.0¢
Will Travis Scott have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Culture	Yes	$2	35.0¢
McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2	8.0¢
Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31?	Business	Yes	$1	3.0¢
Will Rihanna have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Culture	Yes	$1	24.8¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$1	12.0¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1	11.0¢
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$1	22.0¢
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1	3.5¢
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1	8.0¢

Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$76 @ 3.8¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$29 @ 57.3¢
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$16 @ 7.8¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
No$14 @ 71.5¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
Yes$10 @ 15.4¢
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$10 @ 71.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$7 @ 22.0¢
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$6 @ 6.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
No$5 @ 17.0¢
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Politics
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will Sabrina Carpenter have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Culture
Yes$4 @ 43.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
Yes$4 @ 8.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
No$4 @ 39.0¢
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$3 @ 14.0¢
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Culture
Yes$3 @ 25.9¢
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?Politics
Yes$3 @ 25.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics
Yes$2 @ 11.2¢
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics
Yes$2 @ 22.0¢
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?Politics
Yes$2 @ 7.0¢
New pandemic in 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$2 @ 13.0¢
Will Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Culture
Yes$2 @ 40.0¢
Will Travis Scott have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Culture
Yes$2 @ 35.0¢
McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?Politics
Yes$2 @ 8.0¢
Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31?Business
Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
Will Rihanna have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Culture
Yes$1 @ 24.8¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics
Yes$1 @ 12.0¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$1 @ 11.0¢
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
Yes$1 @ 22.0¢
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
Yes$1 @ 3.5¢
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?Politics
Yes$1 @ 8.0¢