0xd975…c6d6

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xd975ed1e020a908f7192004e6989c49a9f26c6d6
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.3pp

ROI

+28%

Win rate

32% @ 27.6¢

Brier

0.141

Resolved

986

Avg size

$17

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	48% (75/155)	+28%	155
Politics	100% (1/1)	+18%	1

Other155 bets
Hit rate
48% (75/155)
ROI
+28%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+18%

Track record

49% hit · 76/156

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
NJ-07 election: Altman (D) vs. Kean (R)	Kean	$36	72.0¢	Won
Dolphins vs. Colts	Colts	$133	28.7¢	Won
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?	No	$20	51.0¢	Won
Will a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election?	No	$11	22.0¢	Lost
Kamala flips a 2020 Trump state?	No	$65	65.0¢	Won
Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?	Yes	$3	1.0¢	Lost
Will Jimmy Carter attend presidential inauguration?	Yes	$33	3.3¢	Lost
CA-45 election: Tran (D) vs. Steel (R)	Steel	$460	20.2¢	Lost
Will Shedeur Sanders get drafted top 10 in the 2025 NFL Draft?	Yes	$12	12.0¢	Lost
Will Michigan be the closest state?	Yes	$10	9.7¢	Lost
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?	Yes	$76	76.0¢	Won
House control after 2024 election?	Republican	$50	50.0¢	Won
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?	Yes	$168	16.8¢	Won
Will the next US Speaker be elected in three ballots?	Yes	$172	23.0¢	Lost
State wide recount in Presidential Election?	No	$12	49.0¢	Won
Will a Republican win Montana US Senate Election?	Yes	$21	84.0¢	Won
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$72	70.9¢	Won
Will Trump get more votes than 2020?	No	$19	19.5¢	Lost
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64	Yes	$28	14.0¢	Lost
Will Utah beat TCU?	TCU	$40	80.0¢	Won
Will Republicans control 223 seats in the House after the election?	Yes	$14	0.4¢	Lost
Will Trump do better in Ohio or Texas?	Ohio	$58	58.4¢	Lost
Trump wins 281-257 - AZ, GA, NC, PA	Yes	$7	7.0¢	Lost
Will the AP call the election by November 12?	Yes	$9	34.0¢	Won
NY-19 election: Riley (D) vs. Molinaro (R)	Molinaro	$133	17.7¢	Lost
PA-07 election: Wild (D) vs. Mackenzie (R)	Mackenzie	$5	11.0¢	Won
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?	No	$46	46.0¢	Won
Will a Republican win Wisconsin US Senate Election?	Yes	$28	28.2¢	Lost
PA-10 election: Stelson (D) vs. Perry (R)	Perry	$43	55.4¢	Won
Will Jalen Milroe be drafted in the First Round?	Yes	$38	38.0¢	Lost
Will Wesley Hunt win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?	No	$4	76.0¢	Won
Will Travis Hunter play offense and defense?	Yes	$65	65.0¢	Won
Will Trump nominate RFK Jr. for HHS Secretary?	Yes	$16	31.0¢	Won
AZ-06 election: Engel (D) vs. Ciscomani (R)	Ciscomani	$117	66.6¢	Won
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?	Yes	$457	46.9¢	Won
Will 3 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs?	Yes	$94	31.3¢	Won
IA-01 election: Bohannan (D) vs. Miller-Meeks (R)	Miller-Meeks	$273	46.9¢	Won
Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?	Yes	$23	77.0¢	Won
Will Republicans control 224 seats in the House after the election?	Yes	$8	3.0¢	Lost
Will a Republican win Nebraska's 2nd congressional district?	Yes	$13	12.9¢	Lost
Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep?	No	$39	60.6¢	Won
Will Republicans control 225 seats in the House after the election?	Yes	$5	1.2¢	Lost
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154	Yes	$34	6.8¢	Lost
Who will get drafted first: Travis Hunter or Abdul Carter?	Carter	$0	3.1¢	Lost
Will Wisconsin be the tipping point state?	Yes	$9	18.0¢	Lost
Trump wins 270-268 - GA, NC, PA	Yes	$25	2.5¢	Lost
Will there be 57 or more combined points scored?	Under	$66	61.5¢	Won
Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?	Yes	$83	82.5¢	Won
Will Republicans control 222 seats in the House after the election?	Yes	$270	17.4¢	Lost
CA-22 election: Salas (D) vs. Valadao (R)	Valadao	$26	33.1¢	Won

NJ-07 election: Altman (D) vs. Kean (R)Won
Kean$36 @ 72.0¢
Dolphins vs. ColtsWon
Colts$133 @ 28.7¢
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Won
No$20 @ 51.0¢
Will a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election?Lost
No$11 @ 22.0¢
Kamala flips a 2020 Trump state?Won
No$65 @ 65.0¢
Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.0¢
Will Jimmy Carter attend presidential inauguration?Lost
Yes$33 @ 3.3¢
CA-45 election: Tran (D) vs. Steel (R)Lost
Steel$460 @ 20.2¢
Will Shedeur Sanders get drafted top 10 in the 2025 NFL Draft?Lost
Yes$12 @ 12.0¢
Will Michigan be the closest state? Lost
Yes$10 @ 9.7¢
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?Won
Yes$76 @ 76.0¢
House control after 2024 election?Won
Republican$50 @ 50.0¢
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?Won
Yes$168 @ 16.8¢
Will the next US Speaker be elected in three ballots?Lost
Yes$172 @ 23.0¢
State wide recount in Presidential Election? Won
No$12 @ 49.0¢
Will a Republican win Montana US Senate Election?Won
Yes$21 @ 84.0¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Won
Yes$72 @ 70.9¢
Will Trump get more votes than 2020?Lost
No$19 @ 19.5¢
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64Lost
Yes$28 @ 14.0¢
Will Utah beat TCU?Won
TCU$40 @ 80.0¢
Will Republicans control 223 seats in the House after the election?Lost
Yes$14 @ 0.4¢
Will Trump do better in Ohio or Texas?Lost
Ohio$58 @ 58.4¢
Trump wins 281-257 - AZ, GA, NC, PA Lost
Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
Will the AP call the election by November 12?Won
Yes$9 @ 34.0¢
NY-19 election: Riley (D) vs. Molinaro (R)Lost
Molinaro$133 @ 17.7¢
PA-07 election: Wild (D) vs. Mackenzie (R)Won
Mackenzie$5 @ 11.0¢
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?Won
No$46 @ 46.0¢
Will a Republican win Wisconsin US Senate Election?Lost
Yes$28 @ 28.2¢
PA-10 election: Stelson (D) vs. Perry (R)Won
Perry$43 @ 55.4¢
Will Jalen Milroe be drafted in the First Round?Lost
Yes$38 @ 38.0¢
Will Wesley Hunt win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?Won
No$4 @ 76.0¢
Will Travis Hunter play offense and defense?Won
Yes$65 @ 65.0¢
Will Trump nominate RFK Jr. for HHS Secretary?Won
Yes$16 @ 31.0¢
AZ-06 election: Engel (D) vs. Ciscomani (R)Won
Ciscomani$117 @ 66.6¢
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?Won
Yes$457 @ 46.9¢
Will 3 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs?Won
Yes$94 @ 31.3¢
IA-01 election: Bohannan (D) vs. Miller-Meeks (R)Won
Miller-Meeks$273 @ 46.9¢
Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?Won
Yes$23 @ 77.0¢
Will Republicans control 224 seats in the House after the election?Lost
Yes$8 @ 3.0¢
Will a Republican win Nebraska's 2nd congressional district?Lost
Yes$13 @ 12.9¢
Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep?Won
No$39 @ 60.6¢
Will Republicans control 225 seats in the House after the election?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.2¢
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154Lost
Yes$34 @ 6.8¢
Who will get drafted first: Travis Hunter or Abdul Carter?Lost
Carter$0 @ 3.1¢
Will Wisconsin be the tipping point state?Lost
Yes$9 @ 18.0¢
Trump wins 270-268 - GA, NC, PALost
Yes$25 @ 2.5¢
Will there be 57 or more combined points scored?Won
Under$66 @ 61.5¢
Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?Won
Yes$83 @ 82.5¢
Will Republicans control 222 seats in the House after the election?Lost
Yes$270 @ 17.4¢
CA-22 election: Salas (D) vs. Valadao (R)Won
Valadao$26 @ 33.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Politics	No	$732	72.8¢
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?	Politics	No	$568	77.7¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$519	50.9¢
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$365	42.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$329	52.2¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$246	49.3¢
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$208	42.4¢
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?	Politics	Yes	$201	31.3¢
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$199	66.2¢
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$195	75.1¢
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$143	59.8¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$140	34.1¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Politics	No	$126	42.0¢
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$121	1.2¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$110	27.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$106	24.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$100	50.0¢
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Politics	No	$94	67.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$87	54.1¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$84	28.0¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$84	21.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$80	80.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$80	40.8¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	No	$76	38.0¢
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$63	18.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$62	13.8¢
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$58	9.1¢
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$57	17.9¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$57	76.7¢
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$54	19.4¢

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics
No$732 @ 72.8¢
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?Politics
No$568 @ 77.7¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$519 @ 50.9¢
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$365 @ 42.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$329 @ 52.2¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$246 @ 49.3¢
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$208 @ 42.4¢
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics
Yes$201 @ 31.3¢
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$199 @ 66.2¢
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$195 @ 75.1¢
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$143 @ 59.8¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$140 @ 34.1¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
No$126 @ 42.0¢
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$121 @ 1.2¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$110 @ 27.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Politics
No$106 @ 24.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$100 @ 50.0¢
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics
No$94 @ 67.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$87 @ 54.1¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$84 @ 28.0¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$84 @ 21.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Politics
No$80 @ 80.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$80 @ 40.8¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
No$76 @ 38.0¢
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$63 @ 18.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$62 @ 13.8¢
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$58 @ 9.1¢
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$57 @ 17.9¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$57 @ 76.7¢
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics
No$54 @ 19.4¢