← Smart money
0xd96b…474d
SharpEdge
+29.0pp
ROI
+60%
Win rate
89% @ 60.5¢
Brier
0.171
Resolved
38
Avg size
$141
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 50% (3/6) | +60% | 6 |
- Other6 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (3/6)
- ROI
- +60%
Track record
50% hit · 3/6| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | Yes | $97 | 68.7¢ | Lost |
| Heat vs. Warriors | Heat | $27 | 33.0¢ | Lost |
| Celtics vs. Nuggets | Celtics | $19 | 46.0¢ | Lost |
| Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election? | No | $60 | 87.7¢ | Won |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | No | $990 | 65.1¢ | Won |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $4.2k | 59.6¢ | Won |
- Yes$97 @ 68.7¢
- Heat$27 @ 33.0¢
- Celtics$19 @ 46.0¢
- No$60 @ 87.7¢
- No$990 @ 65.1¢
- Yes$4.2k @ 59.6¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Geopolitics | No | $30 | 94.0¢ |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October? | Crypto | No | $6 | 97.5¢ |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Tech | No | $5 | 99.1¢ |
| Will Solana dip to $50 in October? | Crypto | No | $5 | 99.6¢ |
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?GeopoliticsNo$30 @ 94.0¢
- No$6 @ 97.5¢
- No$5 @ 99.1¢
- No$5 @ 99.6¢