0xd863…b7e2

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xd863b5bfae9eebc41f7b88cf0e400a44573bb7e2
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+2.4pp

ROI

+11%

Win rate

52% @ 49.6¢

Brier

0.205

Resolved

4192

Avg size

$10

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	49% (916/1858)	+10%	1858
Other	51% (229/450)	-7%	450

Sports1858 bets
Hit rate
49% (916/1858)
ROI
+10%
Other450 bets
Hit rate
51% (229/450)
ROI
-7%

Track record

50% hit · 1145/2308

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Spread: Middle Tennessee (-10.5)	Middle Tennessee	$13	21.0¢	Lost
Spread: Delaware (-6.5)	Delaware	$7	34.0¢	Lost
Spread: Delaware (-10.5)	Delaware	$7	23.0¢	Lost
Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee: O/U 47.5	Under	$13	47.0¢	Lost
Knicks vs. Raptors	Raptors	$16	77.1¢	Won
Will Fath Union Sport win on 2026-10-13?	No	$1	70.0¢	Won
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	$1	40.0¢	Lost
Will Birmingham City FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?	No	$8	79.0¢	Won
Will Birmingham City FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?	Yes	$4	21.6¢	Lost
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-10-13?	No	$14	73.0¢	Won
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-10-13?	No	$1	35.0¢	Lost
Cardiff City FC vs. Watford FC: Both Teams to Score	No	$4	38.0¢	Lost
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-10-13?	No	$2	83.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Cardiff City FC 1 - 1 Watford FC?	No	$7	90.0¢	Won
Birmingham City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 3.5	Over	$3	32.0¢	Won
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-10-13?	No	$2	78.0¢	Lost
Burnley FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 3.5	Over	$2	29.0¢	Won
Spread: Stoke City FC (-1.5)	Middlesbrough FC	$2	91.0¢	Won
Stoke City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5	Under	$3	22.6¢	Lost
Cardiff City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 5.5	Under	$26	88.0¢	Lost
Stoke City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5	Under	$1	83.0¢	Lost
Stoke City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to Score	No	$7	51.4¢	Lost
Birmingham City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 2.5	Under	$2	44.0¢	Lost
Wadi Degla SC leading at halftime?	No	$20	74.0¢	Lost
Spread: Cardiff City FC (-1.5)	Cardiff City FC	$2	57.0¢	Won
Will Cardiff City FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?	No	$1	86.0¢	Won
Wrexham AFC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 0.5	Under	$1	44.0¢	Lost
Will Burnley FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC end in a draw?	Yes	$3	28.6¢	Won
Burnley FC leading at halftime?	No	$1	56.0¢	Lost
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Bolton Wanderers FC: O/U 0.5	Under	$1	8.7¢	Lost
Exact Score: Montakhab Suez Petrojet 2 - 2 Wadi Degla SC?	Yes	$1	5.2¢	Won
Arsenal FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Under	$13	64.0¢	Won
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Bolton Wanderers FC end in a draw?	Yes	$6	27.4¢	Lost
Spread: Cardiff City FC (-3.5)	Cardiff City FC	$2	8.0¢	Won
Cardiff City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 6.5	Under	$2	82.0¢	Won
Portugal vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 3.5	Under	$3	59.0¢	Lost
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-13?	No	$3	55.0¢	Lost
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	$6	92.0¢	Won
Al-Ittihad Club vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: O/U 3.5	Over	$1	40.0¢	Lost
Al-Ittihad Club vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: O/U 4.5	Under	$24	80.0¢	Won
Will Wrexham AFC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?	Yes	$15	36.1¢	Lost
Bristol City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5	Under	$1	84.0¢	Won
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-10-13?	No	$3	79.0¢	Lost
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	$4	70.0¢	Lost
Will Montakhab Suez Petrojet vs. Wadi Degla SC end in a draw?	No	$5	68.0¢	Lost
Will Bristol City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?	Yes	$2	29.0¢	Lost
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-10-13?	No	$3	90.0¢	Won
Will Mamelodi Sundowns win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	$18	76.0¢	Won
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	$1	58.0¢	Lost
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5	Under	$2	52.0¢	Won

Spread: Middle Tennessee (-10.5)Lost
Middle Tennessee$13 @ 21.0¢
Spread: Delaware (-6.5)Lost
Delaware$7 @ 34.0¢
Spread: Delaware (-10.5)Lost
Delaware$7 @ 23.0¢
Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee: O/U 47.5Lost
Under$13 @ 47.0¢
Knicks vs. RaptorsWon
Raptors$16 @ 77.1¢
Will Fath Union Sport win on 2026-10-13?Won
No$1 @ 70.0¢
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-10-13?Lost
Yes$1 @ 40.0¢
Will Birmingham City FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?Won
No$8 @ 79.0¢
Will Birmingham City FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$4 @ 21.6¢
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-10-13?Won
No$14 @ 73.0¢
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-10-13?Lost
No$1 @ 35.0¢
Cardiff City FC vs. Watford FC: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$4 @ 38.0¢
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-10-13?Won
No$2 @ 83.0¢
Exact Score: Cardiff City FC 1 - 1 Watford FC?Won
No$7 @ 90.0¢
Birmingham City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 3.5Won
Over$3 @ 32.0¢
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-10-13?Lost
No$2 @ 78.0¢
Burnley FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 3.5Won
Over$2 @ 29.0¢
Spread: Stoke City FC (-1.5)Won
Middlesbrough FC$2 @ 91.0¢
Stoke City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5Lost
Under$3 @ 22.6¢
Cardiff City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 5.5Lost
Under$26 @ 88.0¢
Stoke City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$1 @ 83.0¢
Stoke City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$7 @ 51.4¢
Birmingham City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$2 @ 44.0¢
Wadi Degla SC leading at halftime?Lost
No$20 @ 74.0¢
Spread: Cardiff City FC (-1.5)Won
Cardiff City FC$2 @ 57.0¢
Will Cardiff City FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?Won
No$1 @ 86.0¢
Wrexham AFC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 0.5Lost
Under$1 @ 44.0¢
Will Burnley FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC end in a draw?Won
Yes$3 @ 28.6¢
Burnley FC leading at halftime?Lost
No$1 @ 56.0¢
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Bolton Wanderers FC: O/U 0.5Lost
Under$1 @ 8.7¢
Exact Score: Montakhab Suez Petrojet 2 - 2 Wadi Degla SC?Won
Yes$1 @ 5.2¢
Arsenal FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 10.5 Total CornersWon
Under$13 @ 64.0¢
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Bolton Wanderers FC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$6 @ 27.4¢
Spread: Cardiff City FC (-3.5)Won
Cardiff City FC$2 @ 8.0¢
Cardiff City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 6.5Won
Under$2 @ 82.0¢
Portugal vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$3 @ 59.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-13?Lost
No$3 @ 55.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-13?Won
Yes$6 @ 92.0¢
Al-Ittihad Club vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$1 @ 40.0¢
Al-Ittihad Club vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: O/U 4.5Won
Under$24 @ 80.0¢
Will Wrexham AFC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$15 @ 36.1¢
Bristol City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5Won
Under$1 @ 84.0¢
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-10-13?Lost
No$3 @ 79.0¢
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-10-13?Lost
Yes$4 @ 70.0¢
Will Montakhab Suez Petrojet vs. Wadi Degla SC end in a draw?Lost
No$5 @ 68.0¢
Will Bristol City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$2 @ 29.0¢
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-10-13?Won
No$3 @ 90.0¢
Will Mamelodi Sundowns win on 2026-10-13?Won
Yes$18 @ 76.0¢
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$1 @ 58.0¢
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5Won
Under$2 @ 52.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Arsenal FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5	Sports	Over	$126	41.0¢
IFK Norrkoping FK vs. GIF Sundsvall: O/U 6.5	Sports	Under	$88	95.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13?	Sports	Yes	$75	81.0¢
Bahcesehir Koleji vs. Basquet Manresa	Sports	Bahcesehir Koleji	$62	89.9¢
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	Sports	Galatasaray SK	$50	68.0¢
Santa Cruz 2: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Lucio Ratti	Sports	Lucio Ratti	$47	22.4¢
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-13?	Sports	No	$46	30.1¢
IFK Norrkoping FK leading at halftime?	—	Yes	$35	52.0¢
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)	Sports	FC Internazionale Milano	$33	59.0¢
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	Sports	No	$29	36.5¢
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-13?	Sports	No	$29	33.3¢
Will Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Sports	No	$27	86.2¢
Roanne: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Etienne Donnet	Sports	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	$27	41.0¢
Cardiff City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 5.5	Sports	Under	$26	88.0¢
Al-Ittihad Club vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: O/U 4.5	Sports	Under	$24	80.0¢
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	Sports	Viking FK	$22	67.0¢
Iceland vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5	Sports	Over	$22	26.0¢
Exact Score: IFK Norrkoping FK 2 - 0 GIF Sundsvall?	Sports	No	$22	89.1¢
RB Leipzig vs. PSV: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Sports	Under	$22	23.0¢
Will Hansa Rostock win on 2026-10-13?	—	Yes	$21	66.7¢
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-10-13?	Sports	No	$21	73.9¢
Wadi Degla SC leading at halftime?	—	No	$20	74.0¢
Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Sports	Under	$20	21.0¢
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)	Sports	FC Internazionale Milano	$20	39.0¢
Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: Galatasaray SK O/U 2.5	Sports	Under	$18	87.7¢
Racing Club de Lens vs. Sporting CP: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Sports	Under	$18	57.7¢
Will Mamelodi Sundowns win on 2026-10-13?	Sports	Yes	$18	76.0¢
Will Scotland win on 2026-10-13?	Sports	No	$18	76.0¢
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5	Sports	Over	$17	53.0¢
Knicks vs. Raptors	Sports	Raptors	$16	77.1¢

Arsenal FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5Sports
Over$126 @ 41.0¢
IFK Norrkoping FK vs. GIF Sundsvall: O/U 6.5Sports
Under$88 @ 95.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13?Sports
Yes$75 @ 81.0¢
Bahcesehir Koleji vs. Basquet ManresaSports
Bahcesehir Koleji$62 @ 89.9¢
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)Sports
Galatasaray SK$50 @ 68.0¢
Santa Cruz 2: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Lucio RattiSports
Lucio Ratti$47 @ 22.4¢
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-13?Sports
No$46 @ 30.1¢
IFK Norrkoping FK leading at halftime?—
Yes$35 @ 52.0¢
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)Sports
FC Internazionale Milano$33 @ 59.0¢
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to ScoreSports
No$29 @ 36.5¢
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-13?Sports
No$29 @ 33.3¢
Will Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?Sports
No$27 @ 86.2¢
Roanne: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Etienne DonnetSports
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard$27 @ 41.0¢
Cardiff City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 5.5Sports
Under$26 @ 88.0¢
Al-Ittihad Club vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: O/U 4.5Sports
Under$24 @ 80.0¢
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)Sports
Viking FK$22 @ 67.0¢
Iceland vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5Sports
Over$22 @ 26.0¢
Exact Score: IFK Norrkoping FK 2 - 0 GIF Sundsvall?Sports
No$22 @ 89.1¢
RB Leipzig vs. PSV: 1st Half O/U 0.5Sports
Under$22 @ 23.0¢
Will Hansa Rostock win on 2026-10-13?—
Yes$21 @ 66.7¢
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-10-13?Sports
No$21 @ 73.9¢
Wadi Degla SC leading at halftime?—
No$20 @ 74.0¢
Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: 1st Half O/U 0.5Sports
Under$20 @ 21.0¢
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)Sports
FC Internazionale Milano$20 @ 39.0¢
Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: Galatasaray SK O/U 2.5Sports
Under$18 @ 87.7¢
Racing Club de Lens vs. Sporting CP: 1st Half O/U 1.5Sports
Under$18 @ 57.7¢
Will Mamelodi Sundowns win on 2026-10-13?Sports
Yes$18 @ 76.0¢
Will Scotland win on 2026-10-13?Sports
No$18 @ 76.0¢
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5Sports
Over$17 @ 53.0¢
Knicks vs. RaptorsSports
Raptors$16 @ 77.1¢