0xd7e6…4f99

Specialization by sphere

• Other73 bets

  Hit rate

  48% (35/73)

  ROI

  +8%

• Crypto7 bets

  Hit rate

  71% (5/7)

  ROI

  +95%

• Politics6 bets

  Hit rate

  83% (5/6)

  ROI

  +25%

• Geopolitics2 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (2/2)

  ROI

  +19%

• Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 11?Lost
  Yes$202 @ 80.9¢
• 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Won
  No$100 @ 85.0¢
• Will Gainzy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?Lost
  Yes$50 @ 32.1¢
• Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?Lost
  No$100 @ 81.2¢
• Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Won
  No$200 @ 69.6¢
• Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Won
  No$125 @ 41.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$500 @ 27.0¢
• US x China tariff agreement by November 10?Lost
  No$250 @ 19.6¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?Won
  No$500 @ 69.0¢
• Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?Won
  No$4.6k @ 80.3¢
• Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?Won
  Yes$100 @ 44.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
  No$2.5k @ 87.4¢
• Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$473 @ 61.6¢
• Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Lost
  Yes$250 @ 58.5¢
• Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?Lost
  No$100 @ 12.0¢
• MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?Lost
  No$75 @ 38.4¢
• Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?Won
  No$75 @ 30.0¢
• Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Won
  Yes$132 @ 65.0¢
• Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Won
  Yes$600 @ 89.6¢
• Will Slovakia win on 2025-11-17?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 7.0¢
• Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027?Lost
  No$200 @ 22.1¢
• US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?Lost
  Yes$50 @ 47.8¢
• US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 11.8¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Won
  No$69 @ 87.0¢
• Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?Won
  No$182 @ 19.9¢
• Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Lost
  No$100 @ 43.0¢
• Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?Won
  No$1000 @ 39.0¢
• Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Lost
  No$264 @ 33.0¢
• Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Won
  No$2.3k @ 89.4¢
• Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Won
  Yes$40 @ 11.0¢
• Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026?Lost
  No$58 @ 23.5¢
• Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?Lost
  Yes$100 @ 1.2¢
• Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Won
  Yes$200 @ 15.3¢
• Will Ethereum dip to $3,600 October 27-November 2?Lost
  Yes$50 @ 16.0¢
• Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Lost
  Yes$150 @ 9.3¢
• Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?Lost
  No$150 @ 72.0¢
• Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?Won
  No$250 @ 78.3¢
• Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?Won
  No$390 @ 71.0¢
• Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Lost
  Yes$200 @ 7.5¢
• Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?Won
  No$334 @ 62.2¢
• Over 40,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?Lost
  Yes$58 @ 5.2¢
• Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2025?Won
  No$140 @ 79.8¢
• Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Won
  No$200 @ 87.0¢
• Tread FDV above $40M one day after launchWon
  Yes$71 @ 56.0¢
• Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 1.9¢
• Will Phantom launch a token in 2025?Won
  No$100 @ 89.0¢
• Over 55,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?Lost
  Yes$54 @ 1.3¢
• Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?Won
  No$1.1k @ 88.5¢
• Over 50,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?Lost
  Yes$70 @ 1.8¢
• Will Germany win on 2025-11-17?Lost
  No$10 @ 22.0¢

Current positions

• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
  No$2.9k @ 92.2¢
• Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?Politics
  No$2.5k @ 93.0¢
• Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics
  No$1.9k @ 92.5¢
• Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Politics
  Yes$1.3k @ 91.5¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics
  No$1.3k @ 85.8¢
• Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
  No$1.3k @ 94.7¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$1.1k @ 94.0¢
• Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?Politics
  No$1.1k @ 96.1¢
• Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Politics
  No$965 @ 91.4¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$965 @ 89.8¢
• Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$936 @ 78.0¢
• Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$857 @ 82.3¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$750 @ 91.3¢
• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$750 @ 91.7¢
• Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$690 @ 90.6¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$610 @ 80.3¢
• Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?Crypto
  No$550 @ 87.0¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$509 @ 35.6¢
• Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$500 @ 92.3¢
• Will Zcash dip to $400 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$485 @ 88.7¢
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics
  No$470 @ 94.0¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$470 @ 94.0¢
• Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?Crypto
  No$450 @ 82.0¢
• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics
  No$445 @ 89.0¢
• Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$442 @ 88.5¢
• Will Zcash dip to $300 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$441 @ 88.6¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$440 @ 72.7¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$396 @ 88.0¢
• Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$395 @ 80.6¢
• Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Politics
  No$375 @ 93.7¢