0xd787…7c12

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xd78722b6369e63973ec4b680eae115663d0f7c12
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.4pp

ROI

+31%

Win rate

33% @ 25.9¢

Brier

0.178

Resolved

594

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	33% (105/318)	+23%	318
Sports	14% (5/35)	-69%	35
Politics	38% (5/13)	-23%	13
Economy	44% (4/9)	+314%	9
Geopolitics	29% (2/7)	-62%	7
Crypto	40% (2/5)	-28%	5
Tech	0% (0/3)	-100%	3

Other318 bets
Hit rate
33% (105/318)
ROI
+23%
Sports35 bets
Hit rate
14% (5/35)
ROI
-69%
Politics13 bets
Hit rate
38% (5/13)
ROI
-23%
Economy9 bets
Hit rate
44% (4/9)
ROI
+314%
Geopolitics7 bets
Hit rate
29% (2/7)
ROI
-62%
Crypto5 bets
Hit rate
40% (2/5)
ROI
-28%
Tech3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%

Track record

32% hit · 123/390

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 9?	Down	$1	1.8¢	Lost
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 0 SV Werder Bremen?	Yes	$3	10.0¢	Lost
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	$13	56.4¢	Lost
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 8?	Down	$4	27.0¢	Lost
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 8?	Up	$1	6.0¢	Lost
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	$3	24.0¢	Lost
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	$3	23.0¢	Lost
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	$2	43.0¢	Won
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	$8	4.3¢	Lost
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 6?	Down	$2	10.0¢	Lost
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on October 5?	Down	$7	19.4¢	Lost
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 5?	Down	$5	51.0¢	Lost
Will Germany win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	$3	29.4¢	Lost
Will Greece vs. Germany end in a draw?	No	$3	41.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3?	Up	$2	6.0¢	Lost
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2?	Down	$22	2.3¢	Lost
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 2?	Down	$4	14.0¢	Lost
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 1?	Down	$12	9.3¢	Lost
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	$6	21.9¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in October?	No	$6	1.2¢	Lost
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30?	Down	$3	32.0¢	Won
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.6% or more in August?	Yes	$4	4.3¢	Lost
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 29?	Down	$11	55.7¢	Won
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 28?	Up	$4	28.0¢	Lost
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	$4	5.8¢	Won
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 25?	Down	$2	21.0¢	Lost
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 25?	Down	$3	13.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?	No	$3	49.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?	Yes	$1	2.7¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?	No	$3	16.7¢	Won
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?	Yes	$4	8.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?	No	$1	4.5¢	Won
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$5	1.9¢	Lost
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	$5	37.6¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$3	3.4¢	Lost
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	Yes	$21	25.7¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	Yes	$1	1.5¢	Lost
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?	No	$2	31.3¢	Lost
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?	Yes	$1	29.0¢	Won
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?	No	$10	79.0¢	Won
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,860 on the final trading day of February 2026?	No	$7	24.9¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 9?	Yes	$2	3.7¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 17?	No	$2	52.3¢	Won
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-24?	Yes	$1	44.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1?	No	$4	26.1¢	Won
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	No	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	$33	19.2¢	Won
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	$2	19.0¢	Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?	Yes	$1	37.0¢	Lost
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	$1	18.0¢	Won

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 9?Lost
Down$1 @ 1.8¢
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 0 SV Werder Bremen?Lost
Yes$3 @ 10.0¢
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09?Lost
Yes$13 @ 56.4¢
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 8?Lost
Down$4 @ 27.0¢
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 8?Lost
Up$1 @ 6.0¢
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on October 7?Lost
Up$3 @ 24.0¢
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 7?Lost
Up$3 @ 23.0¢
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?Won
Down$2 @ 43.0¢
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?Lost
Up$8 @ 4.3¢
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 6?Lost
Down$2 @ 10.0¢
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on October 5?Lost
Down$7 @ 19.4¢
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 5?Lost
Down$5 @ 51.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-10-04?Lost
Yes$3 @ 29.4¢
Will Greece vs. Germany end in a draw?Lost
No$3 @ 41.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3?Lost
Up$2 @ 6.0¢
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2?Lost
Down$22 @ 2.3¢
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 2?Lost
Down$4 @ 14.0¢
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 1?Lost
Down$12 @ 9.3¢
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?Lost
Down$6 @ 21.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in October?Lost
No$6 @ 1.2¢
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30?Won
Down$3 @ 32.0¢
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.6% or more in August?Lost
Yes$4 @ 4.3¢
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 29?Won
Down$11 @ 55.7¢
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 28?Lost
Up$4 @ 28.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?Won
Yes$4 @ 5.8¢
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 25?Lost
Down$2 @ 21.0¢
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 25?Lost
Down$3 @ 13.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?Won
No$3 @ 49.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?Won
No$3 @ 16.7¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Lost
Yes$4 @ 8.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?Won
No$1 @ 4.5¢
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.9¢
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Lost
No$5 @ 37.6¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$3 @ 3.4¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?Won
Yes$21 @ 25.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.5¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?Lost
No$2 @ 31.3¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?Won
Yes$1 @ 29.0¢
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?Won
No$10 @ 79.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,860 on the final trading day of February 2026?Lost
No$7 @ 24.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 9?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 17?Won
No$2 @ 52.3¢
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-24?Won
Yes$1 @ 44.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1?Won
No$4 @ 26.1¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?Lost
No$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?Won
Yes$33 @ 19.2¢
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Lost
Yes$2 @ 19.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?Lost
Yes$1 @ 37.0¢
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-05-03?Won
Yes$1 @ 18.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	Tech	No	$42	88.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?	Other	Yes	$14	9.6¢
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$14	22.1¢
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09?	Sports	Yes	$13	56.4¢
Will Borussia Dortmund be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?	Sports	Yes	$12	6.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$10	84.0¢
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?	Crypto	No	$9	39.5¢
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?	Other	Down	$8	3.3¢
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$8	4.0¢
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$7	12.8¢
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$7	2.9¢
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Business	No	$7	17.8¢
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$6	4.1¢
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Politics	Yes	$5	29.3¢
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$5	5.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	34.4¢
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 9?	Other	Down	$4	14.0¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Politics	No	$4	38.7¢
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$4	15.4¢
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Tech	Yes	$4	1.4¢
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$4	1.5¢
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Tech	Yes	$4	1.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Politics	Yes	$3	6.0¢
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	Tech	Yes	$3	7.9¢
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 0 SV Werder Bremen?	Sports	Yes	$3	10.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$3	59.7¢
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$3	9.0¢
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2	30.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Tech	No	$1	18.1¢
Will EUR/USD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026?	Other	No	$1	37.0¢

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Tech
No$42 @ 88.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?Other
Yes$14 @ 9.6¢
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Crypto
Yes$14 @ 22.1¢
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09?Sports
Yes$13 @ 56.4¢
Will Borussia Dortmund be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Sports
Yes$12 @ 6.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$10 @ 84.0¢
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Crypto
No$9 @ 39.5¢
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?Other
Down$8 @ 3.3¢
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$8 @ 4.0¢
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$7 @ 12.8¢
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$7 @ 2.9¢
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Business
No$7 @ 17.8¢
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$6 @ 4.1¢
Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics
Yes$5 @ 29.3¢
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
Yes$5 @ 5.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 34.4¢
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 9?Other
Down$4 @ 14.0¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics
No$4 @ 38.7¢
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$4 @ 15.4¢
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech
Yes$4 @ 1.4¢
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$4 @ 1.5¢
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech
Yes$4 @ 1.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics
Yes$3 @ 6.0¢
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Tech
Yes$3 @ 7.9¢
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 0 SV Werder Bremen?Sports
Yes$3 @ 10.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$3 @ 59.7¢
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
Yes$3 @ 9.0¢
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$2 @ 30.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech
No$1 @ 18.1¢
Will EUR/USD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026?Other
No$1 @ 37.0¢