0xd75d…00c8

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xd75d96a23515172778d3281f53c9180b985100c8
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.6pp

ROI

+12%

Win rate

33% @ 28.8¢

Brier

0.125

Resolved

4155

Avg size

$19

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	42% (362/854)	+12%	854
Science	20% (2/10)	+4%	10
Politics	33% (1/3)	-27%	3
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+6%	1

Other854 bets
Hit rate
42% (362/854)
ROI
+12%
Science10 bets
Hit rate
20% (2/10)
ROI
+4%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-27%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+6%

Track record

42% hit · 366/868

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?	Yes	$46	18.4¢	Won
Will Alexandr Stoianoglo win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?	Yes	$107	13.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 51-52°F on November 30?	Yes	$3	1.6¢	Lost
Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?	Yes	$40	41.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 73-74°F on May 10?	Yes	$32	12.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 10?	No	$117	82.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 21?	No	$11	22.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 71-72°F on June 2?	Yes	$57	60.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on December 28?	Yes	$120	52.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on November 17?	No	$154	77.0¢	Won
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026?	No	$113	79.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on December 29?	Yes	$3	1.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 13?	Yes	$7	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 8?	No	$4	12.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 8?	Yes	$56	61.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 68°F or below on August 16?	Yes	$84	2.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be between 85-86°F on July 11?	Yes	$185	85.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 41-42°F on February 13?	Yes	$0	2.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 27?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05–1.10ºC in July 2025?	No	$355	70.9¢	Won
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?	Yes	$255	31.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 27?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 75°F or below on July 22?	Yes	$3	0.5¢	Lost
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?	Yes	$32	20.4¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before October?	Yes	$115	19.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 14?	No	$16	80.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 14?	Yes	$52	40.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 87°F or higher on June 18?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?	No	$1.2k	82.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 45-46°F on November 30?	Yes	$33	16.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on December 29?	Yes	$67	67.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on January 17?	Yes	$84	84.0¢	Won
Will the high in Washington DC be between 28-29°F on January 20?	No	$145	64.7¢	Lost
Will the high in Washington DC be between 28-29°F on January 20?	Yes	$142	50.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 4?	No	$103	85.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 39-40°F on February 13?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 57-58°F on November 4?	Yes	$14	10.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be between 69-70°F on August 22?	Yes	$169	2.7¢	Lost
ETHBTC above 0.04 on September 30?	No	$55	17.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on December 29?	Yes	$14	14.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 97-98°F on July 25?	Yes	$58	85.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on October 6?	Yes	$67	83.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 4?	Yes	$44	75.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 72°F or higher on March 31?	No	$71	71.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be between 76-77°F on July 25?	Yes	$16	8.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 60-61°F on March 28?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 81-82°F on June 18?	Yes	$5	50.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 9?	Yes	$60	30.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 21?	Yes	$16	46.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 5?	Yes	$3	13.0¢	Lost

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?Won
Yes$46 @ 18.4¢
Will Alexandr Stoianoglo win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?Lost
Yes$107 @ 13.1¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 51-52°F on November 30?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.6¢
Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?Lost
Yes$40 @ 41.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 73-74°F on May 10?Won
Yes$32 @ 12.6¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 10?Won
No$117 @ 82.1¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 21?Lost
No$11 @ 22.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 71-72°F on June 2?Won
Yes$57 @ 60.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on December 28?Won
Yes$120 @ 52.7¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on November 17?Won
No$154 @ 77.0¢
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026?Won
No$113 @ 79.7¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on December 29?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.1¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 13?Lost
Yes$7 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 8?Lost
No$4 @ 12.8¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 8?Won
Yes$56 @ 61.8¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 68°F or below on August 16?Lost
Yes$84 @ 2.2¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 85-86°F on July 11?Won
Yes$185 @ 85.4¢
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 41-42°F on February 13?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.2¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 27?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05–1.10ºC in July 2025?Won
No$355 @ 70.9¢
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?Won
Yes$255 @ 31.5¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 27?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 75°F or below on July 22?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.5¢
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?Lost
Yes$32 @ 20.4¢
Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before October?Lost
Yes$115 @ 19.2¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 14?Lost
No$16 @ 80.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 14?Won
Yes$52 @ 40.1¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 87°F or higher on June 18?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?Won
No$1.2k @ 82.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 45-46°F on November 30?Lost
Yes$33 @ 16.5¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on December 29?Won
Yes$67 @ 67.9¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on January 17?Won
Yes$84 @ 84.0¢
Will the high in Washington DC be between 28-29°F on January 20?Lost
No$145 @ 64.7¢
Will the high in Washington DC be between 28-29°F on January 20?Won
Yes$142 @ 50.6¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 4?Won
No$103 @ 85.6¢
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 39-40°F on February 13?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 57-58°F on November 4?Lost
Yes$14 @ 10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 69-70°F on August 22?Lost
Yes$169 @ 2.7¢
ETHBTC above 0.04 on September 30?Lost
No$55 @ 17.8¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on December 29?Lost
Yes$14 @ 14.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 97-98°F on July 25?Won
Yes$58 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on October 6?Won
Yes$67 @ 83.9¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 4?Won
Yes$44 @ 75.3¢
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 72°F or higher on March 31?Won
No$71 @ 71.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 76-77°F on July 25?Lost
Yes$16 @ 8.2¢
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 60-61°F on March 28?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 81-82°F on June 18?Lost
Yes$5 @ 50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 9?Won
Yes$60 @ 30.1¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 21?Won
Yes$16 @ 46.4¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 5?Lost
Yes$3 @ 13.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$336	84.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on September 25?	Science	No	$24	93.0¢
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 23, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$19	93.0¢

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics
No$336 @ 84.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on September 25?Science
No$24 @ 93.0¢
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 23, 2026?Geopolitics
No$19 @ 93.0¢