← Smart money
0xd75a…fdec
ProfitableEdge
+19.3pp
ROI
+29%
Win rate
58% @ 39.1¢
Brier
0.248
Resolved
420
Avg size
$53
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 48% (10/21) | +43% | 21 |
| Politics | 35% (6/17) | +6% | 17 |
| Tech | 25% (1/4) | -39% | 4 |
| Crypto | 50% (1/2) | +353% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +113% | 1 |
- Other21 bets
- Hit rate
- 48% (10/21)
- ROI
- +43%
- Politics17 bets
- Hit rate
- 35% (6/17)
- ROI
- +6%
- Tech4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- -39%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +353%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +113%
Track record
42% hit · 19/45- Yes$3.8k @ 37.5¢
- Yes$340 @ 25.4¢
- Yes$57 @ 12.3¢
- No$321 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$180 @ 18.0¢
- No$186 @ 21.4¢
- Yes$6 @ 56.0¢
- No$411 @ 55.6¢
- No$7 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$162 @ 87.0¢
- No$17 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$101 @ 31.7¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 37.8¢
- Yes$11 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$181 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$368 @ 20.0¢
- No$427 @ 29.9¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 42.1¢
- No$254 @ 87.0¢
- No$3.4k @ 66.7¢
- No$1.5k @ 68.0¢
- Yes$2.2k @ 33.3¢
- Yes$66 @ 6.5¢
- Yes$976 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 6.7¢
- No$111 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 30.1¢
- Yes$80 @ 37.3¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 65.7¢
- Yes$251 @ 57.3¢
- Yes$2 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$200 @ 30.2¢
- No$172 @ 24.7¢
- Yes$10 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$441 @ 16.9¢
- No$250 @ 23.0¢
- No$29 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$49 @ 30.9¢
- No$52 @ 23.8¢
- No$57 @ 38.0¢
- No$81 @ 11.0¢
- Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?WonNo$44 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$57 @ 50.7¢
- Yes$126 @ 56.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$4.2k @ 74.8¢
- Yes$2.1k @ 41.6¢
- Yes$776 @ 58.6¢
- Yes$679 @ 60.2¢
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?GeopoliticsYes$534 @ 50.5¢
- Yes$426 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$271 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$236 @ 41.1¢
- Yes$225 @ 63.0¢
- No$155 @ 91.9¢
- No$115 @ 24.2¢
- Yes$86 @ 32.0¢
- No$83 @ 67.5¢
- Yes$67 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$41 @ 17.4¢
- Yes$23 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 3.5¢
- Yes$11 @ 18.0¢