0xd717…3b85

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xd71776a8d4fddeb3c150c4607b3f8bec31213b85
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.3pp

ROI

+17%

Win rate

17% @ 13.0¢

Brier

0.072

Resolved

392

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	15% (279/1814)	+11%	1814
Science	13% (130/998)	+1%	998
Politics	22% (12/55)	+21%	55
Sports	50% (16/32)	-4%	32
Tech	13% (1/8)	+12%	8
Culture	17% (1/6)	+5%	6
Geopolitics	33% (1/3)	+56%	3
Economy	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Crypto	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other1814 bets
Hit rate
15% (279/1814)
ROI
+11%
Science998 bets
Hit rate
13% (130/998)
ROI
+1%
Politics55 bets
Hit rate
22% (12/55)
ROI
+21%
Sports32 bets
Hit rate
50% (16/32)
ROI
-4%
Tech8 bets
Hit rate
13% (1/8)
ROI
+12%
Culture6 bets
Hit rate
17% (1/6)
ROI
+5%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+56%
Economy2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

15% hit · 440/2920

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 30?	Yes	$1	0.9¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.9¢	Lost
Will Perplexity have the highest private market valuation on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 1?	No	$10	25.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 30?	No	$4	8.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 30?	Yes	$2	34.0¢	Won
Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on July 6?	Yes	$1	5.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 1?	Yes	$0	1.5¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 30?	No	$12	55.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 30?	Yes	$3	12.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 Ecuador?	No	$4	81.9¢	Won
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	$12	87.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 1?	No	$21	88.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 2?	Yes	$0	8.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	No	$63	66.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 2?	Yes	$0	1.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 30?	Yes	$2	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?	No	$11	11.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?	Yes	$63	34.7¢	Won
Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?	No	$0	3.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 30?	Yes	$1	1.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 1?	Yes	$1	3.9¢	Lost
Exact Score: England 1 - 3 DR Congo?	Yes	$3	0.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 106°F or higher on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 30?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 30?	Yes	$2	1.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 30?	No	$2	32.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 30?	Yes	$18	45.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 30?	Yes	$0	1.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 30?	Yes	$2	11.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 30?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 1?	No	$106	60.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 1?	Yes	$4	19.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on June 30?	No	$1	5.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 30?	No	$5	28.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
Will Perplexity have the highest private market valuation on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 1?Won
No$10 @ 25.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 30?Lost
No$4 @ 8.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 30?Won
Yes$2 @ 34.0¢
Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on July 6?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 30?Won
No$12 @ 55.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$3 @ 12.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 Ecuador?Won
No$4 @ 81.9¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Won
No$12 @ 87.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 1?Won
No$21 @ 88.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 8.0¢
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Won
No$63 @ 66.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?Lost
No$11 @ 11.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?Won
Yes$63 @ 34.7¢
Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?Lost
No$0 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.9¢
Exact Score: England 1 - 3 DR Congo?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 106°F or higher on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 30?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 30?Lost
No$2 @ 32.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 30?Won
Yes$18 @ 45.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 30?Lost
Yes$2 @ 11.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 1?Won
No$106 @ 60.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$4 @ 19.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on June 30?Won
No$1 @ 5.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 30?Lost
No$5 @ 28.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 1?	—	Yes	$112	21.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on July 1?	—	Yes	$41	9.1¢
Will Dricus Du Plessis be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Sports	No	$36	97.8¢
Will Anthony Hernandez be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Sports	No	$21	99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 40°C or higher on July 1?	—	Yes	$19	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on July 1?	—	Yes	$19	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on July 1?	—	Yes	$17	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 2?	—	No	$16	95.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 1?	—	Yes	$14	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 37°C or higher on July 1?	—	Yes	$13	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C or below on July 1?	—	Yes	$13	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 37°C on July 1?	—	Yes	$12	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 1?	—	Yes	$12	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or higher on July 1?	—	Yes	$12	9.1¢
Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	—	Yes	$11	12.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 6°C or below on July 2?	—	Yes	$11	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on July 2?	—	Yes	$11	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on July 1?	—	Yes	$10	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on July 1?	—	Yes	$10	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on July 1?	—	Yes	$10	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 2?	—	No	$9	39.0¢
Will Senegal be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	—	Yes	$9	12.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 10°C or below on July 1?	—	Yes	$9	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 11°C on July 1?	—	Yes	$9	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on July 1?	—	Yes	$9	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on July 1?	—	Yes	$9	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on July 1?	—	Yes	$9	9.1¢
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Sports	No	$8	38.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C or higher on July 2?	—	No	$6	99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 2?	—	No	$6	99.8¢

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 1?—
Yes$112 @ 21.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on July 1?—
Yes$41 @ 9.1¢
Will Dricus Du Plessis be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Sports
No$36 @ 97.8¢
Will Anthony Hernandez be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Sports
No$21 @ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 40°C or higher on July 1?—
Yes$19 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on July 1?—
Yes$19 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on July 1?—
Yes$17 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 2?—
No$16 @ 95.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 1?—
Yes$14 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 37°C or higher on July 1?—
Yes$13 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C or below on July 1?—
Yes$13 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 37°C on July 1?—
Yes$12 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 1?—
Yes$12 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or higher on July 1?—
Yes$12 @ 9.1¢
Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?—
Yes$11 @ 12.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 6°C or below on July 2?—
Yes$11 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on July 2?—
Yes$11 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on July 1?—
Yes$10 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on July 1?—
Yes$10 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on July 1?—
Yes$10 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 2?—
No$9 @ 39.0¢
Will Senegal be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?—
Yes$9 @ 12.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 10°C or below on July 1?—
Yes$9 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 11°C on July 1?—
Yes$9 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on July 1?—
Yes$9 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on July 1?—
Yes$9 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on July 1?—
Yes$9 @ 9.1¢
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Sports
No$8 @ 38.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C or higher on July 2?—
No$6 @ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 2?—
No$6 @ 99.8¢