← Smart money
0xd6dd…285f
SharpEdge
+28.1pp
ROI
+82%
Win rate
85% @ 57.3¢
Brier
0.141
Resolved
191
Avg size
$28
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 50% (5/10) | +65% | 10 |
| Other | 40% (2/5) | +100% | 5 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +226% | 1 |
- Sports10 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (5/10)
- ROI
- +65%
- Other5 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (2/5)
- ROI
- +100%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +226%
Track record
50% hit · 8/16| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $2 | 1.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | $2.0k | 79.0¢ | Won |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $186 | 5.8¢ | Lost |
| Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | $661 | 71.6¢ | Won |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $244 | 6.2¢ | Lost |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | $10 | 5.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | $11 | 5.6¢ | Lost |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $205 | 13.7¢ | Won |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | Argentina | $389 | 26.1¢ | Won |
| Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | $472 | 66.1¢ | Won |
| Will Neymar score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $104 | 9.3¢ | Lost |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | Yes | $368 | 30.7¢ | Won |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | No | $201 | 49.0¢ | Won |
| Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $35 | 4.2¢ | Won |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | France | $339 | 30.9¢ | Lost |
| WIll Lamine Yamal play in the World Cup? | No | $21 | 10.2¢ | Lost |
- Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 79.0¢
- Yes$186 @ 5.8¢
- Yes$661 @ 71.6¢
- Yes$244 @ 6.2¢
- Yes$10 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 5.6¢
- Yes$205 @ 13.7¢
- Argentina$389 @ 26.1¢
- No$472 @ 66.1¢
- Yes$104 @ 9.3¢
- Yes$368 @ 30.7¢
- No$201 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$35 @ 4.2¢
- France$339 @ 30.9¢
- No$21 @ 10.2¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…