← Smart money
0xd6d3…161c
SharpEdge
+6.6pp
ROI
+25%
Win rate
63% @ 56.6¢
Brier
0.208
Resolved
562
Avg size
$49
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 66% (31/47) | +53% | 47 |
| Other | 52% (13/25) | +6% | 25 |
| Geopolitics | 82% (9/11) | +16% | 11 |
| Sports | 0% (0/3) | -100% | 3 |
| Crypto | 67% (2/3) | -13% | 3 |
| Tech | 50% (1/2) | -11% | 2 |
- Politics47 bets
- Hit rate
- 66% (31/47)
- ROI
- +53%
- Other25 bets
- Hit rate
- 52% (13/25)
- ROI
- +6%
- Geopolitics11 bets
- Hit rate
- 82% (9/11)
- ROI
- +16%
- Sports3 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/3)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- -13%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -11%
Track record
62% hit · 56/91- Yes$111 @ 39.0¢
- No$110 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$299 @ 37.8¢
- No$190 @ 83.4¢
- No$21 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 1.0¢
- No$402 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$280 @ 21.1¢
- No$789 @ 69.4¢
- No$120 @ 73.7¢
- Yes$144 @ 88.2¢
- No$12 @ 82.8¢
- No$64 @ 85.0¢
- No$139 @ 55.8¢
- No$895 @ 74.2¢
- Yes$70 @ 1.0¢
- No$362 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$931 @ 69.2¢
- No$132 @ 13.8¢
- Yes$465 @ 40.6¢
- No$134 @ 63.3¢
- Yes$45 @ 6.0¢
- Iga Swiatek$12 @ 13.0¢
- No$127 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 2.6¢
- Yes$6 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$247 @ 64.8¢
- No$10 @ 88.0¢
- No$56 @ 77.6¢
- No$13 @ 87.0¢
- No$2.0k @ 88.0¢
- Yes$393 @ 36.9¢
- No$556 @ 67.3¢
- No$32 @ 87.8¢
- No$38 @ 85.8¢
- Yes$455 @ 33.0¢
- No$155 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$99 @ 82.0¢
- No$120 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 53.3¢
- Yes$35 @ 51.8¢
- Yes$122 @ 36.8¢
- No$7 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$33 @ 21.0¢
- No$13 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$281 @ 28.2¢
- Yes$529 @ 32.8¢
- United States$123 @ 53.0¢
- No$2.6k @ 77.9¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 50.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$2.0k @ 71.1¢
- Yes$1.9k @ 86.8¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 62.3¢
- Yes$687 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$308 @ 87.5¢
- No$239 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$153 @ 59.8¢
- Yes$65 @ 48.2¢
- No$49 @ 83.2¢
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026PoliticsYes$39 @ 78.0¢
- No$17 @ 79.0¢
- No$13 @ 82.0¢
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?GeopoliticsNo$1 @ 85.0¢