0xd6d0…cc0a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xd6d0c14970be25f18de83e99290f0a60e0accc0a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+19.7pp

ROI

+134%

Win rate

44% @ 24.5¢

Brier

0.213

Resolved

527

Avg size

$12

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Science	36% (9/25)	+133%	25
Other	44% (11/25)	+433%	25
Politics	60% (6/10)	+21%	10
Sports	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Science25 bets
Hit rate
36% (9/25)
ROI
+133%
Other25 bets
Hit rate
44% (11/25)
ROI
+433%
Politics10 bets
Hit rate
60% (6/10)
ROI
+21%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

43% hit · 26/61

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	$1	54.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	$16	61.0¢	Won
Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5	Over	$101	84.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	$24	2.8¢	Lost
Patriots vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	$21	21.3¢	Won
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	$1	7.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 22°C on August 8?	Yes	$1	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25?	No	$18	10.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 7?	Yes	$2	0.6¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$4	9.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on October 19?	Yes	$1	0.8¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	No	$1	6.0¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	$12	23.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 1?	Yes	$13	2.6¢	Lost
Trump renames AI by September 30?	Yes	$95	86.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	$229	7.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	$6	30.6¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	$8	51.5¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	Yes	$3	39.9¢	Lost
Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	No	$389	8.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 22?	Yes	$1	5.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C or below on August 7?	Yes	$0	0.6¢	Lost
Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Typhoon" at Japan landfall?	No	$52	24.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on August 30?	No	$40	2.9¢	Won
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$102	16.7¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$255	48.3¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$104	53.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on October 21?	Yes	$4	22.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs	Team Liquid	$47	37.4¢	Lost
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?	No	$1	50.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on August 8?	Yes	$9	3.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	Yes	$47	10.8¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$371	53.7¢	Won
Will the biggest earthquake on October 2, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?	No	$22	10.0¢	Lost
Will the biggest earthquake on October 2, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?	Yes	$18	89.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 6?	Yes	$49	3.8¢	Lost
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?	No	$21	52.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 17?	Yes	$203	4.7¢	Lost
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Score	No	$24	47.0¢	Won
Will Simon peak at Category 4?	Yes	$113	71.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C or below on August 8?	Yes	$10	0.6¢	Lost
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?	Yes	$245	64.3¢	Won
Will Koguma peak as a Strong typhoon?	Yes	$121	4.9¢	Lost
UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Alexandre Pantoja	$26	31.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C or below on October 21?	Yes	$16	2.9¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 1?	Yes	$4	1.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 1?	Yes	$9	2.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C or below on August 6?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon?	Yes	$78	46.6¢	Lost
Will Champi peak as a Strong typhoon?	No	$3	67.0¢	Won

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Won
No$1 @ 54.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Won
Yes$16 @ 61.0¢
Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Won
Over$101 @ 84.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 5?Lost
Yes$24 @ 2.8¢
Patriots vs. SeahawksWon
Seahawks$21 @ 21.3¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 7.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 22°C on August 8?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25?Won
No$18 @ 10.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 7?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.6¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 9.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on October 19?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?Lost
No$1 @ 6.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Lost
No$12 @ 23.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 1?Lost
Yes$13 @ 2.6¢
Trump renames AI by September 30?Won
Yes$95 @ 86.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?Won
No$229 @ 7.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?Lost
Yes$6 @ 30.6¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Won
No$8 @ 51.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 39.9¢
Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?Won
No$389 @ 8.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 22?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C or below on August 7?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Typhoon" at Japan landfall?Won
No$52 @ 24.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on August 30?Won
No$40 @ 2.9¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$102 @ 16.7¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
No$255 @ 48.3¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$104 @ 53.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on October 21?Won
Yes$4 @ 22.0¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International PlayoffsLost
Team Liquid$47 @ 37.4¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Won
No$1 @ 50.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on August 8?Lost
Yes$9 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?Lost
Yes$47 @ 10.8¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Won
No$371 @ 53.7¢
Will the biggest earthquake on October 2, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?Lost
No$22 @ 10.0¢
Will the biggest earthquake on October 2, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?Won
Yes$18 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 6?Lost
Yes$49 @ 3.8¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?Won
No$21 @ 52.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 17?Lost
Yes$203 @ 4.7¢
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to ScoreWon
No$24 @ 47.0¢
Will Simon peak at Category 4?Won
Yes$113 @ 71.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C or below on August 8?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.6¢
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?Won
Yes$245 @ 64.3¢
Will Koguma peak as a Strong typhoon?Lost
Yes$121 @ 4.9¢
UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)Lost
Alexandre Pantoja$26 @ 31.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C or below on October 21?Lost
Yes$16 @ 2.9¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 1?Lost
Yes$4 @ 1.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 1?Lost
Yes$9 @ 2.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C or below on August 6?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon?Lost
Yes$78 @ 46.6¢
Will Champi peak as a Strong typhoon?Won
No$3 @ 67.0¢

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