← Smart money
0xd661…0d4e
SharpEdge
+3.6pp
ROI
+8%
Win rate
30% @ 26.8¢
Brier
0.112
Resolved
2075
Avg size
$11
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 30% (85/285) | +6% | 285 |
| Politics | 34% (11/32) | +12% | 32 |
- Other285 bets
- Hit rate
- 30% (85/285)
- ROI
- +6%
- Politics32 bets
- Hit rate
- 34% (11/32)
- ROI
- +12%
Track record
30% hit · 96/317- No$644 @ 98.9¢
- Yes$12 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$25 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$5 @ 4.6¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.4¢
- No$266 @ 91.9¢
- No$190 @ 95.0¢
- No$480 @ 92.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$7 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$203 @ 95.8¢
- Yes$3 @ 8.0¢
- No$116 @ 96.2¢
- No$35 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 8.7¢
- Yes$6 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$568 @ 85.2¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$3 @ 3.3¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$28 @ 15.4¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$3 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$320 @ 38.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
- No$213 @ 85.2¢
- Yes$184 @ 30.3¢
- No$202 @ 57.6¢
- Yes$188 @ 60.6¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
- No$71 @ 72.5¢
- No$123 @ 53.3¢
- No$227 @ 61.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
- No$214 @ 80.9¢
- No$148 @ 59.4¢
- Yes$45 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$72 @ 71.6¢
- Yes$15 @ 5.0¢
- No$45 @ 89.2¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.2¢
- No$144 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon tweet 920-959 times in September 2026? | Politics | No | $644 | 98.9¢ |
| Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026? | Politics | Yes | $12 | 24.0¢ |
- No$644 @ 98.9¢
- Yes$12 @ 24.0¢