0xd628…a698

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xd6280c12247e5ca01e17f1097f25384e6ac7a698
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.0pp

ROI

+15%

Win rate

73% @ 66.1¢

Brier

0.190

Resolved

282

Avg size

$26

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	73% (174/237)	+5%	237
Sports	71% (10/14)	-49%	14
Politics	67% (2/3)	+32%	3
Geopolitics	50% (1/2)	-90%	2
Science	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other237 bets
Hit rate
73% (174/237)
ROI
+5%
Sports14 bets
Hit rate
71% (10/14)
ROI
-49%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+32%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-90%
Science1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

73% hit · 187/257

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns	Aryna Sabalenka	$15	88.0¢	Won
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5	Under	$25	89.0¢	Won
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?	No	$10	56.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	$151	83.0¢	Won
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?	No	$10	47.0¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?	Yes	$15	77.0¢	Won
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	$15	72.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on April 20?	Yes	$15	64.9¢	Won
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-04-18?	No	$5	73.0¢	Won
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Tyra Caterina Grant	Sorana Cirstea	$130	78.5¢	Won
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?	No	$5	79.0¢	Won
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)	Celtics	$63	72.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C or higher on April 19?	Yes	$15	15.1¢	Lost
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants	$250	50.7¢	Won
Kings vs. Flames	Kings	$10	57.0¢	Lost
Madrid Open: Alycia Parks vs Ann Li	Ann Li	$15	85.0¢	Won
AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5	Over	$50	80.0¢	Won
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19?	Yes	$30	72.0¢	Lost
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5	Over	$15	76.0¢	Lost
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies	San Diego Padres	$20	89.0¢	Won
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	$5	84.0¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	No	$10	73.0¢	Won
Will Paris FC win on 2026-04-19?	Yes	$23	65.6¢	Won
Oeiras 4: Jil Teichmann vs Whitney Osuigwe	Jil Teichmann	$10	48.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 18?	Yes	$1	35.3¢	Won
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	$15	88.0¢	Won
Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5	Under	$15	87.0¢	Won
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?	No	$7	74.0¢	Won
Madrid Open: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	$15	86.0¢	Won
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?	No	$15	71.0¢	Lost
Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	$10	38.0¢	Won
Madrid Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Jaqueline Cristian	Yulia Starodubtseva	$15	58.0¢	Lost
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)	Cavaliers	$5	81.0¢	Won
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Deportivo Alavés	$16	43.3¢	Won
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	$1	53.0¢	Lost
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-19?	Yes	$30	77.0¢	Won
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	$10	85.0¢	Won
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5	Under	$70	87.0¢	Lost
Gwangju: Mark Lajal vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu	Mark Lajal	$10	56.0¢	Lost
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?	No	$25	80.2¢	Won
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5	Under	$15	81.0¢	Won
Oeiras 4: Greet Minnen vs Carole Monnet	Greet Minnen	$10	73.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on May 13?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club León FC: O/U 1.5	Over	$100	85.0¢	Won
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	No	$50	83.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on April 17?	Yes	$1	21.0¢	Won
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	No	$5	75.0¢	Won
Gwangju: Mark Lajal vs Maximus Jones	Mark Lajal	$10	70.0¢	Won
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 4.5	Under	$10	86.0¢	Won
FC Metz vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5	Under	$17	82.0¢	Won

Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton StearnsWon
Aryna Sabalenka$15 @ 88.0¢
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5Won
Under$25 @ 89.0¢
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?Won
No$10 @ 56.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Won
No$151 @ 83.0¢
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?Lost
No$10 @ 47.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?Won
Yes$15 @ 77.0¢
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-02?Won
Yes$15 @ 72.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on April 20?Won
Yes$15 @ 64.9¢
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-04-18?Won
No$5 @ 73.0¢
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Tyra Caterina GrantWon
Sorana Cirstea$130 @ 78.5¢
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?Won
No$5 @ 79.0¢
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)Won
Celtics$63 @ 72.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C or higher on April 19?Lost
Yes$15 @ 15.1¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco GiantsWon
San Francisco Giants$250 @ 50.7¢
Kings vs. FlamesLost
Kings$10 @ 57.0¢
Madrid Open: Alycia Parks vs Ann LiWon
Ann Li$15 @ 85.0¢
AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5Won
Over$50 @ 80.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19?Lost
Yes$30 @ 72.0¢
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$15 @ 76.0¢
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado RockiesWon
San Diego Padres$20 @ 89.0¢
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper RuudWon
Casper Ruud$5 @ 84.0¢
Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Won
No$10 @ 73.0¢
Will Paris FC win on 2026-04-19?Won
Yes$23 @ 65.6¢
Oeiras 4: Jil Teichmann vs Whitney OsuigweLost
Jil Teichmann$10 @ 48.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 18?Won
Yes$1 @ 35.3¢
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-04-25?Won
Yes$15 @ 88.0¢
Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5Won
Under$15 @ 87.0¢
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?Won
No$7 @ 74.0¢
Madrid Open: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Jessica Bouzas ManeiroWon
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro$15 @ 86.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?Lost
No$15 @ 71.0¢
Magic vs. PistonsWon
Magic$10 @ 38.0¢
Madrid Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Jaqueline CristianLost
Yulia Starodubtseva$15 @ 58.0¢
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Won
Cavaliers$5 @ 81.0¢
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Won
Deportivo Alavés$16 @ 43.3¢
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Lost
Real Madrid CF$1 @ 53.0¢
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-19?Won
Yes$30 @ 77.0¢
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington NationalsWon
Washington Nationals$10 @ 85.0¢
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$70 @ 87.0¢
Gwangju: Mark Lajal vs Yu-Hsiou HsuLost
Mark Lajal$10 @ 56.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?Won
No$25 @ 80.2¢
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Won
Under$15 @ 81.0¢
Oeiras 4: Greet Minnen vs Carole MonnetLost
Greet Minnen$10 @ 73.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on May 13?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club León FC: O/U 1.5Won
Over$100 @ 85.0¢
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?Lost
No$50 @ 83.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on April 17?Won
Yes$1 @ 21.0¢
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Won
No$5 @ 75.0¢
Gwangju: Mark Lajal vs Maximus JonesWon
Mark Lajal$10 @ 70.0¢
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 4.5Won
Under$10 @ 86.0¢
FC Metz vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5Won
Under$17 @ 82.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	—	No	$250	98.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	—	No	$250	98.7¢
Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 0 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps FC?	—	No	$102	98.0¢
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 4.5	—	Under	$28	94.0¢
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	—	No	$10	64.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	—	No	$10	92.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	—	No	$10	98.3¢
Will Trump say "Mission" during remarks at NASA?	—	Yes	$10	89.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	Business	No	$10	84.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	—	Yes	$3	97.5¢

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?—
No$250 @ 98.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?—
No$250 @ 98.7¢
Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 0 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps FC?—
No$102 @ 98.0¢
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 4.5—
Under$28 @ 94.0¢
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?—
No$10 @ 64.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?—
No$10 @ 92.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?—
No$10 @ 98.3¢
Will Trump say "Mission" during remarks at NASA?—
Yes$10 @ 89.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Business
No$10 @ 84.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?—
Yes$3 @ 97.5¢