← Smart money
0xd628…a698
SharpEdge
+6.7pp
ROI
+13%
Win rate
73% @ 66.5¢
Brier
0.185
Resolved
295
Avg size
$27
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 73% (173/236) | +5% | 236 |
| Sports | 71% (10/14) | -49% | 14 |
| Politics | 67% (2/3) | +32% | 3 |
| Geopolitics | 50% (1/2) | -90% | 2 |
| Science | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other236 bets
- Hit rate
- 73% (173/236)
- ROI
- +5%
- Sports14 bets
- Hit rate
- 71% (10/14)
- ROI
- -49%
- Politics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +32%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -90%
- Science1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
73% hit · 186/256- Aryna Sabalenka$15 @ 88.0¢
- Under$25 @ 89.0¢
- No$10 @ 56.0¢
- No$151 @ 83.0¢
- No$10 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 64.9¢
- No$5 @ 73.0¢
- Sorana Cirstea$130 @ 78.5¢
- No$5 @ 79.0¢
- Celtics$63 @ 72.4¢
- Yes$15 @ 15.1¢
- San Francisco Giants$250 @ 50.7¢
- Kings vs. FlamesLostKings$10 @ 57.0¢
- Ann Li$15 @ 85.0¢
- Over$50 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 72.0¢
- Over$15 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 88.0¢
- San Diego Padres$20 @ 89.0¢
- Casper Ruud$5 @ 84.0¢
- No$10 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$23 @ 65.6¢
- Jil Teichmann$10 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 35.3¢
- Yes$15 @ 88.0¢
- Under$15 @ 87.0¢
- No$7 @ 74.0¢
- Jessica Bouzas Maneiro$15 @ 86.0¢
- No$15 @ 71.0¢
- Magic$10 @ 38.0¢
- Yulia Starodubtseva$15 @ 58.0¢
- Cavaliers$5 @ 81.0¢
- Deportivo Alavés$16 @ 43.3¢
- Real Madrid CF$1 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 77.0¢
- Washington Nationals$10 @ 85.0¢
- Under$70 @ 87.0¢
- Mark Lajal$10 @ 56.0¢
- No$25 @ 80.2¢
- Under$15 @ 81.0¢
- Greet Minnen$10 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
- Over$100 @ 85.0¢
- No$50 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 21.0¢
- No$5 @ 75.0¢
- Mark Lajal$10 @ 70.0¢
- Under$10 @ 86.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | — | No | $180 | 99.0¢ |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | No | $125 | 97.2¢ |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | — | No | $120 | 98.6¢ |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | — | No | $105 | 98.9¢ |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | — | No | $55 | 98.0¢ |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | — | No | $50 | 97.0¢ |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 12? | — | No | $25 | 99.4¢ |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | No | $5 | 91.5¢ |
| Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Geopolitics | Yes | $5 | 73.0¢ |
- No$180 @ 99.0¢
- No$125 @ 97.2¢
- No$120 @ 98.6¢
- No$105 @ 98.9¢
- No$55 @ 98.0¢
- No$50 @ 97.0¢
- No$25 @ 99.4¢
- No$5 @ 91.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 73.0¢