0xd60f…f595

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xd60f229688c440eef3304eaaf5d52f7e8c9ef595
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.6pp

ROI

+57%

Win rate

45% @ 34.3¢

Brier

0.149

Resolved

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	43% (12/28)	+87%	28
Politics	42% (5/12)	-55%	12
Crypto	67% (2/3)	+32%	3
Geopolitics	50% (1/2)	-17%	2

Other28 bets
Hit rate
43% (12/28)
ROI
+87%
Politics12 bets
Hit rate
42% (5/12)
ROI
-55%
Crypto3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+32%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-17%

Track record

44% hit · 20/45

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$8	27.5¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in London be 5°C on May 5?	Yes	$15	3.6¢	Lost
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	Yes	$2	89.4¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$9	16.9¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	$2	4.1¢	Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	Yes	$1	3.2¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$19	54.7¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$2	23.0¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$5	63.8¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 5?	No	$5	87.2¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 5?	Yes	$3	17.3¢	Lost
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	$1	52.0¢	Won
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	$3	41.1¢	Lost
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?	Yes	$1	12.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	$12	24.7¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$7	9.7¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$1	62.0¢	Won
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$1	83.0¢	Won
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	Yes	$10	35.7¢	Won
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	$2	82.7¢	Won
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	$1	1.7¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	63.0¢	Won
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	Yes	$3	27.0¢	Lost
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	11.0¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$1	13.0¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?	Yes	$1	32.0¢	Lost
Netanyahu out by March 31?	Yes	$4	2.4¢	Lost
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	No	$4	24.6¢	Lost
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$5	77.0¢	Won
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	No	$7	64.4¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	Yes	$4	30.6¢	Won
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	$1	12.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 41°F or below on May 7?	Yes	$5	1.9¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	62.9¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	$2	48.0¢	Lost
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$1	89.0¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$1	20.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	$8	30.0¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	$4	72.5¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?	Yes	$2	79.0¢	Lost
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	$3	5.4¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	$3	68.4¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$12	18.7¢	Won
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	$1	47.0¢	Lost

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$8 @ 27.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in London be 5°C on May 5?Lost
Yes$15 @ 3.6¢
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?Won
Yes$2 @ 89.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$9 @ 16.9¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Lost
No$2 @ 4.1¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.2¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$19 @ 54.7¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$2 @ 23.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$5 @ 63.8¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 11.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 5?Won
No$5 @ 87.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 5?Lost
Yes$3 @ 17.3¢
Will Trump visit China by April 30?Won
No$1 @ 52.0¢
Will Trump visit China by April 30?Lost
Yes$3 @ 41.1¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 12.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Lost
No$12 @ 24.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Won
Yes$7 @ 9.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$1 @ 62.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Won
Yes$1 @ 83.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Won
Yes$10 @ 35.7¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Won
No$2 @ 82.7¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$1 @ 63.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Lost
Yes$3 @ 27.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 11.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 32.0¢
Netanyahu out by March 31?Lost
Yes$4 @ 2.4¢
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$4 @ 24.6¢
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$5 @ 77.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Lost
No$7 @ 64.4¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Won
Yes$4 @ 30.6¢
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?Lost
No$1 @ 12.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 41°F or below on May 7?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.9¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$1 @ 62.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Lost
Yes$2 @ 48.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Won
No$1 @ 89.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Won
Yes$1 @ 20.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Won
Yes$8 @ 30.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Won
No$4 @ 72.5¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 79.0¢
Will Trump visit China by May 31?Lost
No$3 @ 5.4¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Won
Yes$3 @ 68.4¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$12 @ 18.7¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Lost
Yes$1 @ 47.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Trump goes to space in 2026?	Politics	No	$2	96.9¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$1	16.2¢
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	No	$1	91.5¢
Will Venezuela become 51st state?	Politics	No	$1	94.7¢
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$1	94.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Politics	No	$1	95.0¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?	Politics	No	$1	96.9¢

Trump goes to space in 2026?Politics
No$2 @ 96.9¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 16.2¢
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
No$1 @ 91.5¢
Will Venezuela become 51st state?Politics
No$1 @ 94.7¢
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?Politics
Yes$1 @ 94.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Politics
No$1 @ 95.0¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?Politics
No$1 @ 96.9¢