← Smart money
0xd604…cb5f
SharpEdge
+18.0pp
ROI
+33%
Win rate
68% @ 49.8¢
Brier
0.206
Resolved
4255
Avg size
$159
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 63% (85/135) | +31% | 135 |
| Other | 56% (15/27) | +27% | 27 |
| Geopolitics | 40% (2/5) | -42% | 5 |
- Sports135 bets
- Hit rate
- 63% (85/135)
- ROI
- +31%
- Other27 bets
- Hit rate
- 56% (15/27)
- ROI
- +27%
- Geopolitics5 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (2/5)
- ROI
- -42%
Track record
61% hit · 102/167- No$11.4k @ 71.1¢
- Argentina$11.9k @ 79.1¢
- No$200.2k @ 77.0¢
- Yes$4.9k @ 18.7¢
- No$730 @ 73.0¢
- France$1.1k @ 56.0¢
- Yes$1.9k @ 37.5¢
- No$15 @ 87.5¢
- No$5.1k @ 51.3¢
- Canada$9.0k @ 71.8¢
- South Africa$1.3k @ 25.0¢
- No$20.3k @ 50.9¢
- Yes$10.2k @ 22.5¢
- Yes$191 @ 84.0¢
- Spain$7.1k @ 65.0¢
- No$3.8k @ 10.5¢
- No$4.0k @ 34.0¢
- Yes$3.2k @ 65.0¢
- No$8.2k @ 46.0¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 38.6¢
- No$19 @ 54.2¢
- No$7 @ 50.0¢
- Finland$2.8k @ 46.3¢
- Switzerland$1.8k @ 51.2¢
- No$16.7k @ 33.4¢
- No$32 @ 33.0¢
- Austria$635 @ 63.5¢
- No$1.0k @ 52.0¢
- Under$1.8k @ 59.3¢
- No$2.9k @ 72.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
- Colombia$590 @ 59.0¢
- No$11.2k @ 45.5¢
- Yes$11.3k @ 56.5¢
- No$8.4k @ 70.3¢
- Yes$2 @ 47.0¢
- Argentina$25.3k @ 46.0¢
- No$13 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$50.3k @ 32.8¢
- No$900 @ 60.0¢
- No$231 @ 75.5¢
- Yes$4 @ 43.0¢
- No$790 @ 79.0¢
- Will Harry Kane record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?WonYes$1 @ 72.4¢
- No$960 @ 48.0¢
- No$26.6k @ 56.5¢
- Yes$9.7k @ 45.0¢
- No$2.3k @ 87.6¢
- Yes$237 @ 10.0¢
- Portugal$3.5k @ 69.3¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $75.0k | 50.0¢ |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | No | $75.0k | 50.0¢ |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Sports | No | $25.1k | 86.3¢ |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Sports | No | $4.3k | 87.0¢ |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $585 | 9.7¢ |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Sports | Yes | $441 | 10.0¢ |
| Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $74 | 18.5¢ |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $70 | 29.0¢ |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $62 | 31.0¢ |
| Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $30 | 1.5¢ |
- Yes$75.0k @ 50.0¢
- No$75.0k @ 50.0¢
- No$25.1k @ 86.3¢
- No$4.3k @ 87.0¢
- Yes$585 @ 9.7¢
- Yes$441 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$74 @ 18.5¢
- Yes$70 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$62 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 1.5¢