0xd5ca…bd97

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xd5cab9e2f204b7d2ab8ed1c7839b456a1046bd97
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+11.0pp

ROI

+46%

Win rate

44% @ 33.3¢

Brier

0.171

Resolved

149

Avg size

$59

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	32% (23/72)	+29%	72
Sports	29% (2/7)	+230%	7
Politics	100% (1/1)	+67%	1

Other72 bets
Hit rate
32% (23/72)
ROI
+29%
Sports7 bets
Hit rate
29% (2/7)
ROI
+230%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+67%

Track record

33% hit · 26/80

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	Yes	$2	20.7¢	Lost
Will Catalin Drula finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?	Yes	$50	21.6¢	Lost
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	$10	4.4¢	Lost
Will Andy Byron rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	No	$670	81.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?	No	$6	28.9¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	2.0¢	Lost
Will Franco Parisi come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?	No	$75	64.7¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?	Yes	$19	5.4¢	Won
U.S. strikes Afghanistan by Dec 31?	Yes	$1	4.6¢	Lost
Will Alonzo Menifield win by KO or TKO?	Yes	$10	19.0¢	Lost
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	$10	14.0¢	Lost
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D	NRG	$24	33.0¢	Won
Google Trends Parlay	Yes	$10	15.0¢	Lost
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?	Yes	$5	0.4¢	Lost
Will Kast win by at least 25%?	Yes	$2	9.5¢	Lost
Will Evelyn Matthei come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?	Yes	$30	24.7¢	Lost
Will Jeannette Jara win between 20% and 24% of votes in the first round?	Yes	$2	1.3¢	Lost
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	Yes	$35	11.8¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?	Yes	$200	68.5¢	Won
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$16	3.6¢	Lost
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	0.4¢	Lost
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?	Yes	$3	0.4¢	Lost
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?	Yes	$5	3.6¢	Lost
Thailand x Cambodia declare war by Dec 31?	Yes	$1	1.6¢	Lost
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	1.7¢	Lost
UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)	Arman Tsarukyan	$152	74.0¢	Won
UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Robelis Despaigne	$253	80.0¢	Won
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?	No	$120	60.0¢	Won
Will Arman Tsarukyan win by KO or TKO?	Yes	$52	27.5¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	$2	6.7¢	Lost
Will Evelyn Matthei come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?	Yes	$81	20.3¢	Lost
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?	Yes	$31	2.2¢	Lost
Will MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by Dec 31?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Lost
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?	Yes	$11	1.8¢	Lost
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?	Yes	$26	13.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	$70	12.3¢	Lost
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?	Yes	$5	0.6¢	Lost
Will Johannes Kaiser come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?	Yes	$24	47.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona?	Yes	$26	29.6¢	Lost
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona?	Yes	$10	38.4¢	Lost
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$701	28.8¢	Won
Will Evelyn Matthei come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?	Yes	$10	2.8¢	Lost
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	$10	4.3¢	Lost
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5	Over	$854	79.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	$43	21.2¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35.0 and 35.5 million views on day 4?	Yes	$533	61.4¢	Lost
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?	Yes	$5	4.4¢	Lost
Will Albania win on 2025-11-16?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Yes	$88	80.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 12?	Yes	$12	16.5¢	Won

Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?Lost
Yes$2 @ 20.7¢
Will Catalin Drula finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?Lost
Yes$50 @ 21.6¢
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Lost
Yes$10 @ 4.4¢
Will Andy Byron rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Won
No$670 @ 81.0¢
Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?Lost
No$6 @ 28.9¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$5 @ 2.0¢
Will Franco Parisi come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Won
No$75 @ 64.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?Won
Yes$19 @ 5.4¢
U.S. strikes Afghanistan by Dec 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.6¢
Will Alonzo Menifield win by KO or TKO?Lost
Yes$10 @ 19.0¢
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 14.0¢
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Group DWon
NRG$24 @ 33.0¢
Google Trends ParlayLost
Yes$10 @ 15.0¢
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.4¢
Will Kast win by at least 25%?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.5¢
Will Evelyn Matthei come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Lost
Yes$30 @ 24.7¢
Will Jeannette Jara win between 20% and 24% of votes in the first round?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.3¢
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Won
Yes$35 @ 11.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?Won
Yes$200 @ 68.5¢
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$16 @ 3.6¢
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.4¢
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.4¢
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?Lost
Yes$5 @ 3.6¢
Thailand x Cambodia declare war by Dec 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.6¢
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.7¢
UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)Won
Arman Tsarukyan$152 @ 74.0¢
UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)Won
Robelis Despaigne$253 @ 80.0¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Won
No$120 @ 60.0¢
Will Arman Tsarukyan win by KO or TKO?Won
Yes$52 @ 27.5¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Lost
No$2 @ 6.7¢
Will Evelyn Matthei come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Lost
Yes$81 @ 20.3¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?Lost
Yes$31 @ 2.2¢
Will MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by Dec 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?Lost
Yes$11 @ 1.8¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?Lost
Yes$26 @ 13.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$70 @ 12.3¢
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.6¢
Will Johannes Kaiser come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Lost
Yes$24 @ 47.0¢
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona?Lost
Yes$26 @ 29.6¢
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona?Lost
Yes$10 @ 38.4¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$701 @ 28.8¢
Will Evelyn Matthei come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Lost
Yes$10 @ 2.8¢
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?Lost
Yes$10 @ 4.3¢
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5Won
Over$854 @ 79.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Won
Yes$43 @ 21.2¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35.0 and 35.5 million views on day 4?Lost
Yes$533 @ 61.4¢
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?Lost
Yes$5 @ 4.4¢
Will Albania win on 2025-11-16?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Won
Yes$88 @ 80.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 12?Won
Yes$12 @ 16.5¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$37	74.0¢

Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?Politics
Yes$37 @ 74.0¢