0xd5a4…c8a2

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xd5a487e5df21a86bdd9fba29ae8d5a6a3b2bc8a2
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.6pp

ROI

+16%

Win rate

40% @ 31.9¢

Brier

0.125

Resolved

163

Avg size

$222

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	40% (19/48)	+13%	48
Politics	50% (4/8)	+58%	8
Tech	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other48 bets
Hit rate
40% (19/48)
ROI
+13%
Politics8 bets
Hit rate
50% (4/8)
ROI
+58%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

39% hit · 23/59

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in London be 65°F or higher on November 7?	Yes	$10	2.0¢	Lost
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	$2.2k	50.4¢	Lost
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 27–30%?	Yes	$10	12.0¢	Lost
Will the election be called on Nov 5?	No	$617	85.4¢	Won
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$4.0k	68.3¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$33	22.0¢	Lost
New Pope in 2025?	Yes	$101	80.0¢	Won
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?	Yes	$1.7k	39.9¢	Lost
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	No	$700	69.8¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$11	0.7¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?	Yes	$493	5.8¢	Lost
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?	Yes	$150	51.0¢	Won
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?	Yes	$3.0k	86.6¢	Won
Will Zohran Mamdani win 4 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?	Yes	$518	62.1¢	Won
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$506	30.8¢	Won
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	$126	6.1¢	Lost
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?	Yes	$725	38.0¢	Lost
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?	Yes	$100	2.8¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	$148	17.0¢	Won
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?	Yes	$55	85.0¢	Won
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Yes	$101	74.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on November 8?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on January 31?	Yes	$11	0.5¢	Lost
Netanyahu out by March 31?	Yes	$64	8.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be between 65-66°F on November 6?	Yes	$18	1.2¢	Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?	Yes	$638	18.4¢	Lost
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	No	$164	4.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 63°F or higher on November 9?	Yes	$1	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on November 7?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will there be a US Government shutdown?	No	$11	0.1¢	Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?	Yes	$155	62.0¢	Won
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	$821	83.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on November 9?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	Yes	$1.1k	11.7¢	Lost
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?	Yes	$3.4k	6.6¢	Lost
Maduro out in 2025?	Yes	$2.1k	14.0¢	Lost
Will TikTok be on the App Store by Friday?	Yes	$98	81.0¢	Lost
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?	Yes	$404	35.6¢	Lost
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$2.7k	47.3¢	Won
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?	Yes	$1.2k	36.3¢	Won
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	No	$358	57.9¢	Won
Will Zohran Mamdani win all 5 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?	Yes	$50	10.8¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	Yes	$1.9k	20.1¢	Won
Will David Sacks say "Ethereum" during his February 4 presser?	Yes	$28	50.0¢	Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?	Yes	$132	8.2¢	Lost
Zohran Mamdani Parlay	No	$364	51.7¢	Won
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?	No	$6	27.0¢	Lost
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?	Yes	$1.2k	68.7¢	Won
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?	Yes	$30	3.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on November 6?	Yes	$4	0.4¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in London be 65°F or higher on November 7?Lost
Yes$10 @ 2.0¢
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Lost
Yes$2.2k @ 50.4¢
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 27–30%?Lost
Yes$10 @ 12.0¢
Will the election be called on Nov 5? Won
No$617 @ 85.4¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$4.0k @ 68.3¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$33 @ 22.0¢
New Pope in 2025?Won
Yes$101 @ 80.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?Lost
Yes$1.7k @ 39.9¢
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Won
No$700 @ 69.8¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$11 @ 0.7¢
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?Lost
Yes$493 @ 5.8¢
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Won
Yes$150 @ 51.0¢
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Won
Yes$3.0k @ 86.6¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win 4 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?Won
Yes$518 @ 62.1¢
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Won
Yes$506 @ 30.8¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Lost
Yes$126 @ 6.1¢
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Lost
Yes$725 @ 38.0¢
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Lost
Yes$100 @ 2.8¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Won
Yes$148 @ 17.0¢
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Won
Yes$55 @ 85.0¢
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Won
Yes$101 @ 74.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on November 8?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on January 31?Lost
Yes$11 @ 0.5¢
Netanyahu out by March 31?Lost
Yes$64 @ 8.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 65-66°F on November 6?Lost
Yes$18 @ 1.2¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?Lost
Yes$638 @ 18.4¢
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Lost
No$164 @ 4.5¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 63°F or higher on November 9?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on November 7?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will there be a US Government shutdown? Lost
No$11 @ 0.1¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?Won
Yes$155 @ 62.0¢
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Won
Yes$821 @ 83.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on November 9?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 11.7¢
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?Lost
Yes$3.4k @ 6.6¢
Maduro out in 2025?Lost
Yes$2.1k @ 14.0¢
Will TikTok be on the App Store by Friday?Lost
Yes$98 @ 81.0¢
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Lost
Yes$404 @ 35.6¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$2.7k @ 47.3¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 36.3¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Won
No$358 @ 57.9¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win all 5 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?Lost
Yes$50 @ 10.8¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Won
Yes$1.9k @ 20.1¢
Will David Sacks say "Ethereum" during his February 4 presser?Lost
Yes$28 @ 50.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?Lost
Yes$132 @ 8.2¢
Zohran Mamdani ParlayWon
No$364 @ 51.7¢
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Lost
No$6 @ 27.0¢
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 68.7¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?Lost
Yes$30 @ 3.7¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on November 6?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.4¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$38	15.2¢
Will J.D. Vance be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Politics	Yes	$10	7.0¢

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$38 @ 15.2¢
Will J.D. Vance be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?Politics
Yes$10 @ 7.0¢