0xd51d…20ad

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xd51d3e7fe5bbcc48ba1e10803d139481f6e320ad
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+18.1pp

ROI

+80%

Win rate

42% @ 23.6¢

Brier

0.194

Resolved

1015

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	3% (2/68)	-89%	68
Business	20% (7/35)	+117%	35
Crypto	21% (6/29)	+39%	29
Sports	50% (1/2)	+31%	2

Other68 bets
Hit rate
3% (2/68)
ROI
-89%
Business35 bets
Hit rate
20% (7/35)
ROI
+117%
Crypto29 bets
Hit rate
21% (6/29)
ROI
+39%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+31%

Track record

12% hit · 16/134

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 November 2-8?	Yes	$120	32.5¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 November 2-8?	Yes	$30	7.2¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 November 2-8?	Yes	$60	8.8¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 November 2-8?	Yes	$30	14.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 November 2-8?	Yes	$120	30.6¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 6?	No	$80	13.3¢	Lost
Will Kinder Morgan (KMI) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$107	17.3¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	$3	21.2¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	$2	11.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	$2	11.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 5?	Yes	$77	12.8¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 6?	Yes	$100	13.4¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	$1	11.0¢	Lost

Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 November 2-8?Lost
Yes$120 @ 32.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 November 2-8?Lost
Yes$30 @ 7.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 November 2-8?Lost
Yes$60 @ 8.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 November 2-8?Lost
Yes$30 @ 14.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 November 2-8?Won
Yes$120 @ 30.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 6?Lost
No$80 @ 13.3¢
Will Kinder Morgan (KMI) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
No$107 @ 17.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of October 5 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 21.2¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETLost
Down$1 @ 1.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETLost
Down$1 @ 1.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETLost
Up$1 @ 1.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETLost
Up$1 @ 1.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETLost
Down$1 @ 1.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETLost
Up$1 @ 1.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETLost
Down$1 @ 11.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETLost
Up$1 @ 11.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETLost
Down$1 @ 11.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETLost
Up$1 @ 11.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETLost
Up$2 @ 11.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETLost
Down$1 @ 11.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETLost
Down$1 @ 11.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETLost
Down$1 @ 11.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETLost
Up$1 @ 11.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETLost
Down$2 @ 11.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETLost
Down$1 @ 11.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETLost
Down$1 @ 11.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETLost
Up$1 @ 11.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETLost
Down$1 @ 11.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETLost
Up$1 @ 11.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETLost
Up$1 @ 11.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETLost
Down$1 @ 11.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETLost
Up$1 @ 11.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETLost
Down$1 @ 11.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETLost
Down$1 @ 11.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETLost
Down$1 @ 1.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETLost
Up$1 @ 11.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETLost
Down$1 @ 11.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETLost
Up$1 @ 11.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETLost
Up$1 @ 11.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETLost
Down$1 @ 11.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETLost
Up$1 @ 11.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETLost
Up$1 @ 1.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETLost
Down$1 @ 11.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETLost
Up$1 @ 11.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETLost
Up$1 @ 11.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 5?Lost
Yes$77 @ 12.8¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETLost
Up$1 @ 11.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETLost
Up$1 @ 11.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 6?Lost
Yes$100 @ 13.4¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETLost
Down$1 @ 11.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will M&T Bank (MTB) beat quarterly earnings?	Business	No	$151	16.8¢
Will Micron (MU) beat quarterly earnings?	Business	No	$121	10.7¢
Will Kinder Morgan (KMI) beat quarterly earnings?	Business	No	$107	17.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 6?	Crypto	Yes	$100	13.4¢
Will Labor win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?	Politics	Yes	$99	15.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 6?	Crypto	No	$80	13.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 5?	Crypto	Yes	$77	12.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 26-November 1?	Crypto	Yes	$60	13.9¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 12 2026?	Other	Yes	$60	8.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 November 2-8?	Crypto	Yes	$60	8.8¢
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings?	Business	No	$59	18.9¢
Will CME Group (CME) beat quarterly earnings?	Business	No	$59	19.1¢
Will Strategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings?	Business	No	$49	12.1¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 12 2026?	Other	Yes	$30	11.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 19-25?	Crypto	Yes	$29	7.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 5?	Crypto	Yes	$20	17.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 19-25?	Crypto	Yes	$12	6.0¢
Will American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings?	Business	No	$9	18.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of October 5 2026?	Other	Yes	$3	21.2¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 Week of October 12 2026?	Other	Yes	$3	9.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of October 5 2026?	Other	Yes	$3	18.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	Crypto	Yes	$2	8.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	—	Down	$2	11.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	—	Up	$2	11.0¢
Will Carnival (CCL) beat quarterly earnings?	Business	No	$2	15.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 26-November 1?	Crypto	Yes	$1	28.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 November 2-8?	Crypto	Yes	$1	7.2¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	—	Up	$1	1.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	—	Down	$1	1.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	—	Up	$1	1.0¢

Will M&T Bank (MTB) beat quarterly earnings?Business
No$151 @ 16.8¢
Will Micron (MU) beat quarterly earnings?Business
No$121 @ 10.7¢
Will Kinder Morgan (KMI) beat quarterly earnings?Business
No$107 @ 17.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 6?Crypto
Yes$100 @ 13.4¢
Will Labor win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?Politics
Yes$99 @ 15.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 6?Crypto
No$80 @ 13.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 5?Crypto
Yes$77 @ 12.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 26-November 1?Crypto
Yes$60 @ 13.9¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 12 2026?Other
Yes$60 @ 8.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 November 2-8?Crypto
Yes$60 @ 8.8¢
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings?Business
No$59 @ 18.9¢
Will CME Group (CME) beat quarterly earnings?Business
No$59 @ 19.1¢
Will Strategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings?Business
No$49 @ 12.1¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 12 2026?Other
Yes$30 @ 11.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 19-25?Crypto
Yes$29 @ 7.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 5?Crypto
Yes$20 @ 17.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 19-25?Crypto
Yes$12 @ 6.0¢
Will American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings?Business
No$9 @ 18.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of October 5 2026?Other
Yes$3 @ 21.2¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 Week of October 12 2026?Other
Yes$3 @ 9.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of October 5 2026?Other
Yes$3 @ 18.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?Crypto
Yes$2 @ 8.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET—
Down$2 @ 11.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET—
Up$2 @ 11.0¢
Will Carnival (CCL) beat quarterly earnings?Business
No$2 @ 15.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 26-November 1?Crypto
Yes$1 @ 28.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 November 2-8?Crypto
Yes$1 @ 7.2¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET—
Up$1 @ 1.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET—
Down$1 @ 1.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET—
Up$1 @ 1.0¢