← Smart money
0xd459…13f9
SharpEdge
+11.5pp
ROI
+8%
Win rate
55% @ 43.1¢
Brier
0.095
Resolved
152
Avg size
$1.2k
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 50% (12/24) | +16% | 24 |
| Crypto | 50% (1/2) | -47% | 2 |
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +117% | 1 |
- Other24 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (12/24)
- ROI
- +16%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -47%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +117%
Track record
52% hit · 14/27- Yes$206 @ 69.9¢
- Yes$4 @ 2.9¢
- Yes$138 @ 46.0¢
- No$4 @ 4.3¢
- No$360 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$290 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$5.5k @ 27.4¢
- No$8.8k @ 68.8¢
- Yes$15.2k @ 72.4¢
- No$1.6k @ 80.0¢
- No$9 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$93 @ 2.9¢
- Yes$6.2k @ 80.0¢
- No$550 @ 12.6¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 84.5¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 71.5¢
- No$7.8k @ 78.0¢
- Yes$4.6k @ 54.8¢
- Yes$150 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$4.2k @ 70.0¢
- Yes$97.6k @ 78.1¢
- No$210 @ 10.5¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 1.1¢
- Yes$19.5k @ 78.0¢
- Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?LostNo$120 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$3.3k @ 63.8¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 77.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $4.1k | 38.0¢ |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Politics | Yes | $335 | 65.8¢ |
- Yes$4.1k @ 38.0¢
- Yes$335 @ 65.8¢