← Smart money
0xd387…a51a
SharpEdge
+4.7pp
ROI
+526%
Win rate
7% @ 2.2¢
Brier
0.054
Resolved
73
Avg size
$109
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 14% (1/7) | +526% | 7 |
- Other7 bets
- Hit rate
- 14% (1/7)
- ROI
- +526%
Track record
14% hit · 1/7| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | Yes | $344 | 4.7¢ | Lost |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | $5.7k | 11.4¢ | Won |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | Yes | $248 | 1.6¢ | Lost |
| US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026? | Yes | $1 | 2.1¢ | Lost |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | Yes | $202 | 0.5¢ | Lost |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | Yes | $1.1k | 1.3¢ | Lost |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | Yes | $400 | 0.7¢ | Lost |
- Yes$344 @ 4.7¢
- Yes$5.7k @ 11.4¢
- Yes$248 @ 1.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.1¢
- Yes$202 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 1.3¢
- Yes$400 @ 0.7¢
Recent trades
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