0xd277…73fe

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xd2770343da54f1a2ed7305dbf83eeefa4a8b73fe
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+3.5pp

ROI

+3%

Win rate

46% @ 42.9¢

Brier

0.169

Resolved

3116

Avg size

$60

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	58% (445/772)	-4%	772
Sports	52% (27/52)	+61%	52
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other772 bets
Hit rate
58% (445/772)
ROI
-4%
Sports52 bets
Hit rate
52% (27/52)
ROI
+61%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

57% hit · 472/826

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs XI Esport (BO3)	megoshort	$426	71.0¢	Won
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)	Qatar	$512	64.0¢	Won
DEL: Eisbaeren Berlin vs. Koelner Haie	Eisbaeren Berlin	$10	51.0¢	Lost
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5	Under	$100	20.0¢	Lost
Games Total: O/U 4.5	Under	$3	73.0¢	Won
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5	Under	$200	51.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Trailer Park Boys (BO3)	Trailer Park Boys	$55	55.0¢	Won
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	No	$167	27.8¢	Won
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	$90	36.1¢	Lost
49ers vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	$288	72.0¢	Won
Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	Yes	$13	51.0¢	Lost
Kylian Mbappe: Anytime Goalscorer	No	$122	43.0¢	Won
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	No	$65	29.3¢	Lost
Melbourne City FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 4.5	Under	$25	85.0¢	Won
Map Handicap: BBP (-1.5) vs STATE (+1.5)	Bebop	$3	9.0¢	Lost
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Daniel Merida Aguilar	Patrick Kypson	$30	66.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs ENCE - Map 2 Winner	PARIVISION	$4	62.0¢	Won
Stars vs. Canadiens	Stars	$329	47.0¢	Won
Cádiz CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5	Under	$162	54.0¢	Won
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Fils (+1.5)	Sinner	$305	61.0¢	Won
Will Meta dip to $600 in November?	No	$119	56.5¢	Lost
Valorant: Aura vs KRÜ Spark (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stage	Aura	$60	61.0¢	Won
DEL: Loewen Frankfurt vs. Koelner Haie	Koelner Haie	$300	72.0¢	Won
Antalya 2: Katarzyna Kawa vs Tamara Zidansek	Tamara Zidansek	$600	60.0¢	Lost
Spread: RC Deportivo La Coruña (-2.5)	CD Mirandés	$400	80.0¢	Won
BC Dubai vs. Olimpia Milano	BC Dubai	$154	49.0¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 18?	Yes	$119	16.9¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3)	Liquid	$144	72.0¢	Won
Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	$400	80.0¢	Won
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$542	63.0¢	Won
Valorant: Team NKT vs BOOM Esports (BO1)	BOOM Esports	$12	70.0¢	Won
BNP Paribas Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Corentin Moutet	Corentin Moutet	$70	61.0¢	Lost
Brisbane International, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Benjamin Bonzi	Quinn	$100	49.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Midnight vs Prestige - Map 1 Winner	Prestige	$120	60.0¢	Won
Hernandez vs. Andrade: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	Over	$153	64.0¢	Won
Honor of Kings: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs KuaiShow Gaming (BO5)	KuaiShow Gaming	$1	20.0¢	Won
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	$1	47.5¢	Lost
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner	Aurora	$200	51.9¢	Lost
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	$100	64.0¢	Won
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-01-01?	No	$300	60.0¢	Won
Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5	Under	$281	53.7¢	Won
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Axe vs RLG SE (BO3)	Axe	$3	74.0¢	Won
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 2 Winner	ZETA DIVISION	$102	51.0¢	Lost
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5	Under	$295	59.0¢	Won
Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorer	No	$43	59.0¢	Lost
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Los Angeles Lakers?	Yes	$13	2.0¢	Lost
RCD Mallorca vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5	Under	$213	45.4¢	Won
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Yes	$677	40.6¢	Won
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-01-01?	No	$420	60.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Curralzinho vs Game Hunters (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stage	Game Hunters	$85	86.0¢	Won

Counter-Strike: megoshort vs XI Esport (BO3)Won
megoshort$426 @ 71.0¢
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Won
Qatar$512 @ 64.0¢
DEL: Eisbaeren Berlin vs. Koelner HaieLost
Eisbaeren Berlin$10 @ 51.0¢
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$100 @ 20.0¢
Games Total: O/U 4.5Won
Under$3 @ 73.0¢
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5Won
Under$200 @ 51.0¢
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Trailer Park Boys (BO3)Won
Trailer Park Boys$55 @ 55.0¢
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?Won
No$167 @ 27.8¢
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?Lost
Yes$90 @ 36.1¢
49ers vs. SeahawksWon
Seahawks$288 @ 72.0¢
Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Lost
Yes$13 @ 51.0¢
Kylian Mbappe: Anytime GoalscorerWon
No$122 @ 43.0¢
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?Lost
No$65 @ 29.3¢
Melbourne City FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 4.5Won
Under$25 @ 85.0¢
Map Handicap: BBP (-1.5) vs STATE (+1.5)Lost
Bebop$3 @ 9.0¢
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Daniel Merida AguilarLost
Patrick Kypson$30 @ 66.0¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs ENCE - Map 2 WinnerWon
PARIVISION$4 @ 62.0¢
Stars vs. CanadiensWon
Stars$329 @ 47.0¢
Cádiz CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5Won
Under$162 @ 54.0¢
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Fils (+1.5)Won
Sinner$305 @ 61.0¢
Will Meta dip to $600 in November?Lost
No$119 @ 56.5¢
Valorant: Aura vs KRÜ Spark (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group StageWon
Aura$60 @ 61.0¢
DEL: Loewen Frankfurt vs. Koelner HaieWon
Koelner Haie$300 @ 72.0¢
Antalya 2: Katarzyna Kawa vs Tamara ZidansekLost
Tamara Zidansek$600 @ 60.0¢
Spread: RC Deportivo La Coruña (-2.5)Won
CD Mirandés$400 @ 80.0¢
BC Dubai vs. Olimpia MilanoWon
BC Dubai$154 @ 49.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 18?Lost
Yes$119 @ 16.9¢
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3)Won
Liquid$144 @ 72.0¢
Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Won
No$400 @ 80.0¢
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$542 @ 63.0¢
Valorant: Team NKT vs BOOM Esports (BO1)Won
BOOM Esports$12 @ 70.0¢
BNP Paribas Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Corentin MoutetLost
Corentin Moutet$70 @ 61.0¢
Brisbane International, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Benjamin BonziWon
Quinn$100 @ 49.0¢
Counter-Strike: Midnight vs Prestige - Map 1 WinnerWon
Prestige$120 @ 60.0¢
Hernandez vs. Andrade: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Won
Over$153 @ 64.0¢
Honor of Kings: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs KuaiShow Gaming (BO5)Won
KuaiShow Gaming$1 @ 20.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$1 @ 47.5¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerLost
Aurora$200 @ 51.9¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerWon
Natus Vincere$100 @ 64.0¢
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-01-01?Won
No$300 @ 60.0¢
Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5Won
Under$281 @ 53.7¢
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Axe vs RLG SE (BO3)Won
Axe$3 @ 74.0¢
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 2 WinnerLost
ZETA DIVISION$102 @ 51.0¢
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5Won
Under$295 @ 59.0¢
Vinicius Junior: Anytime GoalscorerLost
No$43 @ 59.0¢
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Los Angeles Lakers?Lost
Yes$13 @ 2.0¢
RCD Mallorca vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5Won
Under$213 @ 45.4¢
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?Won
Yes$677 @ 40.6¢
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-01-01?Won
No$420 @ 60.0¢
Counter-Strike: Curralzinho vs Game Hunters (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group StageWon
Game Hunters$85 @ 86.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$3.9k	57.4¢
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Sports	No	$1.6k	64.7¢
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Sports	No	$1.2k	57.8¢
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	—	No	$1.1k	68.6¢
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$978	14.3¢
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Sports	Yes	$697	22.0¢
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$684	72.0¢
Will CD Leganes be promoted to LaLiga?	Sports	No	$541	69.3¢
Will Málaga be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	Sports	Yes	$415	42.1¢
Will Lautaro Martínez (Inter) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	Sports	No	$388	70.0¢
Will Carolina Panthers win the 2026 NFC South?	Sports	No	$361	75.4¢
F1: Will Carlos Sainz finish ahead of Fernando Alonso in the 2026 Drivers' Championship?	Sports	No	$293	37.1¢
Will Celta Vigo reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League quarterfinal?	Sports	No	$279	60.0¢
Will kt Rolster Qualify for Worlds 2026?	Sports	No	$210	70.0¢
Will CD Leganes be promoted to LaLiga?	Sports	Yes	$199	14.4¢
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Sports	Yes	$166	41.0¢
Will Xi'an Team WE Qualify for Worlds 2026?	Sports	No	$124	77.5¢
Will Cloud9 Kia Qualify for Worlds 2026?	Sports	No	$119	66.3¢
Will Brooklyn Nets receive the first overall pick at the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery?	—	No	$109	89.0¢
Will Relove Deep Cross Gaming Qualify for Worlds 2026?	Sports	No	$106	66.4¢
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West?	Sports	Yes	$102	54.0¢
Will Belgium be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	Sports	No	$94	78.2¢
Will CTBC Flying Oyster Qualify for Worlds 2026?	Sports	No	$82	68.5¢
Will Wales be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	Sports	Yes	$74	74.0¢
Will Sunderland reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League quarterfinal?	Sports	No	$73	73.0¢
Will Shopify Rebellion Qualify for Worlds 2026?	Sports	No	$72	90.0¢
Will Greece be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	Sports	Yes	$57	57.0¢
Will Fukuoka SoftBank HAWKS gaming Qualify for Worlds 2026?	Sports	No	$51	68.8¢
Will MVK Esports Qualify for Worlds 2026?	Sports	No	$50	77.9¢
Will Elche be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	Sports	Yes	$48	91.0¢

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
Yes$3.9k @ 57.4¢
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Sports
No$1.6k @ 64.7¢
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year?Sports
No$1.2k @ 57.8¢
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?—
No$1.1k @ 68.6¢
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Sports
Yes$978 @ 14.3¢
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?Sports
Yes$697 @ 22.0¢
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$684 @ 72.0¢
Will CD Leganes be promoted to LaLiga?Sports
No$541 @ 69.3¢
Will Málaga be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?Sports
Yes$415 @ 42.1¢
Will Lautaro Martínez (Inter) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?Sports
No$388 @ 70.0¢
Will Carolina Panthers win the 2026 NFC South?Sports
No$361 @ 75.4¢
F1: Will Carlos Sainz finish ahead of Fernando Alonso in the 2026 Drivers' Championship?Sports
No$293 @ 37.1¢
Will Celta Vigo reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League quarterfinal?Sports
No$279 @ 60.0¢
Will kt Rolster Qualify for Worlds 2026?Sports
No$210 @ 70.0¢
Will CD Leganes be promoted to LaLiga?Sports
Yes$199 @ 14.4¢
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year?Sports
Yes$166 @ 41.0¢
Will Xi'an Team WE Qualify for Worlds 2026?Sports
No$124 @ 77.5¢
Will Cloud9 Kia Qualify for Worlds 2026?Sports
No$119 @ 66.3¢
Will Brooklyn Nets receive the first overall pick at the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery?—
No$109 @ 89.0¢
Will Relove Deep Cross Gaming Qualify for Worlds 2026?Sports
No$106 @ 66.4¢
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West?Sports
Yes$102 @ 54.0¢
Will Belgium be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?Sports
No$94 @ 78.2¢
Will CTBC Flying Oyster Qualify for Worlds 2026?Sports
No$82 @ 68.5¢
Will Wales be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?Sports
Yes$74 @ 74.0¢
Will Sunderland reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League quarterfinal?Sports
No$73 @ 73.0¢
Will Shopify Rebellion Qualify for Worlds 2026?Sports
No$72 @ 90.0¢
Will Greece be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?Sports
Yes$57 @ 57.0¢
Will Fukuoka SoftBank HAWKS gaming Qualify for Worlds 2026?Sports
No$51 @ 68.8¢
Will MVK Esports Qualify for Worlds 2026?Sports
No$50 @ 77.9¢
Will Elche be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?Sports
Yes$48 @ 91.0¢