← Smart money
0xd267…9dc6
ProfitableEdge
+1.9pp
ROI
+10%
Win rate
38% @ 36.6¢
Brier
0.226
Resolved
7835
Avg size
$220
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 38% (162/427) | +17% | 427 |
| Sports | 38% (23/60) | -27% | 60 |
| Politics | 100% (2/2) | +103% | 2 |
- Other427 bets
- Hit rate
- 38% (162/427)
- ROI
- +17%
- Sports60 bets
- Hit rate
- 38% (23/60)
- ROI
- -27%
- Politics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +103%
Track record
38% hit · 187/489- Raiders$2.8k @ 32.0¢
- No$3.8k @ 49.0¢
- Yes$37 @ 9.0¢
- No$2.3k @ 45.0¢
- Yes$33 @ 21.0¢
- No$2.6k @ 73.0¢
- No$14.6k @ 42.0¢
- Yes$220 @ 42.1¢
- No$66 @ 44.0¢
- No$18 @ 36.0¢
- No$22.7k @ 39.0¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 33.0¢
- No$1.2k @ 46.0¢
- No$6.9k @ 23.0¢
- Lakers$4.9k @ 39.0¢
- Ducks vs. OilersLostDucks$3.1k @ 42.0¢
- No$18 @ 32.0¢
- No$26.9k @ 37.0¢
- No$10.8k @ 32.0¢
- No$11.2k @ 24.6¢
- Yes$870 @ 87.0¢
- Jesus Aguilar$198 @ 40.0¢
- No$10.9k @ 27.1¢
- Yes$289 @ 56.5¢
- No$2.9k @ 37.0¢
- Yes$143 @ 36.0¢
- No$733 @ 73.3¢
- Wizards vs. NetsLostWizards$4.3k @ 30.0¢
- Athletics$21 @ 42.9¢
- No$10.8k @ 44.1¢
- Yes$570 @ 38.0¢
- No$19 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$133 @ 35.0¢
- No$11.8k @ 52.5¢
- Yes$118 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 3.0¢
- No$508 @ 60.6¢
- Over$8.9k @ 45.0¢
- No$3.6k @ 47.8¢
- Yes$8 @ 7.8¢
- No$2.7k @ 25.0¢
- Yes$245 @ 49.0¢
- Bruins$3.9k @ 39.0¢
- Clippers$366 @ 43.0¢
- No$25.4k @ 35.2¢
- Yes$550 @ 41.7¢
- No$11.7k @ 36.3¢
- Yes$21 @ 7.9¢
- No$90 @ 9.0¢
- No$4.2k @ 36.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | Yes | $50 | 5.0¢ |
- Yes$50 @ 5.0¢