0xd263…54a7

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xd26359793bd8c99a809670658527bc796ff454a7
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.5pp

ROI

+13%

Win rate

53% @ 48.3¢

Brier

0.219

Resolved

1034

Avg size

$24

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	52% (351/670)	+14%	670
Sports	33% (1/3)	-79%	3
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other670 bets
Hit rate
52% (351/670)
ROI
+14%
Sports3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-79%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

52% hit · 352/674

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	No	$12	14.6¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO1)	NIP	$34	56.0¢	Won
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?	No	$119	52.4¢	Won
Will Torino FC win on 2025-12-27?	No	$30	36.8¢	Won
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?	No	$104	70.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Mitchell vs. Nurmagomedov	Mitchell	$6	57.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Mitchell vs. Nurmagomedov	Nurmagomedov	$33	33.8¢	Lost
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-05?	No	$19	42.0¢	Lost
League of Legends: BNK FEARX vs. DRX	DRX	$11	17.0¢	Lost
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-04-25?	No	$29	72.0¢	Won
Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	No	$4	38.0¢	Won
Kings vs. Bucks	Bucks	$50	70.0¢	Lost
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?	No	$35	48.0¢	Lost
Mavericks vs. Lakers	Lakers	$39	33.0¢	Lost
Mavericks vs. Lakers	Mavericks	$12	48.0¢	Won
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	$91	44.4¢	Won
Aces vs. Mercury	Mercury	$49	58.0¢	Lost
Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	$50	50.0¢	Lost
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5	Under	$3	42.0¢	Lost
Pelicans vs. Kings: O/U 233.5	Under	$28	54.0¢	Won
LoL: ZYB Esport vs French Flair (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Group	ZYB Esport	$25	21.0¢	Lost
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2025-12-29?	No	$16	24.6¢	Lost
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2025-11-27?	No	$2	45.0¢	Won
Will India win the 2025 Asia Cup?	No	$20	28.0¢	Lost
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)	Hooker	$15	34.6¢	Lost
Clippers vs. Warriors	Warriors	$2	32.0¢	Lost
Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Warriors	$50	64.0¢	Won
ACF Fiorentina vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5	Over	$2	35.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Long vs. You	Long	$2	27.0¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Johns vs. Matsumoto	Matsumoto	$35	64.0¢	Won
Timberwolves vs. Bulls	Bulls	$5	30.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B	FaZe	$50	77.0¢	Won
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5	Over	$40	54.0¢	Lost
Bulls vs. Heat	Heat	$50	56.0¢	Lost
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Stanford Cardinal	Pittsburgh Panthers	$31	37.0¢	Won
Thunder vs. Hornets	Thunder	$19	63.0¢	Won
Mystics vs Lynx	Lynx	$41	70.0¢	Won
US Open: Arthur Cazaux vs. Jan-Lennard Struff	Cazaux	$78	42.1¢	Lost
US Open: Arthur Cazaux vs. Jan-Lennard Struff	Lennard Struff	$3	69.0¢	Won
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?	No	$72	60.4¢	Lost
Will Sepp Straka be the first round leader at the 2025 Genesis Scottish Open?	No	$74	50.0¢	Lost
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)	Hawks	$20	47.0¢	Won
Euro Basket: France vs Georgia	France	$11	34.0¢	Lost
Euro Basket: France vs Georgia	Georgia	$24	30.0¢	Won
Spurs vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	$6	40.0¢	Lost
US Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Marcos Giron	Giron	$4	59.0¢	Lost
Warriors vs. Grizzlies	Warriors	$17	51.0¢	Won
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5	Over	$27	39.0¢	Lost
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	$137	45.0¢	Lost
League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. Bilibili Gaming	Invictus Gaming	$50	72.0¢	Won

Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Lost
No$12 @ 14.6¢
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO1)Won
NIP$34 @ 56.0¢
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?Won
No$119 @ 52.4¢
Will Torino FC win on 2025-12-27?Won
No$30 @ 36.8¢
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?Won
No$104 @ 70.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Mitchell vs. NurmagomedovWon
Mitchell$6 @ 57.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Mitchell vs. NurmagomedovLost
Nurmagomedov$33 @ 33.8¢
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-05?Lost
No$19 @ 42.0¢
League of Legends: BNK FEARX vs. DRXLost
DRX$11 @ 17.0¢
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-04-25?Won
No$29 @ 72.0¢
Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Won
No$4 @ 38.0¢
Kings vs. BucksLost
Bucks$50 @ 70.0¢
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?Lost
No$35 @ 48.0¢
Mavericks vs. LakersLost
Lakers$39 @ 33.0¢
Mavericks vs. LakersWon
Mavericks$12 @ 48.0¢
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. PanathinaikosWon
Panathinaikos$91 @ 44.4¢
Aces vs. MercuryLost
Mercury$49 @ 58.0¢
Cavaliers vs. HawksLost
Cavaliers$50 @ 50.0¢
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$3 @ 42.0¢
Pelicans vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Won
Under$28 @ 54.0¢
LoL: ZYB Esport vs French Flair (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super GroupLost
ZYB Esport$25 @ 21.0¢
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2025-12-29?Lost
No$16 @ 24.6¢
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2025-11-27?Won
No$2 @ 45.0¢
Will India win the 2025 Asia Cup?Lost
No$20 @ 28.0¢
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)Lost
Hooker$15 @ 34.6¢
Clippers vs. WarriorsLost
Warriors$2 @ 32.0¢
Warriors vs. TimberwolvesWon
Warriors$50 @ 64.0¢
ACF Fiorentina vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5Won
Over$2 @ 35.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Long vs. YouLost
Long $2 @ 27.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Johns vs. MatsumotoWon
Matsumoto$35 @ 64.0¢
Timberwolves vs. BullsLost
Bulls$5 @ 30.0¢
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group BWon
FaZe$50 @ 77.0¢
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$40 @ 54.0¢
Bulls vs. HeatLost
Heat$50 @ 56.0¢
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Stanford CardinalWon
Pittsburgh Panthers$31 @ 37.0¢
Thunder vs. HornetsWon
Thunder$19 @ 63.0¢
Mystics vs LynxWon
Lynx$41 @ 70.0¢
US Open: Arthur Cazaux vs. Jan-Lennard StruffLost
Cazaux$78 @ 42.1¢
US Open: Arthur Cazaux vs. Jan-Lennard StruffWon
Lennard Struff$3 @ 69.0¢
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Lost
No$72 @ 60.4¢
Will Sepp Straka be the first round leader at the 2025 Genesis Scottish Open?Lost
No$74 @ 50.0¢
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Won
Hawks$20 @ 47.0¢
Euro Basket: France vs GeorgiaLost
France$11 @ 34.0¢
Euro Basket: France vs GeorgiaWon
Georgia$24 @ 30.0¢
Spurs vs. PelicansLost
Pelicans$6 @ 40.0¢
US Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Marcos GironLost
Giron$4 @ 59.0¢
Warriors vs. GrizzliesWon
Warriors$17 @ 51.0¢
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$27 @ 39.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Lost
No$137 @ 45.0¢
League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. Bilibili GamingWon
Invictus Gaming$50 @ 72.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Sports	No	$69	53.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$51	62.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$12	14.6¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$11	55.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$3	30.0¢

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Sports
No$69 @ 53.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Politics
No$51 @ 62.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$12 @ 14.6¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Politics
No$11 @ 55.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$3 @ 30.0¢