0xd220…c03d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xd220223eb9b6d2f70a50573525f52e0a548ac03d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+11.0pp

ROI

+7%

Win rate

77% @ 65.6¢

Brier

0.085

Resolved

141

Avg size

$103

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	64% (7/11)	-8%	11
Politics	100% (4/4)	+45%	4
Tech	100% (1/1)	+82%	1
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other11 bets
Hit rate
64% (7/11)
ROI
-8%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
100% (4/4)
ROI
+45%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+82%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

71% hit · 12/17

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?	Yes	$263	85.8¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$2.8k	79.8¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	$61	85.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$2.0k	62.6¢	Won
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	No	$2.2k	89.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$939	49.9¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	$542	63.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$572	3.3¢	Lost
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?	No	$33	69.6¢	Won
Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	$1.2k	85.5¢	Won
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	$840	55.0¢	Won
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	$626	31.5¢	Lost
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$97	77.0¢	Won
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	$5	52.8¢	Won
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$610	65.9¢	Won
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?	Yes	$1.0k	82.2¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	$730	15.0¢	Lost

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?Won
Yes$263 @ 85.8¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$2.8k @ 79.8¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Lost
No$61 @ 85.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$2.0k @ 62.6¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Won
No$2.2k @ 89.0¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Lost
No$939 @ 49.9¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Won
Yes$542 @ 63.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$572 @ 3.3¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?Won
No$33 @ 69.6¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?Won
No$1.2k @ 85.5¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Won
No$840 @ 55.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Lost
Yes$626 @ 31.5¢
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
No$97 @ 77.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Won
Yes$5 @ 52.8¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
Yes$610 @ 65.9¢
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Won
Yes$1.0k @ 82.2¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Lost
Yes$730 @ 15.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Politics	No	$4.0k	89.7¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?	Politics	No	$977	86.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolitics	No	$744	83.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Tech	Yes	$364	10.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Geopolitics	No	$67	92.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	Politics	No	$41	80.0¢
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$15	89.5¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$13	63.0¢
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$12	28.4¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Politics	No	$1	60.8¢

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics
No$4.0k @ 89.7¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?Politics
No$977 @ 86.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
No$744 @ 83.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech
Yes$364 @ 10.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Geopolitics
No$67 @ 92.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Politics
No$41 @ 80.0¢
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics
Yes$15 @ 89.5¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics
Yes$13 @ 63.0¢
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$12 @ 28.4¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics
No$1 @ 60.8¢