0xd217…7561

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xd2178baff3b409cdd9eabfc9e6e4dee000a07561
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.9pp

ROI

+8%

Win rate

86% @ 78.4¢

Brier

0.134

Resolved

381

Avg size

$58

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	77% (27/35)	+2%	35
Science	94% (31/33)	+13%	33
Politics	100% (2/2)	+11%	2

Other35 bets
Hit rate
77% (27/35)
ROI
+2%
Science33 bets
Hit rate
94% (31/33)
ROI
+13%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+11%

Track record

86% hit · 60/70

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	$287	98.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 25?	No	$454	83.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 23?	Yes	$449	98.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 23?	Yes	$259	97.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 23?	Yes	$159	92.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 14?	No	$402	87.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 16?	No	$548	77.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 10?	No	$459	76.9¢	Won
Will "ONE PIECE: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	$552	79.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2?	No	$626	81.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	$423	85.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 19?	No	$362	72.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C or higher on October 8?	No	$1.0k	87.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 12?	No	$403	86.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 6?	Yes	$446	43.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 1?	Yes	$326	86.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 12?	No	$473	90.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 14?	No	$449	79.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 13?	No	$502	82.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 21?	Yes	$140	75.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 9?	Yes	$7	89.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 12?	No	$54	89.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 3?	No	$686	82.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or higher on September 10?	No	$442	87.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	$13	43.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	$44	87.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	$302	87.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 29?	No	$197	88.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	$365	89.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 5?	No	$85	70.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 2?	Yes	$565	66.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 3?	No	$168	86.4¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	$479	88.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27?	No	$114	83.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 19?	Yes	$394	80.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 13?	Yes	$431	85.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 4?	No	$154	80.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 22?	No	$70	63.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 6?	No	$18	89.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 4?	Yes	$94	88.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 2?	No	$773	72.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 14?	No	$506	76.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 28?	No	$372	89.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 9?	No	$374	88.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 9?	No	$218	89.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 21?	No	$54	89.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 25?	No	$108	90.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	$1.2k	83.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on July 4?	No	$187	89.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 20?	No	$418	83.5¢	Won

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 26?Won
Yes$287 @ 98.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 25?Won
No$454 @ 83.4¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 23?Won
Yes$449 @ 98.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 23?Won
Yes$259 @ 97.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 23?Won
Yes$159 @ 92.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 14?Won
No$402 @ 87.8¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 16?Won
No$548 @ 77.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 10?Won
No$459 @ 76.9¢
Will "ONE PIECE: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?Won
Yes$552 @ 79.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2?Lost
No$626 @ 81.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 16?Won
Yes$423 @ 85.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 19?Lost
No$362 @ 72.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C or higher on October 8?Won
No$1.0k @ 87.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 12?Won
No$403 @ 86.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 6?Won
Yes$446 @ 43.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 1?Lost
Yes$326 @ 86.8¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 12?Won
No$473 @ 90.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 14?Won
No$449 @ 79.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 13?Won
No$502 @ 82.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 21?Won
Yes$140 @ 75.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 9?Lost
Yes$7 @ 89.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 12?Won
No$54 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 3?Won
No$686 @ 82.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or higher on September 10?Won
No$442 @ 87.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?Won
Yes$13 @ 43.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?Won
Yes$44 @ 87.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 17?Won
Yes$302 @ 87.8¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 29?Won
No$197 @ 88.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?Won
Yes$365 @ 89.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 5?Won
No$85 @ 70.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 2?Lost
Yes$565 @ 66.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 3?Won
No$168 @ 86.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Won
No$479 @ 88.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27?Won
No$114 @ 83.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 19?Won
Yes$394 @ 80.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 13?Won
Yes$431 @ 85.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 4?Lost
No$154 @ 80.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 22?Won
No$70 @ 63.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 6?Won
No$18 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 4?Won
Yes$94 @ 88.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 2?Won
No$773 @ 72.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 14?Won
No$506 @ 76.8¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 28?Won
No$372 @ 89.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 9?Won
No$374 @ 88.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 9?Won
No$218 @ 89.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 21?Won
No$54 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 25?Won
No$108 @ 90.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 83.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on July 4?Won
No$187 @ 89.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 20?Won
No$418 @ 83.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on November 1?	Science	No	$30	92.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on November 1?	Science	No	$30	66.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on November 1?	Science	No	$30	80.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on November 1?	Science	No	$30	80.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on November 1?	Science	No	$30	93.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 1?	Science	No	$30	93.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on November 1?	Science	No	$30	88.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on November 1?	Science	No	$30	70.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on November 1?	Science	No	$30	65.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 1?	Science	No	$30	65.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 1?	Science	No	$30	63.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on November 1?	Science	No	$29	78.2¢

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on November 1?Science
No$30 @ 92.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on November 1?Science
No$30 @ 66.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on November 1?Science
No$30 @ 80.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on November 1?Science
No$30 @ 80.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on November 1?Science
No$30 @ 93.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 1?Science
No$30 @ 93.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on November 1?Science
No$30 @ 88.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on November 1?Science
No$30 @ 70.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on November 1?Science
No$30 @ 65.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 1?Science
No$30 @ 65.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 1?Science
No$30 @ 63.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on November 1?Science
No$29 @ 78.2¢