0xd18d…fc51

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xd18ddef60c4555e247d398c49ec04f65dad8fc51
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+2.0pp

ROI

+24%

Win rate

31% @ 29.2¢

Brier

0.164

Resolved

2851

Avg size

$28

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	33% (199/606)	+27%	606
Sports	35% (29/84)	-11%	84
Politics	43% (23/53)	+21%	53
Geopolitics	40% (8/20)	-3%	20
Tech	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Crypto	67% (2/3)	+135%	3
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other606 bets
Hit rate
33% (199/606)
ROI
+27%
Sports84 bets
Hit rate
35% (29/84)
ROI
-11%
Politics53 bets
Hit rate
43% (23/53)
ROI
+21%
Geopolitics20 bets
Hit rate
40% (8/20)
ROI
-3%
Tech3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Crypto3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+135%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

34% hit · 261/770

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	TLN Pirates	$123	42.1¢	Lost
Cade Otton: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5	Over	$95	53.0¢	Lost
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres	Milwaukee Brewers	$8	16.0¢	Lost
Will Ron & Lacy win Jynxzi's Rocket League tournament?	Yes	$44	11.0¢	Lost
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)	Movistar KOI	$300	60.0¢	Won
Bucks vs. Pacers	Bucks	$14	5.2¢	Lost
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	$51	23.4¢	Lost
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	No	$5	5.6¢	Lost
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner	KT Rolster	$6	32.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Austria?	Yes	$6	3.0¢	Lost
Jordan to score first vs. Algeria?	Yes	$60	24.2¢	Won
Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	$104	30.2¢	Won
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?	Yes	$10	12.6¢	Lost
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?	Yes	$6	3.5¢	Lost
49ers vs. Seahawks	49ers	$28	14.0¢	Lost
Suns vs. Lakers	Lakers	$53	66.0¢	Lost
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winner	CTBC Flying Oyster	$4	36.0¢	Lost
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	$3	1.3¢	Lost
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcats	Utah State Aggies	$25	55.0¢	Won
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders	Akron Zips	$7	14.8¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$12	6.2¢	Lost
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	$1	4.8¢	Lost
Will Trump say "BRICS" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	$18	9.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?	Yes	$47	29.2¢	Lost
Will Xqc & PlaqueBoyMax Bart win Jynxzi's Rocket League tournament?	No	$67	65.4¢	Won
Will Xqc & PlaqueBoyMax Bart win Jynxzi's Rocket League tournament?	Yes	$258	23.7¢	Lost
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?	Yes	$9	31.0¢	Lost
Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	$12	6.8¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Crazy" or "Kamala" during Pennsylvania events on December 9?	Yes	$12	69.0¢	Won
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?	No	$73	73.0¢	Won
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	$58	13.8¢	Lost
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	$113	3.3¢	Lost
Spurs vs. Knicks	Spurs	$180	47.0¢	Won
Will Sam Altman be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	$2	0.6¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$81	73.0¢	Won
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$15	8.0¢	Lost
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	$70	87.0¢	Won
US government shutdown by October 1?	Yes	$14	79.0¢	Won
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	No	$20	2.3¢	Lost
Will Angryginge & Marlon win Jynxzi's Rocket League tournament?	Yes	$6	2.5¢	Lost
Cubs vs. Brewers	Brewers	$40	59.0¢	Won
Will Leavitt say "FBI" during the next White House press briefing?	No	$0	25.0¢	Won
Will Bryan Johnson say "Goth Girl" while tripping balls?	Yes	$2	12.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?	No	$128	64.0¢	Lost
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?	No	$10	10.0¢	Lost
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?	No	$125	62.5¢	Lost
Games Total: O/U 4.5	Over	$72	19.6¢	Lost
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)	Bilibili Gaming	$25	26.8¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3)	Astralis	$14	27.0¢	Lost
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	No	$285	41.9¢	Lost

LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsLost
TLN Pirates$123 @ 42.1¢
Cade Otton: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5Lost
Over$95 @ 53.0¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego PadresLost
Milwaukee Brewers$8 @ 16.0¢
Will Ron & Lacy win Jynxzi's Rocket League tournament?Lost
Yes$44 @ 11.0¢
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)Won
Movistar KOI$300 @ 60.0¢
Bucks vs. PacersLost
Bucks$14 @ 5.2¢
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Lost
No$51 @ 23.4¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Lost
No$5 @ 5.6¢
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 WinnerWon
KT Rolster$6 @ 32.0¢
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Austria?Lost
Yes$6 @ 3.0¢
Jordan to score first vs. Algeria?Won
Yes$60 @ 24.2¢
Fight to Go the Distance?Won
Yes$104 @ 30.2¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Lost
Yes$10 @ 12.6¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 3.5¢
49ers vs. SeahawksLost
49ers$28 @ 14.0¢
Suns vs. LakersLost
Lakers$53 @ 66.0¢
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 WinnerLost
CTBC Flying Oyster$4 @ 36.0¢
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.3¢
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova WildcatsWon
Utah State Aggies$25 @ 55.0¢
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red RaidersLost
Akron Zips$7 @ 14.8¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$12 @ 6.2¢
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.8¢
Will Trump say "BRICS" during events with Brazilian president?Lost
Yes$18 @ 9.0¢
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?Lost
Yes$47 @ 29.2¢
Will Xqc & PlaqueBoyMax Bart win Jynxzi's Rocket League tournament?Won
No$67 @ 65.4¢
Will Xqc & PlaqueBoyMax Bart win Jynxzi's Rocket League tournament?Lost
Yes$258 @ 23.7¢
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?Lost
Yes$9 @ 31.0¢
Thunder vs. LakersLost
Lakers$12 @ 6.8¢
Will Trump say "Crazy" or "Kamala" during Pennsylvania events on December 9?Won
Yes$12 @ 69.0¢
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Won
No$73 @ 73.0¢
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Lost
Yes$58 @ 13.8¢
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardLost
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard$113 @ 3.3¢
Spurs vs. KnicksWon
Spurs$180 @ 47.0¢
Will Sam Altman be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.6¢
Will France win on 2026-06-26?Won
Yes$81 @ 73.0¢
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?Lost
Yes$15 @ 8.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Won
No$70 @ 87.0¢
US government shutdown by October 1?Won
Yes$14 @ 79.0¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?Lost
No$20 @ 2.3¢
Will Angryginge & Marlon win Jynxzi's Rocket League tournament?Lost
Yes$6 @ 2.5¢
Cubs vs. BrewersWon
Brewers$40 @ 59.0¢
Will Leavitt say "FBI" during the next White House press briefing?Won
No$0 @ 25.0¢
Will Bryan Johnson say "Goth Girl" while tripping balls?Lost
Yes$2 @ 12.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?Lost
No$128 @ 64.0¢
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?Lost
No$10 @ 10.0¢
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?Lost
No$125 @ 62.5¢
Games Total: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$72 @ 19.6¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)Lost
Bilibili Gaming$25 @ 26.8¢
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3)Lost
Astralis$14 @ 27.0¢
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?Lost
No$285 @ 41.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	Sports	TLN Pirates	$123	42.1¢

LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsSports
TLN Pirates$123 @ 42.1¢