0xd0f8…6b50

Specialization by sphere

• Other113 bets

  Hit rate

  28% (32/113)

  ROI

  +12%

• Sports25 bets

  Hit rate

  8% (2/25)

  ROI

  -36%

• Politics14 bets

  Hit rate

  43% (6/14)

  ROI

  -11%

• Tech3 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/3)

  ROI

  -100%

• Geopolitics3 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (2/3)

  ROI

  +30%

• LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group BLost
  LYON$54 @ 6.0¢
• Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Lost
  No$874 @ 48.6¢
• Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$107 @ 1.8¢
• LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendLost
  Invictus Gaming$22 @ 22.0¢
• Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 9.0¢
• LoL: LUA Gaming vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonLost
  LUA Gaming$24 @ 6.4¢
• LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsLost
  G2 Esports$492 @ 15.4¢
• LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - First Stand Group BLost
  LYON$10 @ 1.0¢
• LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)Lost
  Bilibili Gaming$350 @ 57.0¢
• Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$206 @ 19.6¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$360 @ 72.0¢
• LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)Won
  CTBC Flying Oyster$200 @ 59.5¢
• Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 9.0¢
• Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?Lost
  Yes$32 @ 2.2¢
• Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Lost
  Yes$100 @ 5.0¢
• LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Lost
  T1$40 @ 31.0¢
• Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$106 @ 5.7¢
• LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Lost
  Dplus KIA$153 @ 24.0¢
• LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI (BO3)Lost
  Movistar KOI$100 @ 13.0¢
• Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaLost
  GIANTX$10 @ 28.0¢
• Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Won
  Yes$183 @ 61.0¢
• Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?Lost
  Yes$40 @ 10.0¢
• LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Lost
  KT Rolster$356 @ 27.3¢
• Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?Lost
  Yes$47 @ 4.2¢
• LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)Won
  Gen.G$100 @ 80.0¢
• Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 12.0¢
• LoL: Galions vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Regular SeasonLost
  Joblife$10 @ 25.0¢
• LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance QualifierLost
  Gen.G$62 @ 43.0¢
• LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)Lost
  Gen.G$158 @ 87.0¢
• Counter-Strike: BIG vs Acend (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsLost
  Acend$10 @ 22.0¢
• Counter-Strike: Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - IEM Rio Group ALost
  RED Canids$27 @ 4.6¢
• LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonLost
  Team Heretics$16 @ 16.0¢
• LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular SeasonLost
  Ei Nerd Esports$10 @ 29.0¢
• LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)Won
  T1$76 @ 48.0¢
• LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier PlayoffsLost
  Disguised$10 @ 18.0¢
• LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Lost
  HANJIN BRION$10 @ 20.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
  No$1.0k @ 70.0¢
• Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Won
  Yes$101 @ 36.0¢
• Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Group BLost
  B8$19 @ 19.0¢
• LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1)Won
  Gen.G$100 @ 63.0¢
• LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1)Lost
  Hanwha Life Esports$100 @ 60.0¢
• Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 4.0¢
• LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonLost
  Sentinels$24 @ 24.0¢
• Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Lost
  No$404 @ 21.9¢
• LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group ALost
  G2 Esports$146 @ 23.0¢
• LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3)Lost
  Vivo Keyd Stars$150 @ 12.1¢
• Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?Lost
  Yes$200 @ 43.4¢
• LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsWon
  Bilibili Gaming$471 @ 38.8¢
• Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 3.3¢
• LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsLost
  Team WE$9 @ 6.0¢

Current positions

• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics
  Yes$1.1k @ 10.4¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$676 @ 37.9¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
  Yes$501 @ 30.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$400 @ 33.9¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics
  Yes$315 @ 21.0¢
• Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?Tech
  Yes$312 @ 13.1¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics
  Yes$304 @ 4.7¢
• Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?Sports
  Yes$262 @ 5.9¢
• Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech
  No$206 @ 71.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Politics
  Yes$202 @ 21.0¢
• Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
  Yes$200 @ 17.0¢
• Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by December 31, 2026?Tech
  Yes$160 @ 32.0¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech
  Yes$119 @ 18.8¢
• Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by October 31, 2026?Tech
  Yes$102 @ 6.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Politics
  Yes$102 @ 35.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Politics
  Yes$100 @ 50.0¢
• Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026?Sports
  Yes$89 @ 1.8¢
• Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win LoL Worlds 2026?Sports
  Yes$38 @ 0.5¢
• Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?Sports
  Yes$6 @ 0.2¢