← Smart money
0xd0f5…8565
ProfitableEdge
+80.6pp
ROI
+588%
Win rate
93% @ 12.4¢
Brier
0.756
Resolved
100
Avg size
$19
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 57% (4/7) | -26% | 7 |
| Politics | 50% (3/6) | +634% | 6 |
- Other7 bets
- Hit rate
- 57% (4/7)
- ROI
- -26%
- Politics6 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (3/6)
- ROI
- +634%
Track record
54% hit · 7/13| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | Yes | $64 | 6.3¢ | Lost |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | $20 | 0.4¢ | Lost |
| Spread: Nuggets (-3.5) | Celtics | $7 | 76.0¢ | Lost |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5) | Mavericks | $5 | 48.0¢ | Won |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5) | Timberwolves | $5 | 53.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | Yes | $43 | 41.0¢ | Won |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) | Mavericks | $5 | 53.0¢ | Won |
| Knicks vs. Clippers | Knicks | $44 | 31.9¢ | Lost |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+? | Yes | $26 | 3.6¢ | Lost |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | $1.4k | 11.4¢ | Won |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) | Nuggets | $27 | 61.0¢ | Won |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21? | Yes | $5 | 65.0¢ | Won |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | $257 | 28.0¢ | Won |
- Yes$64 @ 6.3¢
- Yes$20 @ 0.4¢
- Celtics$7 @ 76.0¢
- Mavericks$5 @ 48.0¢
- Timberwolves$5 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$43 @ 41.0¢
- Mavericks$5 @ 53.0¢
- Knicks$44 @ 31.9¢
- Yes$26 @ 3.6¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 11.4¢
- Nuggets$27 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$257 @ 28.0¢
Recent trades
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