0xd06f…d4a6

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xd06f0f7719df1b3b75b607923536b3250825d4a6
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+2.4pp

ROI

+10%

Win rate

39% @ 36.9¢

Brier

0.085

Resolved

1980

Avg size

$137

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	36% (211/591)	+10%	591
Tech	0% (0/12)	-100%	12
Geopolitics	0% (0/6)	-100%	6
Politics	25% (1/4)	+35%	4
Economy	33% (1/3)	+41%	3
Science	100% (1/1)	+67%	1
Culture	100% (1/1)	+13%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+17%	1
Business	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other591 bets
Hit rate
36% (211/591)
ROI
+10%
Tech12 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/12)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics6 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/6)
ROI
-100%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
+35%
Economy3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+41%
Science1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+67%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+13%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+17%
Business1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

35% hit · 216/620

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Databricks have the second highest private market valuation on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will MicroStrategy hold 550k+ BTC before May?	No	$130	75.0¢	Lost
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	No	$4.2k	84.6¢	Won
Will the price of XRP be above $2.91 on August 31 at 12PM ET?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 10 above $230?	Yes	$4	2.0¢	Lost
Will Meta (META) finish week of November 17 above $540?	No	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will Karen Read be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?	No	$48	88.0¢	Won
Will Netflix reach $119 in November?	No	$228	51.5¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?	Yes	$1.4k	69.0¢	Won
Will Lambda have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?	Yes	$6	3.0¢	Lost
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of November 10 above $270?	No	$1	2.1¢	Lost
Will Meta (META) finish week of November 10 above $590?	No	$16	6.2¢	Lost
Will Palantir reach $264 in November?	Yes	$6	2.0¢	Lost
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?	No	$688	85.0¢	Won
Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?	No	$297	84.8¢	Won
Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?	No	$323	73.2¢	Won
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	$23	3.5¢	Lost
ChatGPT o3 released today?	Yes	$13	6.3¢	Won
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	No	$3	60.0¢	Won
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% in 2025?	No	$3.2k	84.7¢	Won
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% in 2025?	Yes	$43	4.1¢	Lost
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of November 10 above $1,110?	Yes	$21	80.8¢	Won
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get between 90m and 100m views in first 24 hours?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Hyperliquid reach $32 before June?	No	$737	81.7¢	Lost
Will Hyperliquid reach $32 before June?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Won
5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of November?	No	$15	3.0¢	Lost
Will Tesla reach $578 in November?	Yes	$0	6.0¢	Lost
Trump imposes 100% tariff on China before July?	No	$258	86.0¢	Lost
Trump imposes 100% tariff on China before July?	Yes	$138	9.8¢	Won
Will the price of Solana be above $194 on August 31 at 12PM ET?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
US x Russia military clash by December 31?	Yes	$3	6.0¢	Lost
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $230 end of November?	No	$0	5.0¢	Lost
Will Meta reach $780 in November?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Launchcoin all time high before May 22?	No	$211	78.6¢	Won
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?	Yes	$84	12.0¢	Lost
Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in June?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $480 in June?	No	$440	87.6¢	Won
Will Fartcoin dip to $0.80 before June?	No	$21	53.5¢	Won
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?	Yes	$44	10.7¢	Lost
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of November 10 above $465?	No	$116	69.4¢	Won
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of November 17 above $9.50?	Yes	$0	3.5¢	Lost
Will Meta (META) finish week of November 17 above $640?	Yes	$0	3.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,500 on August 31 at 12PM ET?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Meta announce Instagram sale in 2025?	No	$397	88.0¢	Won
Will Meta announce Instagram sale in 2025?	Yes	$39	4.2¢	Lost
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost

Will Databricks have the second highest private market valuation on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will MicroStrategy hold 550k+ BTC before May?Lost
No$130 @ 75.0¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Won
No$4.2k @ 84.6¢
Will the price of XRP be above $2.91 on August 31 at 12PM ET?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 10 above $230?Lost
Yes$4 @ 2.0¢
Will Meta (META) finish week of November 17 above $540?Lost
No$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Karen Read be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?Won
No$48 @ 88.0¢
Will Netflix reach $119 in November?Won
No$228 @ 51.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?Won
Yes$1.4k @ 69.0¢
Will Lambda have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 3.0¢
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of November 10 above $270?Lost
No$1 @ 2.1¢
Will Meta (META) finish week of November 10 above $590?Lost
No$16 @ 6.2¢
Will Palantir reach $264 in November?Lost
Yes$6 @ 2.0¢
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?Won
No$688 @ 85.0¢
Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?Won
No$297 @ 84.8¢
Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?Won
No$323 @ 73.2¢
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?Lost
Yes$23 @ 3.5¢
ChatGPT o3 released today?Won
Yes$13 @ 6.3¢
Ebola case in the US by June 30?Won
No$3 @ 60.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% in 2025?Won
No$3.2k @ 84.7¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% in 2025?Lost
Yes$43 @ 4.1¢
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of November 10 above $1,110?Won
Yes$21 @ 80.8¢
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get between 90m and 100m views in first 24 hours?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $32 before June?Lost
No$737 @ 81.7¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $32 before June?Won
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025? Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of November?Lost
No$15 @ 3.0¢
Will Tesla reach $578 in November?Lost
Yes$0 @ 6.0¢
Trump imposes 100% tariff on China before July?Lost
No$258 @ 86.0¢
Trump imposes 100% tariff on China before July?Won
Yes$138 @ 9.8¢
Will the price of Solana be above $194 on August 31 at 12PM ET?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
US x Russia military clash by December 31?Lost
Yes$3 @ 6.0¢
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $230 end of November?Lost
No$0 @ 5.0¢
Will Meta reach $780 in November?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Launchcoin all time high before May 22?Won
No$211 @ 78.6¢
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?Lost
Yes$84 @ 12.0¢
Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in June?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $480 in June?Won
No$440 @ 87.6¢
Will Fartcoin dip to $0.80 before June?Won
No$21 @ 53.5¢
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?Lost
Yes$44 @ 10.7¢
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of November 10 above $465?Won
No$116 @ 69.4¢
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of November 17 above $9.50?Lost
Yes$0 @ 3.5¢
Will Meta (META) finish week of November 17 above $640?Lost
Yes$0 @ 3.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,500 on August 31 at 12PM ET?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Meta announce Instagram sale in 2025?Won
No$397 @ 88.0¢
Will Meta announce Instagram sale in 2025?Lost
Yes$39 @ 4.2¢
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	Tech	No	$3.3k	93.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?	Crypto	No	$3.2k	96.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?	Politics	No	$2.8k	95.4¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.52% in September?	Economy	No	$2.1k	92.6¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?	Politics	No	$2.0k	95.2¢
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Tech	No	$1.8k	89.0¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% before 2027?	Economy	No	$1.7k	84.1¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.2% before 2027?	Politics	No	$1.7k	93.8¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September?	Economy	No	$1.7k	94.8¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?	Politics	No	$1.3k	96.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.1% before 2027?	Politics	No	$1.2k	93.5¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.25% before 2027?	Economy	No	$1.0k	90.0¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.00% before 2027?	Economy	No	$999	94.0¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% in September?	Economy	No	$969	97.4¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.80% before 2027?	Economy	No	$812	93.0¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% in September?	Economy	No	$763	93.2¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.73% in September?	Economy	No	$757	97.0¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.32% in September?	Economy	No	$694	99.0¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.37% in September?	Economy	No	$692	97.6¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.43% in September?	Economy	No	$668	92.2¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in September?	Other	No	$549	96.4¢
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	Science	No	$470	94.0¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?	Economy	No	$373	55.6¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in September?	Other	No	$361	94.0¢
Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Science	No	$338	90.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?	Economy	No	$281	89.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	Economy	No	$269	46.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?	Economy	No	$262	94.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in September?	Other	No	$179	96.0¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in September?	Economy	No	$139	98.1¢

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Tech
No$3.3k @ 93.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?Crypto
No$3.2k @ 96.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?Politics
No$2.8k @ 95.4¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.52% in September?Economy
No$2.1k @ 92.6¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?Politics
No$2.0k @ 95.2¢
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Tech
No$1.8k @ 89.0¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% before 2027?Economy
No$1.7k @ 84.1¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.2% before 2027?Politics
No$1.7k @ 93.8¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September?Economy
No$1.7k @ 94.8¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?Politics
No$1.3k @ 96.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.1% before 2027?Politics
No$1.2k @ 93.5¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.25% before 2027?Economy
No$1.0k @ 90.0¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.00% before 2027?Economy
No$999 @ 94.0¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% in September?Economy
No$969 @ 97.4¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.80% before 2027?Economy
No$812 @ 93.0¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% in September?Economy
No$763 @ 93.2¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.73% in September?Economy
No$757 @ 97.0¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.32% in September?Economy
No$694 @ 99.0¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.37% in September?Economy
No$692 @ 97.6¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.43% in September?Economy
No$668 @ 92.2¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in September?Other
No$549 @ 96.4¢
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? Science
No$470 @ 94.0¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?Economy
No$373 @ 55.6¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in September?Other
No$361 @ 94.0¢
Ebola pandemic in 2026?Science
No$338 @ 90.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?Economy
No$281 @ 89.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?Economy
No$269 @ 46.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?Economy
No$262 @ 94.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in September?Other
No$179 @ 96.0¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in September?Economy
No$139 @ 98.1¢