0xd06a…dfd2

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xd06ad6cc81692061b30b857b776552213d08dfd2
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+14.0pp

ROI

+92%

Win rate

46% @ 31.9¢

Brier

0.261

Resolved

Avg size

$86

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	36% (5/14)	+96%	14
Tech	100% (2/2)	+42%	2
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other14 bets
Hit rate
36% (5/14)
ROI
+96%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+42%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

41% hit · 7/17

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11.5–12m?	Yes	$128	16.7¢	Won
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?	Yes	$500	38.8¢	Lost
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?	Yes	$1.5k	18.7¢	Won
Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?	Yes	$100	6.2¢	Lost
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	$19	62.8¢	Won
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	$126	64.4¢	Won
Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?	Yes	$1.2k	29.5¢	Lost
Will George Simion win by 0–6%?	Yes	$170	20.5¢	Lost
Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?	Dan	$1.1k	20.8¢	Lost
Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	$53	74.1¢	Lost
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	$983	34.9¢	Won
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$25	2.4¢	Lost
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11–11.5m?	Yes	$86	12.5¢	Lost
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$101	30.3¢	Lost
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	$96	80.6¢	Won
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	$47	13.0¢	Lost
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$51	69.7¢	Won

Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11.5–12m?Won
Yes$128 @ 16.7¢
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?Lost
Yes$500 @ 38.8¢
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?Won
Yes$1.5k @ 18.7¢
Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?Lost
Yes$100 @ 6.2¢
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Won
Yes$19 @ 62.8¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Won
Yes$126 @ 64.4¢
Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 29.5¢
Will George Simion win by 0–6%?Lost
Yes$170 @ 20.5¢
Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?Lost
Dan$1.1k @ 20.8¢
Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?Lost
Yes$53 @ 74.1¢
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Won
Yes$983 @ 34.9¢
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$25 @ 2.4¢
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11–11.5m?Lost
Yes$86 @ 12.5¢
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$101 @ 30.3¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Won
Yes$96 @ 80.6¢
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?Lost
Yes$47 @ 13.0¢
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Won
Yes$51 @ 69.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$94	65.0¢

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$94 @ 65.0¢