0xd03b…042b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xd03bc280ca482ee48826b72aa435a331a04e042b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.8pp

ROI

+22%

Win rate

45% @ 35.7¢

Brier

0.145

Resolved

1011

Avg size

$53

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	40% (19/48)	+17%	48
Crypto	43% (17/40)	+31%	40
Sports	67% (2/3)	-33%	3
Politics	100% (2/2)	+90%	2

Other48 bets
Hit rate
40% (19/48)
ROI
+17%
Crypto40 bets
Hit rate
43% (17/40)
ROI
+31%
Sports3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
-33%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+90%

Track record

43% hit · 40/93

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?	No	$163	39.5¢	Won
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	No	$34	33.0¢	Won
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?	No	$430	44.2¢	Won
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?	Yes	$106	8.8¢	Lost
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score	No	$1	23.0¢	Lost
Will Dogecoin reach $0.10 in July?	Yes	$2	1.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	$1.3k	84.8¢	Won
Will XRP reach $1.40 in July?	No	$641	84.7¢	Won
Will XRP reach $1.40 in July?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	Yes	$24	6.6¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	Yes	$2.6k	33.3¢	Lost
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in July?	No	$2.0k	74.4¢	Won
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in July?	Yes	$6	8.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	$119	9.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?	Yes	$4	3.3¢	Lost
Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	Yes	$92	7.4¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?	No	$500	43.1¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?	Yes	$74	11.6¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	$61	7.9¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	$3	40.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?	Yes	$87	8.2¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?	No	$95	18.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?	Yes	$453	89.4¢	Won
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in August?	Yes	$226	26.7¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?	No	$267	89.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?	Yes	$353	8.9¢	Lost
Will XRP reach $2.00 in May?	Yes	$77	4.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?	No	$608	78.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?	Yes	$10	9.0¢	Lost
Will XRP reach $1.80 in June?	Yes	$5	1.4¢	Lost
Will Solana reach $100 in June?	Yes	$5	6.3¢	Lost
Will Solana reach $90 in June?	No	$89	83.0¢	Won
Will Solana reach $90 in June?	Yes	$35	4.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	$1.4k	60.5¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	$254	48.5¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?	No	$1.4k	35.5¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?	Yes	$88	15.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?	No	$1.1k	46.6¢	Won
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in June?	No	$32	86.9¢	Won
Will Solana dip to $50 in June?	No	$176	78.4¢	Won
Will Solana dip to $50 in June?	Yes	$27	4.9¢	Lost
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?	No	$33	2.7¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?	No	$2.6k	68.7¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?	Yes	$1.1k	28.6¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	No	$1.5k	53.7¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	Yes	$220	11.2¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?	Yes	$18	8.0¢	Lost
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?	No	$1.3k	57.2¢	Lost
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in July?	No	$2	86.0¢	Won
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in July?	Yes	$1	1.5¢	Lost

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?Won
No$163 @ 39.5¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Won
No$34 @ 33.0¢
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?Won
No$430 @ 44.2¢
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?Lost
Yes$106 @ 8.8¢
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$1 @ 23.0¢
Will Dogecoin reach $0.10 in July?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?Won
No$1.3k @ 84.8¢
Will XRP reach $1.40 in July?Won
No$641 @ 84.7¢
Will XRP reach $1.40 in July?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?Lost
Yes$24 @ 6.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?Lost
Yes$2.6k @ 33.3¢
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in July?Won
No$2.0k @ 74.4¢
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in July?Lost
Yes$6 @ 8.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?Lost
Yes$119 @ 9.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?Lost
Yes$4 @ 3.3¢
Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?Lost
Yes$92 @ 7.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?Won
No$500 @ 43.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?Lost
Yes$74 @ 11.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?Lost
No$61 @ 7.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?Won
Yes$3 @ 40.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?Lost
Yes$87 @ 8.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?Lost
No$95 @ 18.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?Won
Yes$453 @ 89.4¢
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in August?Lost
Yes$226 @ 26.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?Won
No$267 @ 89.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?Lost
Yes$353 @ 8.9¢
Will XRP reach $2.00 in May?Lost
Yes$77 @ 4.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?Won
No$608 @ 78.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?Lost
Yes$10 @ 9.0¢
Will XRP reach $1.80 in June?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.4¢
Will Solana reach $100 in June?Lost
Yes$5 @ 6.3¢
Will Solana reach $90 in June?Won
No$89 @ 83.0¢
Will Solana reach $90 in June?Lost
Yes$35 @ 4.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?Won
No$1.4k @ 60.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?Lost
Yes$254 @ 48.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?Lost
No$1.4k @ 35.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?Won
Yes$88 @ 15.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?Won
No$1.1k @ 46.6¢
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in June?Won
No$32 @ 86.9¢
Will Solana dip to $50 in June?Won
No$176 @ 78.4¢
Will Solana dip to $50 in June?Lost
Yes$27 @ 4.9¢
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?Lost
No$33 @ 2.7¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?Won
No$2.6k @ 68.7¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 28.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Won
No$1.5k @ 53.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Lost
Yes$220 @ 11.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?Lost
Yes$18 @ 8.0¢
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?Lost
No$1.3k @ 57.2¢
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in July?Won
No$2 @ 86.0¢
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in July?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.5¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Solana reach $120 in September?	—	No	$2.6k	84.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	—	No	$2.3k	50.9¢
Will XRP reach $1.80 in September?	—	Yes	$1.2k	13.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	—	No	$333	15.4¢
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?	—	Yes	$281	29.8¢
Will XRP reach $1.60 in September?	—	Yes	$255	41.8¢
Will XRP reach $2.00 in September?	—	Yes	$232	5.5¢
Will Solana dip to $70 in September?	—	No	$159	95.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?	—	Yes	$155	13.0¢
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?	—	No	$88	52.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?	—	Yes	$86	16.0¢
Will Solana reach $130 in September?	—	No	$75	84.9¢
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?	—	No	$71	56.4¢
Will Solana dip to $80 in September?	—	No	$58	91.0¢
Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?	—	Yes	$53	17.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	—	Yes	$29	10.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	—	Yes	$19	3.7¢
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	—	Yes	$19	2.9¢
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	—	Yes	$13	34.1¢
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	—	No	$8	33.0¢
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?	—	No	$5	5.0¢
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	—	No	$4	18.0¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in September?	—	No	$2	56.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?	—	No	$2	90.0¢
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting?	—	No	$2	1.8¢
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?	—	No	$1	69.0¢
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in September?	—	No	$1	86.0¢

Will Solana reach $120 in September?—
No$2.6k @ 84.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?—
No$2.3k @ 50.9¢
Will XRP reach $1.80 in September?—
Yes$1.2k @ 13.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?—
No$333 @ 15.4¢
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?—
Yes$281 @ 29.8¢
Will XRP reach $1.60 in September?—
Yes$255 @ 41.8¢
Will XRP reach $2.00 in September?—
Yes$232 @ 5.5¢
Will Solana dip to $70 in September?—
No$159 @ 95.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?—
Yes$155 @ 13.0¢
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?—
No$88 @ 52.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?—
Yes$86 @ 16.0¢
Will Solana reach $130 in September?—
No$75 @ 84.9¢
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?—
No$71 @ 56.4¢
Will Solana dip to $80 in September?—
No$58 @ 91.0¢
Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?—
Yes$53 @ 17.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?—
Yes$29 @ 10.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?—
Yes$19 @ 3.7¢
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?—
Yes$19 @ 2.9¢
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?—
Yes$13 @ 34.1¢
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?—
No$8 @ 33.0¢
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?—
No$5 @ 5.0¢
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?—
No$4 @ 18.0¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in September?—
No$2 @ 56.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?—
No$2 @ 90.0¢
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting?—
No$2 @ 1.8¢
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?—
No$1 @ 69.0¢
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in September?—
No$1 @ 86.0¢