0xd03b…042b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xd03bc280ca482ee48826b72aa435a331a04e042b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.1pp

ROI

+18%

Win rate

42% @ 35.0¢

Brier

0.155

Resolved

1601

Avg size

$55

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Crypto	41% (41/101)	-10%	101
Other	37% (24/65)	+16%	65
Economy	46% (13/28)	+50%	28
Politics	50% (3/6)	+21%	6
Geopolitics	0% (0/6)	-100%	6
Sports	67% (2/3)	-33%	3

Crypto101 bets
Hit rate
41% (41/101)
ROI
-10%
Other65 bets
Hit rate
37% (24/65)
ROI
+16%
Economy28 bets
Hit rate
46% (13/28)
ROI
+50%
Politics6 bets
Hit rate
50% (3/6)
ROI
+21%
Geopolitics6 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/6)
ROI
-100%
Sports3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
-33%

Track record

40% hit · 83/209

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	$32	21.5¢	Won
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	No	$1	23.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?	Yes	$21	76.0¢	Won
Will Solana reach $140 in October?	Yes	$8	27.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?	Yes	$1	6.3¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	$34	4.2¢	Lost
Will BNB dip to $600 in October?	No	$36	78.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	Yes	$5	24.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	$89	66.7¢	Lost
Will Dogecoin reach $0.10 in October?	No	$8	79.0¢	Won
Will Solana reach $150 in October?	Yes	$1	17.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	$47	50.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	Yes	$199	33.0¢	Lost
Will XRP reach $2.00 in October?	Yes	$54	6.3¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	$280	28.0¢	Lost
Will XRP reach $1.80 in October?	Yes	$297	30.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in October?	Yes	$7	3.4¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	$75	73.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	$8	17.0¢	Lost
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in October?	No	$80	53.0¢	Won
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in October?	Yes	$22	27.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	Yes	$37	3.5¢	Lost
Will XRP reach $1.60 in October?	Yes	$9	1.4¢	Lost
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in October?	No	$43	45.0¢	Won
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in October?	Yes	$21	72.8¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	Yes	$39	4.8¢	Lost
Will Solana dip to $90 in October?	Yes	$8	14.0¢	Lost
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	Yes	$17	24.0¢	Lost
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?	No	$1	90.5¢	Won
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$19	2.9¢	Lost
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	$4	18.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	$323	87.8¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	$37	28.0¢	Won
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$3	23.7¢	Lost
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	No	$9	36.3¢	Lost
Will three people dissent the October Fed decision?	Yes	$14	15.9¢	Lost
Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?	No	$12	59.0¢	Won
Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?	No	$1	58.0¢	Won
Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?	Yes	$53	17.4¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$360	36.0¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	$7	7.0¢	Lost
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	$13	34.1¢	Won
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$281	29.8¢	Lost
Will Solana dip to $100 in October?	No	$27	25.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?	No	$163	39.5¢	Won
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in September?	Yes	$22	3.6¢	Lost
Will XRP reach $1.80 in July?	Yes	$5	3.0¢	Lost
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	No	$34	33.0¢	Won
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?	No	$430	44.2¢	Won
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?	Yes	$106	8.8¢	Lost

Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$32 @ 21.5¢
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Won
No$1 @ 23.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?Won
Yes$21 @ 76.0¢
Will Solana reach $140 in October?Lost
Yes$8 @ 27.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?Lost
Yes$34 @ 4.2¢
Will BNB dip to $600 in October?Won
No$36 @ 78.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?Lost
Yes$5 @ 24.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?Lost
Yes$89 @ 66.7¢
Will Dogecoin reach $0.10 in October?Won
No$8 @ 79.0¢
Will Solana reach $150 in October?Lost
Yes$1 @ 17.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?Won
No$47 @ 50.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?Lost
Yes$199 @ 33.0¢
Will XRP reach $2.00 in October?Lost
Yes$54 @ 6.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?Lost
Yes$280 @ 28.0¢
Will XRP reach $1.80 in October?Lost
Yes$297 @ 30.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in October?Lost
Yes$7 @ 3.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?Won
No$75 @ 73.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?Lost
Yes$8 @ 17.0¢
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in October?Won
No$80 @ 53.0¢
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in October?Lost
Yes$22 @ 27.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?Lost
Yes$37 @ 3.5¢
Will XRP reach $1.60 in October?Lost
Yes$9 @ 1.4¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in October?Won
No$43 @ 45.0¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in October?Lost
Yes$21 @ 72.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?Lost
Yes$39 @ 4.8¢
Will Solana dip to $90 in October?Lost
Yes$8 @ 14.0¢
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?Lost
Yes$17 @ 24.0¢
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?Won
No$1 @ 90.5¢
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$19 @ 2.9¢
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Lost
No$4 @ 18.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?Lost
No$323 @ 87.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?Won
Yes$37 @ 28.0¢
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$3 @ 23.7¢
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Lost
No$9 @ 36.3¢
Will three people dissent the October Fed decision?Lost
Yes$14 @ 15.9¢
Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?Won
No$12 @ 59.0¢
Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?Won
No$1 @ 58.0¢
Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?Lost
Yes$53 @ 17.4¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$360 @ 36.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Lost
No$7 @ 7.0¢
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Won
Yes$13 @ 34.1¢
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$281 @ 29.8¢
Will Solana dip to $100 in October?Lost
No$27 @ 25.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?Won
No$163 @ 39.5¢
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in September?Lost
Yes$22 @ 3.6¢
Will XRP reach $1.80 in July?Lost
Yes$5 @ 3.0¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Won
No$34 @ 33.0¢
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?Won
No$430 @ 44.2¢
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?Lost
Yes$106 @ 8.8¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?	Crypto	Yes	$236	17.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in November?	Crypto	Yes	$130	11.1¢
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Politics	Yes	$71	36.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?	Crypto	Yes	$53	5.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in November?	Crypto	Yes	$41	4.5¢
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Economy	Yes	$32	21.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?	Crypto	Yes	$21	76.0¢
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?	Economy	No	$18	11.5¢
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	Economy	Yes	$11	8.4¢
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	Economy	Yes	$10	66.0¢
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Economy	No	$1	23.0¢

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?Crypto
Yes$236 @ 17.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in November?Crypto
Yes$130 @ 11.1¢
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?Politics
Yes$71 @ 36.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?Crypto
Yes$53 @ 5.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in November?Crypto
Yes$41 @ 4.5¢
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Economy
Yes$32 @ 21.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?Crypto
Yes$21 @ 76.0¢
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?Economy
No$18 @ 11.5¢
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Economy
Yes$11 @ 8.4¢
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Economy
Yes$10 @ 66.0¢
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Economy
No$1 @ 23.0¢