0xcfff…673d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xcfff4295288ee29f75a38a7028611b7c1e93673d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.5pp

ROI

+6%

Win rate

61% @ 57.3¢

Brier

0.191

Resolved

1743

Avg size

$12

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Science	61% (582/949)	+3%	949
Politics	27% (185/680)	-18%	680
Other	50% (245/493)	-13%	493
Sports	22% (90/418)	-10%	418
Tech	20% (33/169)	-38%	169
Culture	55% (74/134)	+3%	134
Economy	15% (7/46)	-33%	46
Geopolitics	52% (15/29)	-2%	29
Crypto	29% (6/21)	-29%	21
Business	50% (1/2)	+36%	2

Science949 bets
Hit rate
61% (582/949)
ROI
+3%
Politics680 bets
Hit rate
27% (185/680)
ROI
-18%
Other493 bets
Hit rate
50% (245/493)
ROI
-13%
Sports418 bets
Hit rate
22% (90/418)
ROI
-10%
Tech169 bets
Hit rate
20% (33/169)
ROI
-38%
Culture134 bets
Hit rate
55% (74/134)
ROI
+3%
Economy46 bets
Hit rate
15% (7/46)
ROI
-33%
Geopolitics29 bets
Hit rate
52% (15/29)
ROI
-2%
Crypto21 bets
Hit rate
29% (6/21)
ROI
-29%
Business2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+36%

Track record

42% hit · 1238/2941

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Lindbergh Farias win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	$6	4.3¢	Lost
Will André Português win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	$7	4.3¢	Lost
Will Fred Pacheco win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	$4	4.3¢	Lost
Will Colonel Busnello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	$3	4.3¢	Lost
Will André Ceciliano win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	$4	4.3¢	Lost
Will Nicola Miccione win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	$11	4.3¢	Lost
Will Dr. Luizinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	$4	4.3¢	Lost
Will Anthony Garotinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	$4	4.3¢	Lost
Will Wilson Witzel win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	$6	4.3¢	Lost
Will Chico Machado win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	$6	4.3¢	Lost
Will Eduardo Pazuello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	$8	4.3¢	Lost
Will Tarcísio Motta win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	$6	4.3¢	Lost
Will Sporting Kansas City win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	$3	3.2¢	Lost
Will White House post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	$17	8.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C on October 14?	Yes	$20	9.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 22°C or below on October 14?	Yes	$20	9.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	$20	9.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	$8	8.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 25°C on October 14?	Yes	$20	9.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C or below on October 14?	Yes	$4	10.0¢	Lost
Will White House post 120-139 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	$12	8.9¢	Lost
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$30	2.0¢	Lost
Will White House post 80-99 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	$17	8.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 100°F or higher on October 12?	Yes	$8	8.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 12?	Yes	$8	8.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on October 12?	Yes	$8	8.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 81°F or below on October 12?	Yes	$8	8.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on October 12?	Yes	$8	8.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 12?	Yes	$5	9.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on October 12?	Yes	$5	9.1¢	Lost
Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 5m?	Yes	$26	16.7¢	Lost
Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 1m and 2m?	Yes	$76	16.7¢	Lost
Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 1m?	Yes	$64	16.7¢	Lost
Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 13m?	Yes	$10	7.7¢	Lost
Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	Yes	$10	7.7¢	Lost
Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?	Yes	$10	7.7¢	Lost
Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?	Yes	$10	7.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 94°F or higher on October 7?	No	$69	81.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on October 4?	No	$6	60.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 7?	No	$2	49.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 9?	No	$1	42.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 29?	No	$25	83.3¢	Won
Will Drew Campbell win Big Brother season 28?	No	$40	66.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 11?	No	$13	61.5¢	Won
Will André do Prado win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	No	$31	77.5¢	Won
Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 2m and 3m?	No	$170	45.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 10?	No	$4	43.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 1?	No	$5	45.0¢	Lost
Will Ariana Grande win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	$7	64.9¢	Won
Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	No	$8	40.5¢	Lost

Will Lindbergh Farias win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Lost
Yes$6 @ 4.3¢
Will André Português win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Lost
Yes$7 @ 4.3¢
Will Fred Pacheco win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Lost
Yes$4 @ 4.3¢
Will Colonel Busnello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Lost
Yes$3 @ 4.3¢
Will André Ceciliano win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Lost
Yes$4 @ 4.3¢
Will Nicola Miccione win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Lost
Yes$11 @ 4.3¢
Will Dr. Luizinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Lost
Yes$4 @ 4.3¢
Will Anthony Garotinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Lost
Yes$4 @ 4.3¢
Will Wilson Witzel win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Lost
Yes$6 @ 4.3¢
Will Chico Machado win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Lost
Yes$6 @ 4.3¢
Will Eduardo Pazuello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Lost
Yes$8 @ 4.3¢
Will Tarcísio Motta win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Lost
Yes$6 @ 4.3¢
Will Sporting Kansas City win the 2026 MLS Cup?Lost
Yes$3 @ 3.2¢
Will White House post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Lost
Yes$17 @ 8.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C on October 14?Lost
Yes$20 @ 9.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 22°C or below on October 14?Lost
Yes$20 @ 9.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 23°C on October 14?Lost
Yes$20 @ 9.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on October 14?Lost
Yes$8 @ 8.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 25°C on October 14?Lost
Yes$20 @ 9.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C or below on October 14?Lost
Yes$4 @ 10.0¢
Will White House post 120-139 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Lost
Yes$12 @ 8.9¢
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
Yes$30 @ 2.0¢
Will White House post 80-99 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Lost
Yes$17 @ 8.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 100°F or higher on October 12?Lost
Yes$8 @ 8.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 12?Lost
Yes$8 @ 8.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on October 12?Lost
Yes$8 @ 8.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 81°F or below on October 12?Lost
Yes$8 @ 8.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on October 12?Lost
Yes$8 @ 8.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 12?Lost
Yes$5 @ 9.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on October 12?Lost
Yes$5 @ 9.1¢
Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 5m?Lost
Yes$26 @ 16.7¢
Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 1m and 2m?Lost
Yes$76 @ 16.7¢
Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 1m?Lost
Yes$64 @ 16.7¢
Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 13m?Lost
Yes$10 @ 7.7¢
Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?Lost
Yes$10 @ 7.7¢
Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?Lost
Yes$10 @ 7.7¢
Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?Lost
Yes$10 @ 7.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 94°F or higher on October 7?Won
No$69 @ 81.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on October 4?Won
No$6 @ 60.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 7?Won
No$2 @ 49.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 9?Lost
No$1 @ 42.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 29?Won
No$25 @ 83.3¢
Will Drew Campbell win Big Brother season 28?Won
No$40 @ 66.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 11?Won
No$13 @ 61.5¢
Will André do Prado win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Won
No$31 @ 77.5¢
Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 2m and 3m?Won
No$170 @ 45.6¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 10?Lost
No$4 @ 43.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 1?Lost
No$5 @ 45.0¢
Will Ariana Grande win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Won
No$7 @ 64.9¢
Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Lost
No$8 @ 40.5¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?	Economy	Yes	$140	20.0¢
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?	Economy	Yes	$72	20.0¢
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be at least 200m by October 31?	Culture	Yes	$65	14.3¢
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 170m and 180m by October 31?	Culture	Yes	$65	14.3¢
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 180m and 190m by October 31?	Culture	Yes	$65	14.3¢
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 190m and 200m by October 31?	Culture	Yes	$65	14.3¢
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Politics	Yes	$47	20.0¢
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Geopolitics	Yes	$38	20.0¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?	Politics	Yes	$32	6.7¢
Will Democrats win fewer than 2 House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$26	14.3¢
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Economy	Yes	$24	4.0¢
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Economy	Yes	$24	4.0¢
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Economy	Yes	$24	4.0¢
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Economy	Yes	$24	4.0¢
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Economy	Yes	$24	4.0¢
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Economy	Yes	$24	4.0¢
Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Tech	Yes	$24	2.9¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C or below on October 16?	Science	Yes	$24	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on October 16?	Science	Yes	$24	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 16?	Science	Yes	$24	9.1¢
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$23	1.8¢
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$23	1.8¢
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$23	1.8¢
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$23	1.8¢
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$23	1.8¢
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$23	1.8¢
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 980m and 985m by October 31?	Culture	Yes	$22	16.7¢
Will Waymo operate in 32 or more cities on December 31 2026?	Tech	Yes	$21	14.3¢
Will Waymo operate in 28-31 cities on December 31 2026?	Tech	Yes	$21	14.3¢
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Culture	Yes	$21	2.8¢

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?Economy
Yes$140 @ 20.0¢
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?Economy
Yes$72 @ 20.0¢
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be at least 200m by October 31?Culture
Yes$65 @ 14.3¢
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 170m and 180m by October 31?Culture
Yes$65 @ 14.3¢
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 180m and 190m by October 31?Culture
Yes$65 @ 14.3¢
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 190m and 200m by October 31?Culture
Yes$65 @ 14.3¢
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?Politics
Yes$47 @ 20.0¢
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Geopolitics
Yes$38 @ 20.0¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?Politics
Yes$32 @ 6.7¢
Will Democrats win fewer than 2 House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics
Yes$26 @ 14.3¢
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Economy
Yes$24 @ 4.0¢
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Economy
Yes$24 @ 4.0¢
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Economy
Yes$24 @ 4.0¢
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Economy
Yes$24 @ 4.0¢
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Economy
Yes$24 @ 4.0¢
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Economy
Yes$24 @ 4.0¢
Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Tech
Yes$24 @ 2.9¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C or below on October 16?Science
Yes$24 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on October 16?Science
Yes$24 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 16?Science
Yes$24 @ 9.1¢
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
Yes$23 @ 1.8¢
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
Yes$23 @ 1.8¢
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
Yes$23 @ 1.8¢
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
Yes$23 @ 1.8¢
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
Yes$23 @ 1.8¢
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
Yes$23 @ 1.8¢
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 980m and 985m by October 31?Culture
Yes$22 @ 16.7¢
Will Waymo operate in 32 or more cities on December 31 2026?Tech
Yes$21 @ 14.3¢
Will Waymo operate in 28-31 cities on December 31 2026?Tech
Yes$21 @ 14.3¢
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Culture
Yes$21 @ 2.8¢