← Smart money
0xcfce…80c7
ProfitableEdge
+3.2pp
ROI
+4%
Win rate
31% @ 27.4¢
Brier
0.153
Resolved
2895
Avg size
$30
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 40% (222/553) | +6% | 553 |
| Sports | 37% (13/35) | -13% | 35 |
| Politics | 47% (7/15) | -15% | 15 |
| Business | 33% (3/9) | +59% | 9 |
| Tech | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Economy | 50% (1/2) | -0% | 2 |
- Other553 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (222/553)
- ROI
- +6%
- Sports35 bets
- Hit rate
- 37% (13/35)
- ROI
- -13%
- Politics15 bets
- Hit rate
- 47% (7/15)
- ROI
- -15%
- Business9 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (3/9)
- ROI
- +59%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Economy2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -0%
Track record
40% hit · 246/618- No$42 @ 17.8¢
- No$0 @ 11.0¢
- No$23 @ 3.5¢
- No$5 @ 22.0¢
- No$57 @ 22.0¢
- No$215 @ 50.9¢
- No$48 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$324 @ 80.5¢
- No$255 @ 57.3¢
- No$17 @ 7.9¢
- No$9 @ 6.1¢
- No$258 @ 86.0¢
- No$7 @ 7.5¢
- Yes$261 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$145 @ 13.2¢
- Yes$124 @ 38.0¢
- No$282 @ 16.3¢
- No$129 @ 64.0¢
- No$44 @ 70.1¢
- No$12 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$42 @ 83.0¢
- No$193 @ 16.9¢
- No$7 @ 34.0¢
- No$2 @ 25.0¢
- No$199 @ 45.7¢
- No$414 @ 53.2¢
- No$59 @ 13.3¢
- Brad Tavares$112 @ 53.1¢
- Yes$171 @ 56.4¢
- Yes$27 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$345 @ 48.1¢
- Yes$28 @ 12.4¢
- Yes$65 @ 7.9¢
- Yes$168 @ 34.9¢
- No$28 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$56 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$298 @ 20.3¢
- Yes$59 @ 62.3¢
- No$0 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$68 @ 73.0¢
- Alex Pereira$152 @ 51.0¢
- No$61 @ 20.7¢
- No$51 @ 20.7¢
- Yes$46 @ 10.3¢
- No$2 @ 9.0¢
- No$120 @ 15.9¢
- Yes$131 @ 51.2¢
- No$46 @ 20.9¢
- Yes$210 @ 70.0¢
- No$193 @ 34.6¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Politics | Yes | $308 | 28.0¢ |
| Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings? | Business | No | $192 | 17.2¢ |
| Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? | Business | Yes | $146 | 60.7¢ |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Economy | Yes | $88 | 26.7¢ |
| Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | Business | No | $77 | 22.2¢ |
| Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings? | Business | No | $62 | 28.7¢ |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Economy | Yes | $53 | 16.2¢ |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Economy | Yes | $8 | 27.2¢ |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? | Politics | Yes | $7 | 68.0¢ |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Economy | Yes | $4 | 12.4¢ |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Economy | Yes | $1 | 6.8¢ |
| Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Economy | Yes | $0 | 0.8¢ |
- Yes$308 @ 28.0¢
- No$192 @ 17.2¢
- Yes$146 @ 60.7¢
- Yes$88 @ 26.7¢
- No$77 @ 22.2¢
- No$62 @ 28.7¢
- Yes$53 @ 16.2¢
- Yes$8 @ 27.2¢
- Yes$7 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 12.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 6.8¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.8¢