0xcf8b…4ded

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xcf8b32e3337f0007a51f4f35ee4b265fc1684ded
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+12.7pp

ROI

+64%

Win rate

52% @ 39.5¢

Brier

0.244

Resolved

305

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	52% (26/50)	+70%	50
Science	39% (13/33)	+65%	33
Politics	0% (0/4)	-100%	4

Other50 bets
Hit rate
52% (26/50)
ROI
+70%
Science33 bets
Hit rate
39% (13/33)
ROI
+65%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%

Track record

45% hit · 39/87

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?	Yes	$3	34.4¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 22?	No	$1	2.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 30?	Yes	$10	41.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 2?	Yes	$11	32.8¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on May 29?	Yes	$7	9.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on May 30?	Yes	$2	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on June 14?	Yes	$2	37.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 17?	No	$1	1.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 30?	No	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 5?	Yes	$2	38.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 17?	No	$1	1.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 11?	Yes	$2	39.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 6?	Yes	$51	54.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 28?	No	$1	5.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 11?	No	$4	88.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 3?	No	$2	75.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 7?	No	$6	81.7¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 1?	Yes	$4	33.8¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 29?	Yes	$2	20.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on May 30?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 23?	No	$0	1.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 5?	No	$2	57.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 19?	Yes	$11	33.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 4?	Yes	$4	39.8¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 22?	No	$24	65.2¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 2?	Yes	$23	37.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 5?	No	$2	79.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 17?	No	$1	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 3?	Yes	$14	33.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 11?	No	$20	72.3¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 29?	Yes	$4	11.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 25?	Yes	$4	45.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 29?	Yes	$4	12.4¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 12?	No	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 8?	No	$1	4.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 2?	No	$2	75.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 18?	Yes	$9	38.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 18?	No	$2	64.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 21?	No	$2	61.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or higher on June 30?	Yes	$23	50.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 28?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 14?	Yes	$4	35.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 3?	Yes	$4	47.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 28?	Yes	$1	18.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 26?	Yes	$2	35.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 21?	Yes	$2	38.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 13?	Yes	$4	30.5¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on June 30?	No	$1	4.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 27?	Yes	$37	33.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 4?	Yes	$1	39.0¢	Lost

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?Lost
Yes$3 @ 34.4¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 22?Lost
No$1 @ 2.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 30?Won
Yes$10 @ 41.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$11 @ 32.8¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on May 29?Lost
Yes$7 @ 9.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on May 30?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on June 14?Lost
Yes$2 @ 37.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 17?Lost
No$1 @ 1.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 30?Lost
No$1 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 5?Won
Yes$2 @ 38.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 17?Won
No$1 @ 1.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 11?Lost
Yes$2 @ 39.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 6?Won
Yes$51 @ 54.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 28?Won
No$1 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 11?Won
No$4 @ 88.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 3?Lost
No$2 @ 75.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 7?Won
No$6 @ 81.7¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 1?Won
Yes$4 @ 33.8¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 29?Lost
Yes$2 @ 20.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on May 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 23?Lost
No$0 @ 1.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 5?Won
No$2 @ 57.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 19?Won
Yes$11 @ 33.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 4?Lost
Yes$4 @ 39.8¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 22?Lost
No$24 @ 65.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 2?Won
Yes$23 @ 37.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 5?Won
No$2 @ 79.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 17?Lost
No$1 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 3?Won
Yes$14 @ 33.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 11?Won
No$20 @ 72.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 29?Lost
Yes$4 @ 11.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 25?Won
Yes$4 @ 45.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 29?Lost
Yes$4 @ 12.4¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 12?Lost
No$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 8?Lost
No$1 @ 4.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 2?Won
No$2 @ 75.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 18?Won
Yes$9 @ 38.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 18?Lost
No$2 @ 64.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 21?Lost
No$2 @ 61.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or higher on June 30?Won
Yes$23 @ 50.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 28?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 14?Lost
Yes$4 @ 35.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 3?Won
Yes$4 @ 47.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 28?Lost
Yes$1 @ 18.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 26?Won
Yes$2 @ 35.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 21?Lost
Yes$2 @ 38.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 13?Lost
Yes$4 @ 30.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on June 30?Lost
No$1 @ 4.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 27?Won
Yes$37 @ 33.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 4?Lost
Yes$1 @ 39.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 13?	—	Yes	$79	45.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 13?	—	Yes	$21	32.7¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 12?	—	Yes	$20	54.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 13?	—	Yes	$18	31.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 13?	—	Yes	$18	33.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on July 13?	—	Yes	$15	33.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 12?	—	No	$13	28.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 12?	—	No	$12	80.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 13?	—	No	$12	83.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 13?	—	Yes	$11	37.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on July 13?	—	No	$10	65.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 13?	—	No	$10	76.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 13?	—	No	$10	85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 13?	—	No	$8	70.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 12?	—	Yes	$8	31.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 13?	—	Yes	$8	31.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 13?	—	Yes	$7	35.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 13?	—	Yes	$7	29.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 12?	—	Yes	$7	37.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 13?	—	Yes	$6	32.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 13?	—	No	$6	66.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 13?	—	Yes	$6	30.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on July 13?	—	No	$6	83.7¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on July 13?	—	No	$6	75.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 12?	—	No	$6	79.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 13?	—	No	$6	82.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 13?	—	Yes	$6	31.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 12?	—	No	$6	28.6¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 13?	—	Yes	$6	34.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 12?	—	Yes	$6	30.4¢

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 13?—
Yes$79 @ 45.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 13?—
Yes$21 @ 32.7¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 12?—
Yes$20 @ 54.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 13?—
Yes$18 @ 31.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 13?—
Yes$18 @ 33.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on July 13?—
Yes$15 @ 33.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 12?—
No$13 @ 28.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 12?—
No$12 @ 80.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 13?—
No$12 @ 83.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 13?—
Yes$11 @ 37.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on July 13?—
No$10 @ 65.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 13?—
No$10 @ 76.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 13?—
No$10 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 13?—
No$8 @ 70.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 12?—
Yes$8 @ 31.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 13?—
Yes$8 @ 31.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 13?—
Yes$7 @ 35.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 13?—
Yes$7 @ 29.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 12?—
Yes$7 @ 37.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 13?—
Yes$6 @ 32.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 13?—
No$6 @ 66.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 13?—
Yes$6 @ 30.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on July 13?—
No$6 @ 83.7¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on July 13?—
No$6 @ 75.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 12?—
No$6 @ 79.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 13?—
No$6 @ 82.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 13?—
Yes$6 @ 31.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 12?—
No$6 @ 28.6¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 13?—
Yes$6 @ 34.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 12?—
Yes$6 @ 30.4¢