← Smart money
0xcf82…7513
ProfitableEdge
+12.6pp
ROI
+5%
Win rate
41% @ 28.7¢
Brier
0.217
Resolved
80
Avg size
$7
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 31% (11/35) | +18% | 35 |
| Science | 38% (5/13) | -35% | 13 |
| Politics | 67% (2/3) | -15% | 3 |
- Other35 bets
- Hit rate
- 31% (11/35)
- ROI
- +18%
- Science13 bets
- Hit rate
- 38% (5/13)
- ROI
- -35%
- Politics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- -15%
Track record
35% hit · 18/51- No$13 @ 67.0¢
- No$18 @ 91.5¢
- No$16 @ 80.0¢
- No$22 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 12.4¢
- No$14 @ 71.0¢
- No$18 @ 91.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 30.7¢
- Yes$7 @ 22.7¢
- No$36 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 8.7¢
- Yes$4 @ 7.0¢
- No$26 @ 85.4¢
- Yes$22 @ 35.9¢
- Yes$4 @ 19.7¢
- Yes$11 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 32.6¢
- Yes$12 @ 22.6¢
- Yes$12 @ 30.2¢
- Yes$10 @ 31.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 23.4¢
- No$33 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 22.4¢
- Yes$15 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 29.5¢
- Yes$11 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 29.2¢
- Yes$13 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 33.8¢
- Yes$16 @ 22.3¢
- Yes$7 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 30.1¢
- Yes$21 @ 34.3¢
- Yes$10 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 17.2¢
- Yes$14 @ 22.5¢
- Yes$17 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$17 @ 26.6¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 17? | Science | No | $18 | 91.5¢ |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Culture | Yes | $15 | 36.0¢ |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 17? | Science | No | $13 | 67.0¢ |
- No$18 @ 91.5¢
- Yes$15 @ 36.0¢
- No$13 @ 67.0¢