0xcef4…6c83

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xcef42d1a756ab5193a5dd0996c635c59fc316c83
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+5.5pp

ROI

+4%

Win rate

40% @ 34.3¢

Brier

0.164

Resolved

1178

Avg size

$40

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	48% (171/355)	+4%	355
Sports	39% (9/23)	+6%	23
Politics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other355 bets
Hit rate
48% (171/355)
ROI
+4%
Sports23 bets
Hit rate
39% (9/23)
ROI
+6%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

47% hit · 180/381

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)	Jaguars	$104	52.0¢	Won
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)	Hawks	$82	48.0¢	Lost
Texans vs. Chiefs	Texans	$52	19.0¢	Lost
Will EJ Antoni be confirmed as BLS Commissioner in 2025?	No	$75	50.7¢	Won
Google forced to sell Chrome?	Yes	$60	20.0¢	Lost
Spread: Falcons (-3.5)	Saints	$85	53.0¢	Won
NBA Playoffs: Cavaliers vs. Pacers (To Advance)	Pacers	$187	17.0¢	Won
Lions vs. Eagles	Eagles	$114	57.0¢	Won
Bengals vs. Commanders	Bengals	$54	36.0¢	Lost
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)	76ers	$96	48.0¢	Lost
NLDS: Phillies vs. Mets Game 2	Phillies	$149	57.0¢	Won
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)	76ers	$147	49.0¢	Won
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	$75	20.1¢	Lost
Israel military action against Yemen before November?	No	$111	75.0¢	Lost
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)	Cowboys	$144	48.0¢	Lost
Saints vs. Eagles	Eagles	$126	42.0¢	Won
Solana above $145 on August 30?	Yes	$44	8.0¢	Lost
Kings vs. Suns	Kings	$57	38.0¢	Lost
Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?	Yes	$84	2.1¢	Lost
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	$9	11.7¢	Lost
Chargers vs. Texans	Texans	$92	40.0¢	Won
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	Nuggets	$115	51.0¢	Lost
Will the VP debate have 40-45m viewers?	Yes	$31	19.3¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $112K July 14–20?	No	$220	61.0¢	Won
Will FYRE Festival 2 sell out?	Yes	$123	39.1¢	Lost
Chargers vs. Broncos	Chargers	$77	59.0¢	Won
NBA Finals: Will any game go to overtime?	Yes	$52	21.0¢	Lost
Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	$76	68.0¢	Lost
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner	Sinner	$23	22.7¢	Lost
Pacers vs. Bucks	Bucks	$186	62.0¢	Lost
76ers vs. Bulls	76ers	$94	47.0¢	Lost
Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball?	No	$30	18.0¢	Lost
Oliveira vs. Gamrot	Oliveira	$78	49.0¢	Won
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	$203	58.0¢	Won
Oliveira vs. Chandler	Oliveira	$104	80.3¢	Won
Will Kamala Harris say "Donald" or "Trump" 5 or more times during DNC speech?	No	$15	12.0¢	Lost
WNBA: Sun vs. Fever Game 2	Fever	$0	33.0¢	Lost
Texas vs. Ohio State	Ohio State	$153	51.0¢	Won
Solana above $255 on November 29?	Yes	$61	51.0¢	Lost
Warriors vs. Rockets	Rockets	$308	51.4¢	Lost
Warriors vs. Rockets	Warriors	$146	48.7¢	Won
Will Anthony Joshua win by decision or technical decision?	Yes	$23	16.0¢	Lost
Fed rate cut by June meeting?	No	$136	27.0¢	Won
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$185	41.0¢	Won
Thunder vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	$81	36.0¢	Won
Will Derrick White score 20+ points against the Knicks?	Yes	$112	44.9¢	Won
Will Kamala Harris concede by Friday?	No	$6	25.0¢	Lost
Pacers vs. Thunder	Pacers	$112	28.0¢	Lost
Will Ohio State beat Penn State?	Penn St	$143	53.9¢	Lost
Will Solana reach $240 in September?	No	$270	45.0¢	Lost

Spread: 49ers (-3.5)Won
Jaguars$104 @ 52.0¢
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Lost
Hawks$82 @ 48.0¢
Texans vs. ChiefsLost
Texans$52 @ 19.0¢
Will EJ Antoni be confirmed as BLS Commissioner in 2025?Won
No$75 @ 50.7¢
Google forced to sell Chrome?Lost
Yes$60 @ 20.0¢
Spread: Falcons (-3.5)Won
Saints$85 @ 53.0¢
NBA Playoffs: Cavaliers vs. Pacers (To Advance)Won
Pacers$187 @ 17.0¢
Lions vs. EaglesWon
Eagles$114 @ 57.0¢
Bengals vs. CommandersLost
Bengals$54 @ 36.0¢
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Lost
76ers$96 @ 48.0¢
NLDS: Phillies vs. Mets Game 2Won
Phillies$149 @ 57.0¢
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)Won
76ers$147 @ 49.0¢
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Lost
Yes$75 @ 20.1¢
Israel military action against Yemen before November?Lost
No$111 @ 75.0¢
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)Lost
Cowboys$144 @ 48.0¢
Saints vs. EaglesWon
Eagles$126 @ 42.0¢
Solana above $145 on August 30?Lost
Yes$44 @ 8.0¢
Kings vs. SunsLost
Kings$57 @ 38.0¢
Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?Lost
Yes$84 @ 2.1¢
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets Lost
Rockets$9 @ 11.7¢
Chargers vs. TexansWon
Texans$92 @ 40.0¢
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Lost
Nuggets$115 @ 51.0¢
Will the VP debate have 40-45m viewers?Won
Yes$31 @ 19.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $112K July 14–20?Won
No$220 @ 61.0¢
Will FYRE Festival 2 sell out?Lost
Yes$123 @ 39.1¢
Chargers vs. BroncosWon
Chargers$77 @ 59.0¢
NBA Finals: Will any game go to overtime?Lost
Yes$52 @ 21.0¢
Knicks vs. SpursLost
Spurs$76 @ 68.0¢
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik SinnerLost
Sinner$23 @ 22.7¢
Pacers vs. BucksLost
Bucks$186 @ 62.0¢
76ers vs. BullsLost
76ers$94 @ 47.0¢
Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball?Lost
No$30 @ 18.0¢
Oliveira vs. GamrotWon
Oliveira$78 @ 49.0¢
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Won
Yes$203 @ 58.0¢
Oliveira vs. ChandlerWon
Oliveira$104 @ 80.3¢
Will Kamala Harris say "Donald" or "Trump" 5 or more times during DNC speech?Lost
No$15 @ 12.0¢
WNBA: Sun vs. Fever Game 2Lost
Fever$0 @ 33.0¢
Texas vs. Ohio StateWon
Ohio State$153 @ 51.0¢
Solana above $255 on November 29?Lost
Yes$61 @ 51.0¢
Warriors vs. RocketsLost
Rockets$308 @ 51.4¢
Warriors vs. RocketsWon
Warriors$146 @ 48.7¢
Will Anthony Joshua win by decision or technical decision?Lost
Yes$23 @ 16.0¢
Fed rate cut by June meeting?Won
No$136 @ 27.0¢
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Won
Yes$185 @ 41.0¢
Thunder vs. NuggetsWon
Nuggets$81 @ 36.0¢
Will Derrick White score 20+ points against the Knicks? Won
Yes$112 @ 44.9¢
Will Kamala Harris concede by Friday?Lost
No$6 @ 25.0¢
Pacers vs. ThunderLost
Pacers$112 @ 28.0¢
Will Ohio State beat Penn State?Lost
Penn St$143 @ 53.9¢
Will Solana reach $240 in September?Lost
No$270 @ 45.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$1.7k	2.8¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$634	8.3¢
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$231	5.3¢
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$190	29.2¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$125	50.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$122	61.0¢

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$1.7k @ 2.8¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$634 @ 8.3¢
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$231 @ 5.3¢
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$190 @ 29.2¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$125 @ 50.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$122 @ 61.0¢